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| Share Name | Share Symbol | Market | Type | Share ISIN | Share Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aviva Plc | LSE:AV. | London | Ordinary Share | GB00BPQY8M80 | ORD 32 17/19P |
| Price Change | % Change | Share Price | Shares Traded | Last Trade
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.80 | 1.27% | 623.00 | 17,291,552 | 16:35:24 |
| Bid Price | Offer Price | High Price | Low Price | Open Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 623.00 | 623.20 | 625.40 | 616.60 | 617.60 | |
| Industry Sector | Turnover | Profit | EPS - Basic | PE Ratio | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Insurance Carriers, Nec | 41.35B | 683M | 0.2550 | 24.44 | 16.48B |
| Last Trade Time | Trade Type | Trade Size | Trade Price | Currency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:01:56 | O | 17 | 624.60 | GBX |
| Date | Time | Source | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/6/2025 | 16:17 | UK RNS | Barclays PLC Form 8.3 AVIVA PLC Replacement |
| 20/6/2025 | 15:30 | UK RNS | Syquant Capital Form 8.3 - AV LN |
| 20/6/2025 | 15:30 | UK RNS | Syquant Capital Form 8.3 - DLG LN |
| 20/6/2025 | 15:28 | UK RNS | Morgan Stanley & Co. Int'l plc Form 8.5 (EPT/RI) - Replacement of Aviva Plc |
| 20/6/2025 | 15:25 | UK RNS | Glazer Capital, LLC Form 8.3 - Aviva plc |
| 20/6/2025 | 15:25 | UK RNS | UBS Asset Management Form 8.3 - Aviva PLC |
| 20/6/2025 | 15:20 | UK RNS | BlackRock Group Form 8.3 - Aviva plc |
| 20/6/2025 | 14:52 | UK RNS | Nomura International PLC Form 8.3 - AVIVA PLC |
| 20/6/2025 | 14:31 | UK RNS | Barclays PLC Form 8.3 AVIVA PLC |
| 20/6/2025 | 14:29 | UK RNS | State Street Global Advisors Form 8.3 - Aviva PLC |
Aviva (AV.) Share Charts1 Year Aviva Chart |
|
1 Month Aviva Chart |
Intraday Aviva Chart |
| Date | Time | Title | Posts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/6/2025 | 15:11 | AVIVA PLC | 21,149 |
| 09/4/2025 | 10:54 | Aviva | 25,534 |
| 20/11/2024 | 15:49 | AVIVA (MODERATED) | 134 |
| 16/3/2024 | 17:45 | AV. for alternative views | 11 |
| 13/3/2024 | 17:45 | No-Raj Union ? | 2 |
| Trade Time | Trade Price | Trade Size | Trade Value | Trade Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-20 17:31:37 | 624.60 | 17 | 106.18 | O |
| 2025-06-20 17:10:28 | 429.70 | 898 | 3,858.71 | O |
| 2025-06-20 17:10:26 | 445.40 | 812 | 3,616.65 | O |
| 2025-06-20 17:10:24 | 496.50 | 1,150 | 5,709.75 | O |
| 2025-06-20 17:10:23 | 409.90 | 34 | 139.37 | O |
| Top Posts |
|---|
Posted at 21/6/2025 09:20 by Aviva Daily Update Aviva Plc is listed in the Insurance Carriers, Nec sector of the London Stock Exchange with ticker AV.. The last closing price for Aviva was 615.20p.Aviva currently has 2,678,835,396 shares in issue. The market capitalisation of Aviva is £16,694,502,188. Aviva has a price to earnings ratio (PE ratio) of 24.44. This morning AV. shares opened at 617.60p |
Posted at 18/6/2025 23:55 by not my real name mountpleasant"Are you expecting the dilution to knock down the share price?" -------------------- They are buying DLG because they hope it will increase the value of the group by considerably more than they paid for it. Analysts estimate EPS increase of around 15% within 2 years. I don't see any reason for the share price to do anything other than continue its spectacular performance of the period since the original offer was proposed. Remember the original offer was based on Avivas price of 489.3p. I reckon we've done pretty well since then. They've risen by 25.85% in just short of 6 months. Absolutely no reason for the shares to reverse ferret after completion. Lots of holders of both shares may divest some of their holdings but there are also plenty of buyers willing to mop up. Good luck to all holders, All IMHO, NMRN |
Posted at 17/6/2025 00:27 by philanderer M&G gained 2.0% as Barclays upgraded to ’overweight&rs‘In our view, M&G’s growth potential is not reflected in its current share price, while Aviva’s share price exceeds our price target that includes the potential impact of Direct Line’ Barclays said in a research note. |
