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AV. Aviva Plc

2.30 (0.55%)
01 Dec 2023 - Closed
Delayed by 15 minutes
Share Name Share Symbol Market Type Share ISIN Share Description
Aviva Plc LSE:AV. London Ordinary Share GB00BPQY8M80 ORD 32 17/19P
  Price Change % Change Share Price Shares Traded Last Trade
  2.30 0.55% 419.80 4,098,192 16:35:17
Bid Price Offer Price High Price Low Price Open Price
419.60 419.80 420.30 413.30 413.30
Industry Sector Turnover Profit EPS - Basic PE Ratio Market Cap
Insurance Carriers, Nec -21.24B -1.16B -0.8260 -5.08 5.89B
Last Trade Time Trade Type Trade Size Trade Price Currency
17:58:10 O 571 418.10 GBX

Aviva (AV.) Latest News (3)

Aviva (AV.) Discussions and Chat

Aviva Forums and Chat

Date Time Title Posts
02/12/202309:30AVIVA PLC 18,080
05/4/202317:44Aviva SLa Lgen??2
29/9/202215:33Ideas Anyone?1
31/3/202210:21Aviva - Cheap on fundies4

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Aviva (AV.) Most Recent Trades

Trade Time Trade Price Trade Size Trade Value Trade Type
2023-12-01 17:26:50417.60416.70O
2023-12-01 17:22:00419.826,00025,189.38O
2023-12-01 17:15:25416.15200832.30O
2023-12-01 17:06:28419.8011,35247,655.70O
2023-12-01 17:05:03419.829,44839,664.69O

Aviva (AV.) Top Chat Posts

Top Posts
Posted at 02/12/2023 08:20 by Aviva Daily Update
Aviva Plc is listed in the Insurance Carriers, Nec sector of the London Stock Exchange with ticker AV.. The last closing price for Aviva was 417.50p.
Aviva currently has 1,404,306,982 shares in issue. The market capitalisation of Aviva is £5,892,472,096.
Aviva has a price to earnings ratio (PE ratio) of -5.08.
This morning AV. shares opened at 413.30p
Posted at 29/11/2023 11:04 by cyberian are right to correct poster muscietrade over Conduit sale. It is Aviva that sold down at a reasonable price I believe. Conduit share price has been rising recently and is a credible name in the re-insurance market, and I hold a few.
Posted at 29/11/2023 08:39 by 1robbob
So Deutsche Bank 'Teenage Scribblers' think a prospective 15%+ rise in the AV share price only deserves a reduced recommendation of Hold from Buy; following a huge 2% reduction in their share price forecast !!!
Posted at 16/11/2023 09:34 by yump
Surely buy backs are not that complicated.

If you already own shares and the buyback shares are cancelled, the dividend per share rises and the earnings per share rises. If the share price stays the same, then the rating has dropped and you just benefit from the extra dividend. If the rating stays the same, the share price will rise a bit and you get some capital gain. If the rating rises a bit you get extra dividend and 2 bits of capital gain.
Posted at 07/11/2023 17:20 by 1robbob
Good evening, Ladies and Gentlemen I return after a 2-months stress free ‘leave of absence’ from the BB – suitably refreshed, sun tanned and with a highly manicured garden. I see that very little has changed over the period; the share price has recovered 11.0% from a mindlessly bombed-out level ...and you have managed to generate 785 posts!!

Aviva remains a solid, perhaps boring to some, investment.
On a prospective dividend yield of 8.23 (2023), growing at 7% pa covered 2x by cash generation; it remains without doubt stonkingly cheap. This is underlined by further Senior Executive purchases of significant £ size
However, regardless of the cheapness of any share or Index until such a time that interest rates are falling, no sustainable progress will be made in a northerly direction. Until that time AV shareholders will be able to enjoy their huge dividends whereas those holding 'growth'(!!) shares paying little or no dividends have no such sustenance.

At least the undervaluation of AV, should it persist, mitigates IHT !!!

