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FDEV Frontier Developments Plc

1.40 (0.94%)
01 Dec 2023 - Closed
Delayed by 15 minutes
Share Name Share Symbol Market Type Share ISIN Share Description
Frontier Developments Plc LSE:FDEV London Ordinary Share GB00BBT32N39 ORD 0.5P
  Price Change % Change Share Price Shares Traded Last Trade
  1.40 0.94% 150.80 233,678 16:35:16
Bid Price Offer Price High Price Low Price Open Price
149.80 153.80 153.20 146.60 148.40
Industry Sector Turnover Profit EPS - Basic PE Ratio Market Cap
Manufacturing Industries,nec 104.58M -20.91M -0.5303 -2.87 59.92M
Last Trade Time Trade Type Trade Size Trade Price Currency
17:53:43 O 3,421 150.80 GBX

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Date Time Title Posts
01/12/202323:46Frontier Developments - Elite gaming.....7,119

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Posted at 03/12/2023 08:20 by Frontier Developments Daily Update
Frontier Developments Plc is listed in the Manufacturing Industries,nec sector of the London Stock Exchange with ticker FDEV. The last closing price for Frontier Developments was 149.40p.
Frontier Developments currently has 39,423,349 shares in issue. The market capitalisation of Frontier Developments is £59,923,490.
Frontier Developments has a price to earnings ratio (PE ratio) of -2.87.
This morning FDEV shares opened at 148.40p
Posted at 30/11/2023 16:08 by yankhanson
Fellow shareholders, let's all extend sympathy to our friend mortality, considering that his new ownership of 0.2% of the company has triggered early-onset dyscalculia (regarding FDEV's nonsensical recovery financials) and amnesia (regarding FDEV's many unmet past forecasts). This known medical condition arising from owning too many FDEV shares is of course the reason the CEO and CFO (remuneration since 2021: ~£11,420,000) are buying none at all despite the current "bargain" price. Likewise the new Chair of Board. They've seen with their own eyes what a 32% shareholding did to the brain of the President, David Braben.

Stay happy!
Posted at 30/11/2023 14:42 by yankhanson
There are now so many elephants in this room that the walls are bulging. Another is the financial turn-around plan, reverting to management simulation games leveraging "Frontier's expertise and leadership in that genre"... conveniently forgetting that each one of Frontier's last three management games devastated the share price.

Motley Fool "The Frontier Developments (LSE: FDEV) share price crashed this morning, when the gaming company warned that sales of Jurassic World Evolution 2 have been “lower than expected” since its 9 November release."

Frontier stock has now lost 50% of its value since January. "

> Realms of Ruin has a current 24 DAU peak of just 179

Realms of Ruin has a current 24-hour Daily Active Users peak of just 179.

> with a rating of 68%

Down to 66% here.
Posted at 28/11/2023 12:01 by yankhanson
Great question john09. There will be one catalyst over the next 6 months. The January trading update. This will be another devastating profit warning, inc. a large increase in expected losses for this FY. For the reason, start with 74tom's excellent explanation above.

Until then, the share price will continue to fall, recognising that we've seen no evidence of management addressing any of the root causes of this year's 83% loss of company value, that we've seen the Realms of Ruin catastrophe deliver confirmation (if any were needed) of the utter incompetence of David Braben's management team, and that the major investors Invesco and Swedbank Robur are continuing to dump FDEV shares onto the open market and indeed following yesterday's new of the fourth major flop in a row delivering the largest project loss in the FDEV PLC's history, have dramatically increased the dump rate. See the robosell at 16h35.
Posted at 25/11/2023 21:36 by yankhanson
Now we have a week's post-launch data on FDEV's Warhammer Realms of Ruin, we can project the game's earnings.

Gross on all platforms for FY2024: £0.26m max.

That is not a typo. Compare and contrast FDEV's broker forecast £27m, and FDEV's disclosed development and marketing costs £23m.

The projection method is simple. From FDEV's previous new game, F1 Manager 2022, take the FY#1 units on all platforms, 600k, and adjust by the new game's relative performance on player count. 7.7% upon release, then 12.5% sustain, generously assuming player retention is zero and so all counted players are new purchasers. Then multiply by price - £45, averaging highest against freebies and discounts. This method presumes FDEV manages the new game as it did the previous i.e. does not for example switch it to free to play.
Posted at 20/11/2023 08:21 by mortal1ty
The share price will tell us how well the game is doing.

The big investors will be all over the download statistics etc. A bit like the last F1 manager game which sunk the share price well before the company came out and said it was performing poorly.
Posted at 14/11/2023 16:23 by yankhanson
jfbonner, it seems you've already forgotten what happened to the share price following the previous surprise discount of a new FDEV game within months of launch. Did your losses trigger amnesia?

Also note that game is now at 50% discount hxxps:// . That's a 50% reduction in FDEV earnings.
Posted at 02/10/2023 10:24 by yankhanson
The last four big new games from the same developers all tanked the share price.

Any rational investor would want to see some basis from your prediction this next one will double the share price. Especially considering that this game's poor reception from players so far strongly indicates another suicidally misconceived and overpriced flop.
Posted at 28/9/2023 08:40 by mortal1ty
As I have said before, portfolio managers might have had 0.5% of their fund in a stock like this. After the drop it might be 0.1% now?

Even if FDEV shares went to 0, they might lose another 0.1% performance. They don't care if they crush the share price, they have already written it off in their own minds and their portfolio.

Imagine if you had £1k of your £200k portfolio in it. Now its worth £200. Do you really care if you have to smash the share price to get out? I mean, its just £200 at risk now.

So... its going to go towards net-cash like the rest of these sorry video games companies.
Posted at 16/1/2023 10:31 by nimbo1
FDEV will take time to turn around - but I can imagine a scenario where hype comes along about the games workshop game and the price recovers a bit. After all FDEV have a lot of cash and money still comes from their existing portfolio. The whole games sector has been a poor performer last 12 months - the share price of Ubisoft etc show investors believe gaming sector is being commoditised and gaming companies don't deserve a high rating.

However every company has its price and I cant really see the fdev share price going much lower which probably means it goes a bit higher.

Bottom fishing isn't my normal style but I am tempted by a few here because fdev made me handsome returns on the JEWE hype cycle. They really just need to make a decent game! easier said than done clearly.
Posted at 26/4/2022 13:30 by adamb1978
Feel's FDEV share price is aimlessly drifting at the moment, not helped by harder market conditions for this sort of company over recent months plus more recent trading statements not being ideal

Last market update was early Jan, so 3.5 months ago which again contributes to the drift. I think we can expect a TU in the second week of June after the financial year ends. Possible chance of one in the next week or two if management are at the point where they have enough visibility of expectations being materially exceeded or missed.

Think it needs that update to provide some direction, hopefully positive direction, for the share price
Frontier Developments share price data is direct from the London Stock Exchange

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