Oil Prices Fall as OPEC Doubts Emerge
01 August 2017 - 4:37PM
Dow Jones News
By Stephanie Yang
Oil prices fell from a two-month high on Tuesday, as investors
once again began to doubt OPEC's ability to curtail production and
make a dent in the global supply glut.
Light, sweet crude for September delivery lost 56 cents, or
1.1%, to $49.57 a barrel, breaking a six-session winning streak
that led prices above $50 a barrel for the first time since May 24.
Brent, the global benchmark, fell 68 cents, or 1.3%, to $52.04 a
barrel.
Signs of increasing production from the Organization of the
Petroleum Exporting Countries have negated reassuring rhetoric by
leading member Saudi Arabia, analysts said, which has announced
plans to cap exports and enforce compliance in curtailing
output.
The cartel, along with several other major oil producing
nations, agreed to cut production late last year and extended the
deal through March 2018. Still, prices have dropped in 2017 as
market players have become more doubtful of OPEC's influence on
global crude stocks. Meanwhile, U.S. shale activity has ramped up
in response, helping offset the cuts from OPEC.
A Reuters survey this week showed OPEC production climbing in
July to the highest level since December 2016, as Libya increased
supply and some members slipped in compliance with the deal.
"The realization that OPEC oil production is at its highest
level this year is undercutting some of the recent strength," said
John Kilduff, founding partner at Again Capital. "I think there's a
lot of skepticism."
Cargo tracking data has also indicated that OPEC exports
increased in July despite the production deal, according to Robbie
Fraser, commodity analyst at Schneider Electric.
"You've got the market really hesitant at this point to make any
decisive move above $50 a barrel," said Mr. Fraser.
Traders will be closely watching for storage data from the U.S.
Energy Information Administration, due at 10:30 a.m. ET on
Wednesday. Prices have rallied in recent weeks on signs of
declining supply in the U.S., as stockpiles have fallen six out of
the past seven weeks.
Recent gains have also prompted some traders to take profits
ahead of the EIA data, said Jim Ritterbusch, president of
energy-advisory firm Ritterbusch & Associates.
The storage reports are "especially big right now," Mr. Fraser
said. "If you want to point to a single justification of why prices
have been able to claw their way back...those stock draws are
really going to need to keep happening."
Write to Stephanie Yang at stephanie.yang@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
August 01, 2017 11:22 ET (15:22 GMT)
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