A further sale from the rump of the old international business is welcome, with part of the proceeds re-invested in a significant bolt-on acquisition. Leaving a balance sufficient to finance a further 3% Share Buyback in 2024

I see that you had fun and games with a, thus far, spurious takeover rumour. I suspect that there is no smoke without fire; however I couldn’t care a toss. Any takeover of AV would have huge political and regulatory implications. I bought AV shares to achieve a high and growing income with maintenance of capital value. Unless a bid is over 650p it is of little added value to me, as I would have to find other income sources from undoubtedly lower quality Companies

An interesting article in the Investors Chronicle recently; suggested that as a result of the reduction in life expectancy the quoted life companies will enjoy a release of, no longer needed, reserves amounting to circa 15% of their stock market capitalisation. This underlines the possibility of AV operating Share Buybacks every year into the foreseeable future of circa £300m pa; this will enable annual dividend increases in aggregate of 7% pa

There have been a number of very interesting posts on the merits of yield on both cost and market price. Most of these posts seem to have ignored dividend per share growth. Since I purchased my AV holdings in 2020 the annual DPS has been 28.46p (adjusted for cap reduction), 31.00p and 33.40p (prospective). So although I purchased at a yield on cost of 8.1% my prospective yield on cost for 2023 is 9.5% and on my guestimate, 10.2% for 2024.There is always a risk of a reduction in dividend, but I am well pleased thus far. Very high Income and preservation of Capital

Q3 Statements rarely say much of any significance. I suspect that AVs Trading Update on 16th November will contain no surprises, with a ’steady as we go’ sentiment. I expect at some point, perhaps with the Finals, AV will indicate the total dividend cost for 2024 to be circa £950m (£915m) and confirming that this will be covered 2x by cash generation. Assuming a 3% Share Buyback this would represent a 35.7p DPS for 2024 = a 7% increase on 2023 and a 8.8% prospective dividend yield

The risks remain:
1) Government intervention.
2) Departure of AB
3) Reduction in Risk Management diligence
4) New entrants into any business area putting pressure on premium rates
5) A shift in focus in any business area towards increasing market share at the expense of profit margin
6) A share based international ‘Merger’
Posted at 28/10/2023 22:09 by gco1133a
Klotzak this is just wrong and muddled thinking. Pete160 explained it pretty well but I will have another go.

In some parallel universe two identical companies both have a share price of 100p but one yields 6% and the other 5%. You wisely choose the company that has the 6% yield and invest £10k and earn £600 a year in dividends. A year later the two companies are still identical paying the same dividend but due to the irrationality of the market the share price of the company you have invested in has doubled but the other company is still trading at 100p so you have a £20k investment earning 3% at the current price. If you sell you holding and reinvest in the other company you will now get £1k in dividends a £400 improvement. This a 5% yield on your new investment compared to the 6% book yield if you kept your original investment, but it is obviously a rational thing to do. Yield on book cost is not a useful concept.
Posted at 28/10/2023 20:44 by klotzak
If you buy and the price is 200, then the yield is reflective on that price. It is your yield, the book yield is on the market price on whenever you look. If you buy today your personal yield is the dividend compared to the share price.
Let’s not be daft about this.
Posted at 28/10/2023 15:55 by pete160
Given the market volatility, but also the opportunities around, I cannot see how anyone could justify going all in on one stock. I hold good % shares of my portfolio in Av. Lgen, Phnx and esp. MNG at present, but even that makes me nervous given the weighting towards financials - and uk financials at that.

Fortunately the dividends on each (which I consider to be relatively safe) help to offset that anxiety, but it's still there.

Though I still curse the weighting of Lloyds and RBS in 2008 because I felt they might be safe banks, and more recently FRES, bought - and still held, as a means of providing exposure to precious metals.

True about the nice problem to have.

I may be wrong, but my view is that the price you bought at is not particularly relevant. It is the opportunity cost of the current price.

If the dividend on 1,000 shares is 300 gbp, it's likely to still be £ 300 or so whether your 1,000 shares are worth 3 bgp, 4 bgp or 6 gbp.

