Taylor Wimpey Share Discussion Threads

[jugears] 04/11/2015 17:33

At which point these will be Above £2.00

[gbh2] 04/11/2015 17:25

Whatever works for you, EJ, but first we'll need to wait for the HF masters to fill their snouts on the down side and switch to up for their second course ;)

[e j blythe] 04/11/2015 17:02

I thought it might get to 180 - that chart does look vicious!

I will bide my time and add at 170 if it were to ever get there!

[gbh2] 04/11/2015 16:53

I've considered buying but can't find the cash which is why I keep adding long bets at £20 a point.

[gbh2] 04/11/2015 16:13

3,253.46 million shares in circulation, the HFs can stay well below the figure basic required for reporting imo.

[m4rtinu] 04/11/2015 15:37

On a less rambling point, what do we make of the 6 month chart above. A couple of previous sudden dips, followed by recovery.

Jitters due to interest rate comment followed by amnesia??

[m4rtinu] 04/11/2015 15:28

Well I can't find any shorters! (See below) Though that site says doesn't include positions < 0.5% (1/2%). If you were invested in Carillion (like I am) you would have more reason to bemoan shorters!! 18.4% without the <0.5%s.



I am finding it increasingly difficult to pick shares, due to what I see as volatility and unpredictable sharp movements. Without speculating on manipulation.

TW looked like it was going one way. It still does. But now in the opposite direction!

My general opinion is that any strength in shares is fragile and therefore you can wild movements based on any little snippet of news/ broker so called recommendations. It is only very low interest rates that are keeping me in shares at all.

And after saying all that, I'll probably not even follow my own advice.

Needless to say, I am rubbish at poker.

[gbh2] 04/11/2015 14:48

Guess we'll find out how bad it can get as the dow pulls the ftse down this afternoon.

[gbh2] 04/11/2015 13:49

The cheap shares they're sat on are the reason TW almost always leads the pack down imo!

[e j blythe] 04/11/2015 13:34

Just ban shorting, simple as that.

It's just easy money for HFs, who have so much liquidity, they can dominate any particular market for a period of time!

[gbh2] 04/11/2015 13:05

Hate to think where this would be today if the ftse wasn't over 1% up !!

[trytotakeiteasy] 04/11/2015 12:36

Interesting to note that Liberum's optimism on Majestic Wine has been misplaced to date.....they can't be smart if they haven't figured out the struggle that group is facing.

[zhcj] 04/11/2015 10:58

im a private investor i don't know loads but i understand basic fundamentals and the charts to a degree. i can see no reason for an18p fall on this share price in 2 days with no company news, apart from some guy at liberium with a sell note fro these and a couple of others. only recently the same guy was issuing a buy note for the same sector. i listened this morning for the first time to the conference call from PSN. well....either they are complete fabricators about their company and the future or this guy from liberium is talking nonsense afterall its only his opinion its not based on any fact far as i can see.
if there is a reason other than a probable interest rate rise id love to know what it is

[gbh2] 04/11/2015 10:52

The service sector figures are up today so more that will add fuel to the interest rate rise rumour !

[e j blythe] 04/11/2015 10:11

In again at 182.

Are we gonna have a santa rally?

[jugears] 04/11/2015 10:09

theres a lot of hype about interst rate rises, it will be so slow & drawn out that a quater percent rises will be unoticeable to the vast majority,1% on the averge mortgage is only 160 a month extra, as rates could take at least a couple of years to increase this much I really do not see what the problem is.

[hillbrown] 04/11/2015 10:07

A virtuous circle........

[gbh2] 04/11/2015 09:45

His whole rational is based upon if & maybe about an increase in the interest rate based upon a marginal increase in the recent manufacturing figures!

[jugears] 04/11/2015 09:32

Will be buying more at these prices, Totaly overdone, I note Mr campbells bias to bellway & gleeson, From my dealings with Taylor Wimpey I would put these well ahead of other companies in this sector for future growth.No one knows for certain what will happen in the housing market but even if there is a contraction Build cost will come down as they always do, I rember the last recession when daily rates for site labour dropped nearly 50% also material prices will fall ,off setting falling house values, also TW own plenty off land they will just mothball sites untill prices pick up, there is no need to build houses if they do not bring in a reasonable return, It costs very little to sit on land that you own ( & get rid of subcontract labour which forms a substantial part of TW'S Costs) the side effect to this will be a lack of new homes being built & even higher prices, a visicious cirle?. Tw is a very good share to hold long term, Sadly even if house prices fall short term, They are only heading one way long term & thats up, Unless the world is heading for one very long depression!Personally I think mr Campbell only paints half a picture & doesn't explain his reasons why some companies are better than others????, Does he actually Know anything about the House building industry?

[heliweli] 04/11/2015 09:30

Trend not looking good.

[gbh2] 04/11/2015 09:25

It'd been driven by HF shorting imo but we cannot really see just who and how much due to the obscene number of TW shares that are in circulation atm.

[martyn9] 04/11/2015 09:17

Panick selling,don't let mm's have your shares on the cheap!!!

[gbh2] 04/11/2015 09:14

Getting close to where I'll consider adding to my holding.