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Barclays Share Chat (BARC)

Share Name Share Symbol Market Type Share ISIN Share Description
Barclays LSE:BARC London Ordinary Share GB0031348658 ORD 25P
  Price Change % Change Share Price Bid Price Offer Price High Price Low Price Open Price Shares Traded Last Trade
  -7.65p -4.67% 156.25p 156.40p 156.50p 165.70p 154.30p 163.15p 70,301,075 16:35:16
Industry Sector Turnover (m) Profit (m) EPS - Basic PE Ratio Market Cap (m)
Banks 25,768.0 2,256.0 -0.7 - 26,251.35

Barclays Share Discussion Threads

Showing 114676 to 114698 of 114700 messages
Chat Pages: 4588  4587  4586  4585  4584  4583  4582  4581  4580  4579  4578  4577  Older
Good news for miners though. Weak dollar means high commodity prices. I will definitely shift to BHP and Rioinformant
Bad news for bank shares when the above happens. They will have to seek money from other means I.e charging for products.informant
Negative interest rates in the U.S. may seem like a far-fetched idea, but the Federal Reserve is telling banks to prepare, just in case. For the first time ever, the governing agency and U.S. central bank is requiring banks to include, in a round of stress tests commencing this year, to prepare for the possibility of negatively yielding Treasury rates. The scenario is purely hypothetical and not a forecast, according to a Jan. 28 Fed news release . However, the development is part of a larger scenario of a world where zero rates are morphing into negative rates. Janet Yellen discusses the Fed's first interest rate hike in 9½ years, Dec. 16, 2015, in Washington. Getty Images Janet Yellen discusses the Fed's first interest rate hike in 9½ years, Dec. 16, 2015, in Washington. This is how beggar-thy-neighbor monetary policies work, and perhaps why they ultimately fail. One nation mired in an economic slump decides that the best way out is to devalue its currency, cheapening its exports and thus making them more attractive in countries that have higher-yielding currencies and, consequently, more buying power. Seeing the success that country has, another seeks to emulate. And then another. And another. And another. In order to stay ahead of the game, central banks keep devaluing until there's nothing left, tangibly at least, to devalue, and negative interest rates come into play. Read MoreWill negative rates deck Japan's banks? Pretty soon you have nearly a third of all sovereign debt holding negative yields. In turn, what seemed like a powerful tool to stimulate lending and export-led economic growth becomes a toothless tiger that global central banks continue to deploy, the latest being in Japan. Suddenly, zero interest rate policy, or ZIRP, has morphed into negative interest rate policy, or NIRP. This is no dystopian hypothetical. This is what central banking has become in a global economy beset by meager growth. Worries are growing that the Federal Reserve soon could bring NIRP to U.S. rates. Japan went to NIRP last week, and the yield on the 10-year Japanese government bond went negative overnight Monday for the first time ever. "It appears that NIRP is becoming the main policy tool for a number of major central banks as they battle falling inflation, rising currencies and economic weakness," Jeffrey Kleintop, chief global investment strategist at Charles Schwab, said in an analysis. "The effectiveness of slightly negative interest rates is far from assured, and increasingly negative interest rates may not just weigh more heavily on the stock market, but on drivers of economic growth as well." Read More Negative rates in US? Here's why it could happen Indeed, ZIRP seemed to pull stock markets higher, but the spreading of NIRP has coincided with a sharp global equity decline, particularly in financial stocks. The Fed's chances of going to NIRP seem, at least now, to be slim. Its policymaking arm, the Federal Open Market Committee, just hiked its interest target in December for the first time in nine years, so changing now would seem like a stunning retreat. Yet several high-ranking officials recently have paid at least lip service to the idea. In a speech last week, Fed Vice Chair Stanley Fischer said Europe's experiment with negative rates is "working better than I expected," raising speculation that should things deteriorate the U.S. central bank would consider going negative. Negative rates in the U.S. would begin with the interest paid on excess reserves that banks store at the Fed, a number currently at $2.15 trillion that earns 0.5 percent interest. The idea would be to charge banks to store reserves, making the cost prohibitive to let the money lie fallow there and push it into the broader economy through lending, thus stimulating growth. It's an idea that works in theory and, for a period, worked in practice for the four European governments that tried it. However, there are problems. Read More The recession signal investors may be missing One is that banks would need to make up that lost revenue someplace and instead of lending could amp up fees and rates. Another is that the more countries that join in, the less effective one nation's low or negative interest rates are. Finally, in a problem that would be especially acute in the U.S., negative rates could send a jolt through the $2.75 trillion money market space and, some fear, lead to a "break the buck" scenario that occurred during the financial crisis when one large money market fund couldn't return par on its investments. "Things would have to get truly desperate to go to negative rates," Kim Rupert, managing director of global fixed income at Action Economics, said in an interview. "Our money markets are obviously the biggest in the world and have a lot of commitments tied to them and the liquidity for a lot of our