Posted at 09/6/2025 20:36 by pj84 Despite KBW downgrading Aviva relative to other European insurers they say the following: -"Aviva is complicated by the DLG transaction," KBW said in the note, with the deal diluting equity by around 10% upfront but with earnings accretion expected to rise to at least 10% by 2027 and beyond. ..." and "Aviva, together with Italian giant Generali, now offer the lowest forecast returns among the ‘Big 5’ European insurers, KBW analysts said, at an estimated 17% total annual return from 2024 to 2027." I agree the recent rise means more of the future benefits are now in the current share price but nothing above deters me from holding and picking up the dividends whilst waiting for further share price appreciation over the medium term. |
Posted at 16/5/2025 07:08 by muscletrade Commentary on Interactive Investor. (they obviously don't think the 1st qtr result are mixed).Aviva has reported a strong start to the year as it continues its transformational strategy towards a more capital-light business driven in part by selective bolt-on acquisitions. Its purchases last year of AIG Life UK, which boosted its protection presence, and Probitas, which provided exposure to the Lloyd’s of London market and an estimated addressable market of £200 billion of distribution opportunities, were important and timely moves. This was then trumped by the announcement of the Direct Line acquisition in December which was well received, and with good reason. The announcement of the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) investigation into whether the deal represents a “substantial lessening of competition” raised some eyebrows yesterday. Given the size of the Direct Line acquisition the interest is predictable, but the time which has elapsed had led some to believe that an inquiry would not be forthcoming. Nonetheless, the muted share price reaction to the news yesterday suggests a sanguine response from investors, while for its own part Aviva has stated that the deal remains “firmly on track”. Aviva shares receive further backing from City experts Lloyds Bank and Aviva part of £9bn FTSE 100 dividend windfall The Income Investor: better dividend prospects for FTSE 100 stock Meanwhile, the group as it currently stands has seen growth virtually across the board in the first three months of 2025. Its General Insurance Premiums rose by 9% to £2.9 billion, Retirement sales by 4% to £1.8 billion and Protection % Health sales by 19% to £126 million. Its solvency coverage ratio stands at an extremely healthy 201% and while the costly cash requirements of the Direct Line deal will prevent any share buybacks this year, a dividend yield of 6.2% is more than adequate compensation for shareholders in the interim. An upbeat outlook on current and future trading, where Aviva remains confident in achieving previously guided numbers, was exemplified by net inflows to the end of April of £4 billion in Wealth, representing some 6% of overall Assets under Management, due largely to the arrival of another large Workplace scheme. Elsewhere, growth is likely to be maintained in the increasingly popular lines of private health and life insurance, while the group’s diversity continues to provide exposure to most insurance outcomes. In any event, the group is looking to strengthen its suite of products while also edging towards a more capital-light framework, where it estimated that more than 70% of profit will fall under this description on completion of the Direct Line deal, let alone the significant expected synergies. Heightened competition and any integration risks associated with the recent and proposed acquisitions have been recognised but largely swept aside by investors. The more obvious attraction of a group, which continues to play to its strengths, has led to a share price which has risen by 17% over the last year, as compared to a gain of 1.6% for the wider FTSE100 and by 39% over the last two years. Nor has appetite for the group and its prospects diminished, with the market consensus of the shares as a strong buy continuing to underline its leading credentials in the sector. |
Posted at 12/1/2025 10:43 by whatsup32 Sunday Times. "Scam insurers"It seems due to high cost of insurance for youngsters some are turning to "scam insurers" . Basicly no insurance but you do buy a piece of paper to say you have insurance. Problems arise when you try to claim . Also highlights many who use mum and dads insurance and add their name to theirs. Rongetrich. Why would they buy DLG if they wanted to reduce exposure to car insurance? . I sense we want see much upside on Av. share price for awhile , |