But if the dividend is 300 gbp and the share price is 6 gbp, you have an opportunity cost of attaining that, or more, elsewhere.

and if you purchased the 1,000 shares at 4 gbp, whilst your dividend may be the same, the yield percentage is reduced if the price increases to 6 gbp.
Posted at 09/10/2023 08:48 by whatsup32
..c 2m shares traded in first 1.45hrs that's close to our daily average .

Given a terrible day for the market and no news on takeover, that's pretty good share price for Av.

Who knows we may even finish up today.
Posted at 08/10/2023 10:02 by andyble
I also thought the most telling snippet in the press was the "A City source told the Guardian there had been some discussions with suitors."

In my experience there in no smoke without fire and in these situations if no fire then one is quickly lit and it all becomes self fulfilling. Human nature and the fear of missing out busies the bankers towards fertile pastures and once that tide has started then the outcome is inevitable especially with the low priced fruit like this no matter what the size and regulatory hurdles.

Moreover Amanda and team will be frustrated that their efforts to make the business work are going unrecognised in the share price and this may very possibly always be so within the duration of their watch.

The board and management will conclude that they have a duty to shareholders and stakeholders to either continue breaking the group up, or to auction it off as a whole whilst the bait is there of a low share price and a rejuvenated higher margin growing business.

Aviva in play will likely yield the best result and here we are by design or not. I remember bravely and correctly forecasting for a previous holding of mine that it would be under offer by the year end in exactly these circumstances. I am going to say this again for Aviva. It is in play now whether they like it or not and the momentum will be with the merit of the outcome for the board and shareholders.
Posted at 05/10/2023 08:19 by richie1218
As the Aviva share price rises, will Allianz make a move?

Aviva stock price bounced back on Wednesday this week.

This move was triggered by the rumours that Allianz would make a bid.

I believe that Aviva is a good and undervalued company.

viva (LON: AV) share price bounced back this week amid rumours that the company will be acquired. After falling to a low of 375.7p on Tuesday, the shares jumped to a high of 395p. It has been in a consolidation phase in the past few months.

Will Allianz make a bid?
The biggest catalyst for the Aviva share price is the ongoing rumours that the company could be acquired. The likely acquirer would be Allianz, the German insurance giant that has operations around the world.

This would be a big deal. For one, Allianz is one of the biggest companies in the industry with a market cap of more than €88 billion. Aviva, on the other hand, is a leading British insurer with over £10 billion in market cap. Therefore, a potential bid would likely value Aviva at at least £12 billion.

The combination would create a giant in the insurance industry. Aviva had over £16 billion in revenues in 2022 while Allianz had £132 billion. Also, the two companies would have over £1.4 trillion in assets.

It is unclear whether Allianz or any other large insurance or private equity groups will be interested in Aviva. However, I believe that such a bid makes sense since Aviva has implemented a successful turnaround strategy.

As part of this approach, the company has exited some of its international businesses as it focuses on its areas of strength. It recently decided to sell its 25.9% stake in Singlife joint venture to Sumitomo Life for £800 million. That was a good deal since the business gave it just £17 million in operating profit in 2022.

Aviva also sold Aviva France in 2021 to Aema Groupe for £2.8 billion. In all, it has sold non-core businesses worth over £5 billion. And most recently,it bought AIG UK’s life business for $563 million.

Aviva’s business is doing well
Aviva’s operations are doing well, which makes it a viable acquisition target. Its most recent results showed that its operating profit rose by 8% to £715 million while its solvency II ratio jumped by 26% to £648 million. In all, the company grew its sales, profitability and dividends in a highly challenging market.

Aviva believes that its operating profit this year will be ~£1.35 billion, meaning that the company is abit undervalued. Also, Aviva’s price to book ratio stands at 1.1x, lower than that of key peers like Prudential, Legal & General, and Admiral Group. A DCF valuation also sees the Aviva share price being undervalued by ~35%.

It is unclear whether a company like Allianz or even Generali will make a bid or whether Aviva will accept that proposal.
Aviva share price data is direct from the London Stock Exchange

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