economy. Jeopardizing the money markets would be too dramatic an effect for the Fed to consider going in that direction." Still, the futures market is indicating that if the Fed doesn't move to outright NIRP, the chances for an aggressive rate-hiking policy ahead, as indicated after the December rate rise, are nil. The CME's FedWatch tool briefly went into a kind of backwardation Monday, indicating a -2 percent chance for a rate hike at the March FOMC meeting (the probability quickly moved back to plus-2 percent). The tool's farthest date, February 2017, indicates just a 15 percent chance of an increase, the implication being no moves in 2016 even though the Fed's "dot plot" of official projections points to four hikes this year. The actual fed fund futures curve does not indicate a rate rise fully priced in until December 2017. Michael Darda, chief economist and market strategist at MKM Partners, thinks the Fed would be wise to heed market signals and pay less attention to its models, including the Phillips curve guideline, that indicate a faster tightening cycle. The Fed's moves to end ZIRP and quantitative easing, along with China's decision to peg the yuan to the dollar, "has translated into a tightening world monetary policy" similar to what happened in the 1930s. "The current risk is that policymakers are overly optimistic about the business cycle carrying on in a way that allows inflation to return to its target," Darda said in a note to clients. "Given the U.S. dollar's reserve currency status and the PBOC's quasi peg, global monetary conditions have tightened sharply, causing world nominal growth expectations to weaken. There are some disturbing parallels to 1937, in our view, that should continue to be monitored closely." What the Fed will need to weigh ultimately is whether going to NIRP is worth risking its credibility, and whether low or negative rates will have any discernible effect on financial conditions. Bank stocks already are in a bear market, the economy is slowing and damage from the energy sector clearly is seeping into other parts of the economy. Moving to NIRP now might be regarded as a panic reaction that actually could make things worse. "I don't think there are high odds that we're going to fall into a recession this year, but what if we did?" said Jim Paulsen chief investment strategist at Wells Capital Management. "If we went into recession now, when you had a zero short rate effectively and a sub-2 percent 10-year Treasury and a $4 trillion Fed balance sheet to spin out and a debt-to-GDP ratio that's 100 percent on sovereign government debt, I think there would be a fair amount of panic in the cultural mindset because there would be a sense that we went into recession and there's nothing anyone could do about it," he added. "That's a dangerous situation to put yourself in."informant
130p is the absolute bottom before the bank of England steps in to reassure financial marketsjosbourrne
Expect this to fall towards 100p.blueball
Does ken still frequent these pagesjosbourrne
I heard a rumour the sun is coming out tomorrow!!moneysage
That is highly unlikely, many investors trying to hard to find a '08 moment..its just not there!ny boy
But if there's a run on DB then all bets are offjosbourrne
Usually when there is much noise on these threads, it's a signal to start buying, most of the big players are start to buy into the beaten up banking sector. DB is not going bust lol! This is not '08 again! For sure this sector has overshot to the downside, great trading opportunities ahead. I am starting to buy the sector.ny boy
I'm hearing some rumours on the wires that there's an emergency meeting being convened at Barclay's to discuss who's ransacked the bankers stockpile of crème eggs.josbourrne
Investors Sell off European Banks, Here's Why Video http://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2016-02-09/investors-selloff-european-banks-here-s-why .johnwise
Btw I'm not related to georgejosbourrne
Hi has anyone else heard the rumour that DB will file for bankruptcyjosbourrne
Barc at a 3.5 year low, not a 52 week low. Expect it to rise into the results.gcom2
Yes Rocketman it`s in the public domain so i doubt it will occur . Too much risk of contagion . It`s risky though .golf driver
Stunned we are at a 52 week lowtwentytwo888
FairPlay to anyone buying it could turn out to be a good move but with the rumours that are circulating and the share price movement to back them up I'm not brave enough to buy at these levels because it could drop another 25% in a week easy! I'm not a shorter I'm a holder but I'm being realistic. Who honestly though we would be where we are now since the last set of results!2rocketman
Golf, This is pretty scary stuff though and not your average rumour!2rocketman
http://www.silverdoctors.com/jim-willie-if-deutsche-bank-goes-under-it-will-be-lehman-times-five/ At least it's clear now why the share price has gone through the floor...I think whatever happens they will not let deutsche bank fold because of the consequences, but until that is certain this is surely going to keep moving down..2rocketman
Rumours rumours I heard a rumour . Nothing like talking your own book is there now .golf driver
I'm expecting a turn around tomorrow. Barc have hit bottom now. Janet Yellen will boost the markets tommorow with some dovish comments.seball
While a sharp sell-off of banking stocks is a cause of concern, it may not always mean investors have lost complete confidence in the financial sector. Because banks are central to the ability of companies to borrow money and grow, bank stocks will rise when there is confidence in the marketoliversanvil
Chat Pages: 4588  4587  4586  4585  4584  4583  4582  4581  4580  4579  4578  4577  Older

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