Posted at 13/12/2024 16:14 by muscletrade Since two major UK insurance companies announced takeover terms on 6 December – a “possible̶DLG 0.65% by Aviva AV. 0.79% becoming a full offer by Christmas – it is curious how Direct Line shares are trading at 247p, a 10.5% discount to the offer price. Is this a fair reflection of risks surrounding a deal consummating, or an opportunity to buy into or raise one’s holding in Aviva by discounted means? Aviva has been a popular share for income-seekers, and consensus forecasts imply an 8% dividend yield with roughly 1.2x earnings cover. Mind, its free cash-flow profile – what counts most for payouts – has seen historic volatility. Invest with ii: Top UK Shares | Share Tips & Ideas | Cashback Offers Recommended terms are 275p per Direct Line share comprising 129.7p in cash (Aviva can fund from internal resources) and 0.2867 new Aviva shares, also a dividend up to 5p from Direct Line. A dividend may be necessary anyway if the competition regulator much delays completion of the deal. With Aviva trading at 475p, the share-based element values Direct Line at 136p, hence around 5p of the possible offer discount is explained by Aviva falling from 483p since the news broke: Aviva chart performance Source: TradingView. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. Otherwise, that still leaves the discount just over 10% as if the market sees risks. The chances of Aviva backing off look low Aviva would have modelled its financial resource within a range of possible offers before it initially mooted a 250p per Direct Line share on 28 November. Digital Line Insurance Group performance chart Source: TradingView. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. Given Direct Line floated at 175p in 2012, it would seem its strategy and execution has been lacking, although there have been substantial dividends (including special payouts) over the years. Direct Line Insurance Group - financial summary Year end 31 Dec 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Turnover (£ million) 3,349 3,253 3,321 3,496 3,427 3,284 3,202 3,230 3,229 3,602 Operating margin (%) 13.6 15.4 10.4 15.2 16.8 15.4 14.0 13.6 -7.0 3.8 Operating profit (£m) 457 500 345 531 577 506 447 441 -226 137 Net profit (£m) 373 580 279 434 472 420 367 344 -232 223 Reported EPS (p) 26.0 27.6 20.2 31.5 32.9 29.2 25.5 24.1 -19.1 15.9 Normalised EPS (p) 26.7 26.5 24.1 33.6 33.0 29.9 28.2 30.0 -19.1 15.7 Earnings per share growth (%) 1.8 -0.8 -8.9 39.4 -1.7 -9.4 -5.7 6.4 -163 176 Operating cashflow/share (p) 51.4 37.6 62.4 39.6 35.6 33.4 42.5 32.4 61.6 30.9 Capex/share (p) 13.9 9.9 9.5 6.9 11.3 13.6 11.7 10.2 9.2 30.4 Free cashflow/share (p) 37.5 27.7 53.0 32.7 24.3 19.9 30.8 22.2 52.4 0.5 Ordinary dividend per share (p) 12.6 13.8 14.6 20.4 21.0 21.6 22.1 22.7 7.6 4.0 Covered by earnings (x) 1.8 2.0 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.1 -0.6 4.0 Special dividend per share (p) 14.0 27.5 10.0 15.0 8.3 0.0 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 Cash (£m) 880 964 1,166 1,359 1,154 949 1,220 956 1,004 1,772 Net debt (£m) -284 -381 -571 -523 -319 -126 -153 -897 -939 -1,584 Net assets/share (p) 205 191 185 198 187 193 200 194 176 183 Source: historic company REFS and company accounts Aviva will have judged a takeover as strategically sound and earnings-enhancing, with scope to take out costs and achieve synergies. Raising its offer terms may also include an aspect of hope that more can be released from Direct Line’s claims reserves and which may only involve tweaking the discount rate applied. But this is going to need closer examination – as is likely happening right now. Even in a worst-case scenario of skeletons, there would seem more likely a modest adjustment on price. Most Direct Line holders will be even more relieved finally to have a chance to move on. Sector Screener: more potential for Rolls-Royce and BAE shares? IAG and easyJet among airline share tips for 2025 A latest note from broker Jefferies cites their concern that Direct Line’s IT systems may be problematic to integrate after a recent investment programme. “It is unclear which system Aviva ought to decommission; however, as Aviva’s book is performing better, it might be safer to write off Direct Line’s investment and move that book to Aviva, even if the systems are older.” All-considered as to execution risk, I see this favouring Aviva consummating a deal. Its recent strategy has been to divest non-core and overseas interests, but the fact its shares are priced for an 8% yield suggests the market sees few capital growth prospects. A substantive UK acquisition starts to address that. Aviva - financial