American Markets – the effect of high CAPEs on returns

27 Feb 2017 @ 12:35

Norbert Keimling of Star Capital produced an excellent report in 2016 looking at cyclically adjusted price earnings ratios for 17 countries. Particularly interesting is the data on 10-15 year returns on shares following the time when the market was defined as having a high, medium or a low CAPE. Today I’ll concentrate on the US […]

 

ADVFN Morning London Market Report: Friday 24 February 2017

27 Feb 2017 @ 10:40
London open: Stocks edge up as pound drops on Scottish referendum worries Stocks in London edged higher in early trade, underpinned by some solid earnings from Persimmon and AB Foods, and a weaker pound. At 0830 GMT, the FTSE 100 was up 0.4% to 7,273.55, as the pound was hit by reports that Scotland could […]
 

Sterling regains modest ground against the majors

27 Feb 2017 @ 10:02
Last week, Sterling fought to regain some fairly modest ground against the majors whereas; political uncertainties in the Eurozone thanks to upcoming elections and Trump’s fiscal policies severely damaged the euro and dollar respectively. Markets haven’t completely forgotten about Brexit though as it looks like Sterling could take an impact this week due to the […]
 

Guardian Stockbrokers Key Economic News Friday 24 February 2017

27 Feb 2017 @ 08:58
The key points from today’s economic news, brought to you by Guardian Stockbrokers. UK BBA mortgage approvals surprisingly rose in January In January, BBA mortgage approvals unexpectedly climbed to a level of 44.66 K in the UK, higher than market expectations of a drop to a level of 42.60 K. BBA mortgage approvals had registered […]
 

American Markets: Shiller and Campbell’s papers on CAPE

24 Feb 2017 @ 12:24
Many fund managers, analysts, economists and private investors pay great attention to what the 10-year cyclically adjusted price earning ratio is telling us about the level of returns we can expect from shares over the next ten years. Note that while thinkers in this field tend to emphasize evidence showing a relationship between exceptional high […]
 

Potential Frexit

24 Feb 2017 @ 11:39
A potential Frexit is causing one of France’s biggest insurers, Axa to rethink its strategy. With its shares down nearly 5% since the election, investors are now taking Le Pens National Front party seriously. The news that her rival has agreed a pact early this week will calm nerves, but another Brexit style move in […]
 

ADVFN Morning London Market Report: Friday 24 February 2017

24 Feb 2017 @ 10:17
London open: Stocks drift as RBS posts its ninth consecutive loss Stocks in London drifted lower in early trade as investors waded through a deluge of earnings, with RBS in the spotlight. AT 0825 GMT, the FTSE 100 was down 0.1% to 7,262.62. Mike van Dulken at Accendo Markets said: “FTSE sentiment may be impacted […]
 

Guardian Stockbrokers Key Economic News Friday 24 February 2017

24 Feb 2017 @ 09:49
The key points from today’s economic news, brought to you by Guardian Stockbrokers. UK CBI distributive trade survey’s retail sales balance rose in February The CBI distributive trade survey’s retail sales balance climbed to 9.00% in the UK, in February, compared to market expectations of a rise to 4.00%. In the previous month, the CBI […]
 

Are You Prepared for the Rising Interest Rates?

23 Feb 2017 @ 13:48
The FED officials have announced that they might need to increase the interest rates ‘’fairly soon’’ if the US economy stays strong. USD and EUR:  Yesterday, the US dollar was seen at its lowest level in seven weeks; with the prices accelerating the downward trend with the FED’s announcement and minutes after, the dollar saw […]
 

Potential Rally in GBP/USD Will Be a Drag on FTSE 100

23 Feb 2017 @ 13:08
As I write GBP/USD is pushing back to 1.2500, we could be at the start of a larger move to 1.2700. The pound has been trading sideways for a while, this kind of move is generally a pause in the main trend. If we assume that the trend is up (the rally from the low […]
 

MINING, OIL AND GAS

Overview on OPEC's Production Cut Decision

22 Feb 2017 @ 13:20
As we already know, the OPEC members have finally agreed to cut production in November; followed with the non-OPEC countries in December 2016. For the moment, the deal is valid for six months but there is more supply in the world than the oil itself, evidently effecting the oil prices. For this reason, the agreement […]
 

Will the Crude Oil Prices Continue to Increase?

17 Feb 2017 @ 17:04
The labour market in the US remains hot and consumer spending is strong. It is vital for Yellen to decide when it is the right time to raise rates in order to cool down the US economy. As early as March or June? The interest rate decision is just a question of time, like she […]
 

OPEC and Its Impact on Oil Prices

10 Feb 2017 @ 11:09
The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries; OPEC is an intergovernmental organization of 13 oil exporting countries from around the world. The aim of the organization is to coordinate and consolidate the energy policies of its Member Countries and guarantee the stabilization of oil markets. This way, OPEC will be able to protect the efficient supply […]
 

Monthly Forecasts for CFDs (February 2017)

09 Feb 2017 @ 12:56
AUS200 Dominant bias: Bearish The market was mostly bearish in January, and that was strong enough to bring about a bearish outlook on the market. Although volatile, price has not trended significantly in February, but it is more likely that further bearish movement would be witnessed. The current bearish outlook would remain valid until price […]
 

GLOBAL NEWS

Daily analysis of major pairs for February 27, 2017

27 Feb 2017 @ 10:16

The EUR/JPY dived by over 180 pips last week, closing below the supply zone at 118.50 on Friday. There is a clean Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the 4-hour chart, and further dive is possible this week, which may take price towards the demand zones at 118.00, 117.50 and 116.50. EUR/USD: The EUR/USD is in a […]

 

Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (February 27 – March 2, 2017)

25 Feb 2017 @ 21:48
Here’s the market ouatlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish This pair went south last week, testing the support line at 1.0500, and then bouncing upwards on Thursday and Friday. The upwards bounce would turn out to be a good selling opportunity because price is expected to trend further downwards this week, reaching the […]
 

Are You Prepared for the Rising Interest Rates?

23 Feb 2017 @ 13:48
The FED officials have announced that they might need to increase the interest rates ‘’fairly soon’’ if the US economy stays strong. USD and EUR:  Yesterday, the US dollar was seen at its lowest level in seven weeks; with the prices accelerating the downward trend with the FED’s announcement and minutes after, the dollar saw […]
 

Annual Forecast on Twitter (2017)

22 Feb 2017 @ 02:14
Twitter shares (NYSE:TWTR) are far from being an attractive market right now. Price has been quite choppy in the last several months, and this kind of situation may continue. The ADX period 14 is below the level 20, indicating trendlessness in the market. The DM- is above the DM+, showing that bears seem to have […]
 
 

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