CURRENCIES: Dollar Hits 2-month High As Yellen Suggests Rate Hike In Coming Months
27 May 2016 - 9:22PM
Dow Jones News
By Ellie Ismailidou, MarketWatch , Hiroyuki Kachi
Yen weakens as its 'haven status' dissipates
The dollar extended gains Friday after Federal Reserve
Chairwoman Janet Yellen said an interest-rate increase may be
coming in a matter of "months," if the economy continues to
improve.
Her comments boosted the greenback, which had already been
flirting with a two-month high against the euro after fresh data
showed the U.S. economy grew in the first quarter at a faster pace
than initially estimated.
Though the strong gross-domestic-product data had fueled
speculation that the Fed might raise rates soon, Yellen's comments
still surprised some market-watchers who thought she would likely
wait until a June 6 speech to crank up the rate-specific
rhetoric.
"In sum, this is the same message that we've seen ad nauseam
from a host of Fed speakers over the past couple of weeks. but
she's the Chair!" said Thomas Simons, senior money-market economist
at Jefferies, in emailed comments.
The ICE U.S. Dollar index , a measure of the dollar's strength
against a basket of six rivals, was up 0.6% at 95.75, its highest
level since March 28.
The euro fell to $1.1115 late Friday, from $1.1195 late Thursday
in New York, its lowest level since March 28. Meanwhile the pound
fell to $1.4613 from $1.4662 late Thursday.
Read:Janet Yellen says a rate rise in coming months is probably
appropriate
(http://blogs.marketwatch.com/capitolreport/2016/05/27/live-blog-and-video-of-janet-yellen-interview/)
The dollar also rose against the yen Friday. But analysts mainly
attributed the moves to a reversal of the risk-averse sentiment
that had fueled demand for the yen as a haven currency earlier this
year.
"Market talk of uncertainty" has dissipated as oil prices have
stabilized, equity markets have been pushing higher and economic
data in the U.S. have been improving, said Juan Perez, a currency
trader at Tempus Inc.
As a result, the yen's haven status has been challenged, while
at the same time Japan's economy remains under deflationary
pressures--both of which weighed on the yen Friday, according to
Perez.
Late Friday, the dollar was changing hands at Yen110.33,
compared with Yen109.75 late Thursday in New York.
Breaking above Yen110.00 is a critical level for the greenback,
according to Shinichiro Kadota, vice president of research at
Barclays in Tokyo, as during recent sessions the dollar was caught
in a pattern where "it struggles to go up after breaking above
Yen110.00, but shows a rebound when it falls below Yen109.50."
On the U.S. economic front, the stronger-than-expected data on
gross domestic product
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/first-quarter-us-gdp-raised-to-08-2016-05-27)
were viewed as enhancing expectations that the Fed might raise
interest rates sooner than later, pushing the dollar higher.
Gross domestic product rose at an 0.8% annualized rate in the
first quarter, up from an initial 0.5% reading, the Commerce
Department said. Somewhat stronger home building and restocking of
warehouse shelves were behind the upward revision.
Earlier in the day, currency market participants largely played
down the statement of the Group of Seven summit that volatile
foreign exchange moves may have an adverse economic impact. After
wrapping up their two-day meeting in western Japan, the leaders
also reaffirmed that monetary easing should not be used for
competitive currency devaluation.
Meanwhile, expectations are high for Japan to put together a
fresh stimulus package. Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, who hosted the
G-7 summit, on Thursday offered a grimmer picture of the world's
economy, warning of the risk of an economic "crisis."
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/are-commodities-signaling-a-lehman-sized-meltdown-japans-abe-thinks-so-2016-05-26)
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
May 27, 2016 16:07 ET (20:07 GMT)
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