summary Year-end 31 Dec 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Operating profit (£m) 1,833 2,374 1,734 3,916 1,895 877 -2,138 1,793 Net profit (£m) 703 1,497 1,568 2,548 2,798 1,966 -1,051 1,085 Reported EPS (p) 19.9 45.0 49.7 82.4 43.7 8.3 -34.7 37.7 Normalised EPS (p) 23.6 46.6 48.0 83.4 47.2 8.2 -34.6 37.8 Earnings per share growth (%) -46.5 97.1 3.2 73.6 -43.4 -82.7 Return on capital (%) 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.2 -0.7 0.5 Operating cashflow/share (p) 153 249 177 200 -82.8 7.4 508 -99.6 Capex/share (p) 6.0 5.7 5.0 4.0 4.6 3.6 3.2 12.8 Free cashflow/share (p) 147 243 172 196 -87.4 3.8 505 -112 Dividend per share (p) 30.7 36.1 39.5 20.4 27.6 29.0 31.0 33.4 Covered by earnings (x) 0.6 1.3 1.3 4.0 1.6 0.3 -1.1 1.1 Cash (£m) 29,834 13,377 8,355 11,171 10,345 12,485 22,505 17,273 Net debt (£m) -17,858 -2,360 2,359 -190 780 -5,141 -14,435 -9,906 Net assets (£m) 16,803 16,969 16,558 17,008 19,354 16,238 9,704 9,082 Net assets/share (p) 544 557 559 571 649 569 348 334 Source: historic company REFS and company accounts. Jefferies regard Aviva shares as “inexpensive below a 10x 2025 P/E”, hence reiterate “buy” and raise their target price to 560p from 550p. If a fair view, then it sweetens the exit for Direct Line shareholders, hence intrigue whether to add currently. There must, however, be two valuation scenarios based on whether or not the takeover happens, given Aviva’s motivation to do so is based on enhancing earnings. Longevity of regulatory examination is key uncertainty Some Direct Line holders argue the 5 December approval by the Competition & Markets Authority (CMA) of the takeover of Three by Vodafone Group VOD 0.41% , implies this insurance takeover is most likely to happen. Estimates differ but combining Aviva with Direct Line could possibly result in a 20% share of the UK motor insurance market, yet the CMA waved through Vodafone and Three with 20% and 15% of the UK mobile market respectively. That will, however, still lag Virgin 02 with 38%, if ahead of BT Group BT.A 0.27% with 27%. Unpacking some of the contrasting claims: Data from Confused.com, a UK financial services comparison platform, suggests a combination would result in a market share over 20% in motor insurance - Aviva currently with 11% and Direct Line just over 10.2% - ahead of Admiral Group ADM 0.65% with 11% then Hastings just below 7%. Shareholders have to hope Confused is indeed so. On 2 December, Statistica cited Admiral leading with 13% and Aviva/Direct Line combined accounting for 12%. The top 10 motor insurers in the UK hold 75% of the total UK market. It would seem the difference is based on Statistica using first-half-2024 figures for motor premiums. Apparently, the combination will lead to the UK’s largest home insurer. What the future might hold for BT and Vodafone shares Stockwatch: why I worry about a shift in takeover trends Precedent exists: when Aviva initiated its £460 million purchase of AIG’s UK protection side, the CMA investigated how the merged entity would become the biggest operator with a share over 20%, ahead of Legal & General and various others. It approved the combination given the two businesses’ services were different enough to have separate rivals. Yet with Aviva/Direct Line, both target the mass market and tend to sell direct rather than use intermediaries. So, it rather depends how the CMA wants to regard a strengthening of such approach. The competition regulator is accountable to government where a House of Commons report has cited UK car insurance prices rising by 82% from May 2021 to June 2024; although Covid lockdowns did reduce premiums shortly beforehand. I treat this inflation claim with a pinch of salt for it may not be wholly real if based on renewal prices. All insurers seem to try and fleece customers this way, but if you compare the market and go back negotiate, they usually cave in. Not surprisingly then, Aviva is already pitching that the takeover will create efficiencies able to lower premium costs. From customer review boards on Direct Line, some people do protest at high prices/increases while others praise its customer service. Does economic growth imply more or less competition regulation? Optimists on this takeover also cite the CMA’s CEO declaring last month it “should play a critical part in the success of the government’s growth mission”. Following the US election result, it is easy to assume this means a loosening of regulation, the platform on