U.K. New Mortgage Approvals Falls to Near Two-Year Low
29 September 2016 - 12:50PM
Dow Jones News
LONDON—The number of new mortgages approved in the U.K. fell in
August to a near two-year low, a sign the housing market may have
cooled slightly following the country's June vote to leave the
European Union.
The number of new home loans approved by banks in August fell to
60,058, the Bank of England said Thursday, in line with
expectations of analysts polled by The Wall Street Journal. That is
fewer approvals than the 60,925 in July, and the least since
November 2014.
Economists are closely watching the housing market as a
potential indicator of the overall health of the world's
fifth-largest economy. Over the past three decades, U.K. households
have cut spending every time house prices have fallen.
The Bank of England has said it expects the housing market to be
one of the sectors of the economy that could be hurt in the wake of
the Brexit vote. Officials forecast a decline in prices on average
over the coming year and a drop in investment in new housing.
So far, however, there is little sign of downward pressure on
prices. A recent survey by the Royal Institution of Chartered
Surveyors showed that price growth bounced back in August after
slumping to a three-year low in the immediate aftermath of the
referendum.
U.K. lender Nationwide's house price index also showed that
prices grew in August. However, both surveys showed that prices
were supported mainly by a smaller number of houses being put on
sale.
The current resilience of the economy combined with the shortage
of properties on sale will likely prevent prices from falling over
the final months of this year, IHS Global Insight's Chief Economist
Howard Archer said in a note. However, house prices will likely dip
slightly in 2017, possibly by around 3%, as "mounting uncertainty"
hits the economy, said Mr. Archer.
BOE data also showed that lending to consumers, net of
repayments, rose to £ 4.5 billion ($5.86 billion) from £ 3.8
billion a month earlier. Business lending, however, fell slightly,
with loans to non-financial businesses decreasing by £ 0.4 billion,
compared with a 2.2 billion-pound increase in July.
The BOE last month cut its benchmark interest rate to a new low
and lined up cheap funding for banks to ensure households and
businesses have access to plentiful credit.
Separately, the BOE data showed that foreign investors holdings
of U.K. government bonds rose in August, after falling slightly the
previous month. Foreigners bought a net £ 1.8 billion of bonds,
after selling £ 4.4 billion in July.
Tuesday's figures add to a mixed picture on the economy since
Britons chose to leave the EU in a referendum June 23. Some surveys
suggested the economy slowed in July, but others showed activity
has since recovered.
Write to Wiktor Szary at Wiktor.Szary@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
September 29, 2016 07:35 ET (11:35 GMT)
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