Aviva Share Discussion Threads

[linton5] 06/4/2020 21:25

Defo come on Boris fi Fife he's the man

[carpingtris] 06/4/2020 21:15

Yep get well soon Boris!

[eurofox] 06/4/2020 21:14

best wishes for Boris now in intensive care

[coxsmn] 06/4/2020 21:00

5k deaths yesterday?

There have been 5.3k covid-19 deaths so far in the UK or 0.008% of the uk population.

There are currently 4-5k new cases of covid-19 a day.

[whatsup32] 06/4/2020 20:53

Dow finishing up 6.5% , AV. should continue to rise tomorrow .

Spud. Corona plus Brexit and now Boris. Give U.K. a break....

[spud] 06/4/2020 20:45

Boris in intensive care. spud

[wba1] 06/4/2020 20:25

I agree testing is key. The real question is why we have only been able to carry out 252k tests when Germany has tested 918k, and even Australia (with a far smaller population) has tested 303k and Canada 330k. The UK has one of the lowest tests/million of population of developed countries. Tseting strategy and management has been a shambles.

[cjac39] 06/4/2020 19:53

Coxsmn I think that it’s very underestimated how far the virus got. To have 5000 deaths yesterday with an IFR (death rate) of 0.5% (china’s average. Iceland by the way is below 0.19%) that means 1mln had it around 25 days ago. We had 11 days where it would be doubling every 3 days and then lockdown so maybe assume one doubling in 14 days. That’s 8mln people as a central case. If ifr is lower then it’s more. If ifa is 1% (which I really doubt) its still 4mln. If the ifr is as I suspect closer to 0.1-0.2% then we should be out sooner rather than later

[igoe104] 06/4/2020 19:29

Dr biotech, isn't that the Naked trader style announce the trades two weeks after the event, and then take the Pats on the back for always being right.

[coxsmn] 06/4/2020 19:08

We currently have roughly 4-5k new cases of Covid-29 per day, at this rate over the space of 1year less than 3% of the UK population will have built up immunity to the disease.For a fifth of the UK population to build immunity would require 36K new cases every day over the same period.

[alphorn] 06/4/2020 18:42

........with their fantasy trades as well. ;))

[dr biotech] 06/4/2020 18:34

I mention most of my trades real time. That’s the only way to get credibility. There are too many in here that seem to have retrospective brokers that allowed them to buy at the bottom and sell at what was the top.

[coxsmn] 06/4/2020 18:33

Agreed but we need to be able to self test on a regular basis? If we come out of lock down and less than 5% of the population has been exposed to the virus then potentially 95% of the problem still remains.

We need a way to fast track a vaccine for everyone.

[yf23_1] 06/4/2020 18:24

Yes, well if we have the self-test kits the gvt (and people) will be able to target positive cases and keep the spread down so we won't have to be in lockdown.

[coxsmn] 06/4/2020 18:11

I live 30 miles outside of London. In our area there are 119 confirmed cases in a population of 268000 i.e 0.044%.My concern is the lock down doesn't solve the problem, it is preventing almost all the population from getting the disease at great expense but we can't stay locked down forever.

[yf23_1] 06/4/2020 16:41

Well, lets have a bit of optimism...
deaths in a normal year are over 500,000..
which is about 1,400 per day
So looking at an extra 100 or less per day doesn't seem too much of a burden.
I was actually surprised that in fact the normal death rate far outweighs the current pandemic death rate.

[eurofox] 06/4/2020 16:36

plentymorefish6 Apr '20 - 15:38 - 1881 of 1892
0 1 0
Thanks for the update eurofox….what are you having for tea?....


... the right sort

[linton5] 06/4/2020 16:28

Aye Glasgow tough for a fifer though haha

[glasgow13] 06/4/2020 16:26

All been there.

[linton5] 06/4/2020 16:23

I can remember having 4k pru shares at 210 sold them at 250 I was new to it all I also had 2k lse at 418 sold 450. Not a game to play if your green but there you go if only I'd been experienced

[linton5] 06/4/2020 16:18

I just can't get my head round what the directors think of that say 15year performance surely they would accept a nice bid and I'm sure a big boy would be interested

[glasgow13] 06/4/2020 16:17

Round about that time PRU was about the same price.

[linton5] 06/4/2020 16:15

I personally hope as a long term shareholder they get taken out from someone a great business to take over for a big boy as you say Andy share price over 20 year is poor.it would catch out those shorter big time.