which Donald Trump stood, his strong victory prompting US stocks to surge. What is tipped to be the best asset class of 2025? Sign up to our free newsletter for investment ideas, latest news and award-winning analysis Yet the CMA boss meant competition as an “engine for unlocking opportunities and growth...we must stay true to our mandate from Parliament: to promote competition, for the benefit of consumers”. That implies a toughening of approach, at least to examine change where it creates greater concentration of power. The CMA launched its investigation into Vodafone/Three on 26 January. While the outcome could be similar here, there is an obvious time value for uncertainty. Double-digit discount does make sense You can take your view, but reasons exist why this takeover – even if formally proposed before the Christmas deadline – could drag on. Direct Line shares may respond positively, but I would expect at least a 5% discount to offer terms to continue. If and when the CMA shows its hand, this valuation gap could widen again. Obtaining Aviva shares still appears an attractive prospect. Recent consensus forecasts (which ought not to factor in the takeover) imply its forward earnings growth prospect divided by the price/earnings ratio is 0.7, hence a “buy” according to this PEG ratio. Mind, these numbers may benefit from recent underlying momentum; if that is sustainable then why assume the risk of a big takeover? Reasons therefore exist to continue holding both shares. As to any “arbitrageR Edmond Jackson is a freelance contributor and not a direct employee of interactive investor. |
Posted at 06/12/2024 08:33 by spob .Possible Offer = 129.7p cash + 5p divi + (0.2867 x Aviva share price) Based on 489.3p per Aviva share, this equals 275p per DLG share (49% cash) This represents a premium of: o 73.3% to the closing Direct Line share price on 27 November 2024 (being the last closing share price before the offer period commenced); and o 49.7% to the six month volume-weighted average Direct Line share price to 27 November 2024. |
Posted at 06/12/2024 07:01 by skinny Aviva and Direct Line announce that they have reached preliminary agreement on the financial terms of a potential acquisition of the entire share capital of Direct Line by Aviva (the "Proposal").Based on Aviva's last closing share price before the offer period started, being 489.3 pence per Aviva share, the Proposal represents total consideration valued at 275 pence per Direct Line share to be delivered as: o 129.7 pence per Direct Line share in cash, funded through Aviva's internally available cash resources; o 0.2867 new Aviva shares per Direct Line share; and o dividend payments of up to 5 pence per Direct Line share in aggregate (the "Permitted Dividend"), to be paid (subject to the approval of the Board of Direct Line) prior to completion. This represents a premium of: o 73.3% to the closing Direct Line share price on 27 November 2024 (being the last closing share price before the offer period commenced); and o 49.7% to the six month volume-weighted average Direct Line share price to 27 November 2024. |
Posted at 04/12/2024 18:56 by t-trader Aviva needs to be careful they don’t overpay. Personally I thought 250 was a fair price considering DLG was languishing in the 150’s. Anything above another 20p on the offer will likely negate the benefits of the acquisition imoIn the meantime AV. Share price will hold around this level or lower until either another bid materialises or AV. walks away. Personally, not a massive fan of share dilution to make an acquisition but I trust Aviva & Amanda Blanc to make the right decision in respect of both sets of shareholders. Question is how greedy will DLG be? If a 2nd offer of say 265-270 does materialise, will it be enough? I think if DLG rejected again, it would be in the best interest of Aviva and its shareholders to walk away. Sooner this is sorted out, the better! |
Posted at 30/11/2024 11:13 by whatsup32 Failed Belgian offer must have hissed of many DLG holders. Seeing share price drop from 230p ish to near 150p must have hurt.I suspect they won't want to miss this opportunity and will back Av t/o. If I was CEO of DLG I would encourage Belgians to comeback and show interest. Belgian offer is currently better for DLG as their share price has gone up. Pleased that our share price hasn't moved , can only presume market thinks there is value here even with t/o |
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