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Sound Energy Share Discussion Threads
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|I dont visit here often any more and on just looking in now, the ten latest posts have little or nothing to do with Sound Energy plc. The comments from the trolls and the replies back to the trolls have spoiled the board. It is your bb guys and you make it how it is.
I rest my case. GL all holders.
ps take a look at the Soundenergyplc.com website and the 18/10/2012 RNS re Citarum, exit from Indonesia to get an idea of how an exit from Tendrara might be fashioned.
|Tick tock mate.|
|Sign of the times, how quieter this bb is.|
|Terra nova quite appropriate regarding where we are drilling gla.|
|nap14th, very droll!|
|One school has an august moto in Latin - I see, I hear, I learn........
Video, audio, disco!|
|telbap, it was taught at most grammar schools-under pain of death! been better off learning Spanish-unless of course you chose The Bar.
Personally, from experience, Latin was a conspiracy by The Legal profession, so very few knew what you were being screwed for!|
|So which one of you went to Winchester college then?.........Veni, vedi, vici is my all time favourite.|
|wasnt she a victorian opera singer ?|
|Sic transit Gloria swanson|
|Aut disce, aut discede; manet sors tertia, caedi|
|Tertia. Predictive error|
|Manet sous tertiary,caedi|
|'As most of us expected TT, all guesswork'
Firstly, who else are you speaking for out of interest - is there a private thread where 'most of us' have had a little chat about my views and agreed that you are the man to put out a dismissive retort. If 'most of us' are as ignorant as you seem to be about how the markets function then it is water off a ducks back to me.
Secondly, you have a fixation with the market makers - do you believe 'they' are keeping the price artificially low?
Do you understand there are other market participants - for example do you know what a sales trader is and what he does?
Did you know that private investors can get Direct Market Access (DMA) and put their own orders on SETS?
Maybe there is a big, evil private investor with DMA who has made 500% and is the one who keeps putting 50k shares on to sell at 84. Is he manipulating the market?|
|Brook.....life does not start and stop with market makers. They work on rumour and then fact, just like we do. Buy on rourmour, sell on news.......At the interview TT is bang on, we are pretty much priced in for what's in the public domain.Te7 is just to see if a horizontal drilling technique will work with the geology that exists in Tendrara.If it does, then expect to see 25 plus scuffs and the need for a lot less drilling. Less cost = more profit = higher share price That's pretty much the whole reason why they are doing this. IMHO, but saying that, wtfdik?|
|As most of us expected TT, all guesswork, I would also suggest that the MM's know a lot more than that for which some give them credit!
I think it takes more than the average Joe to figure out what is "factored" in, and there are many dynamics which affect the share price
Many can guesstimate-rightly or wrongly as to what it should be, given past valuations on other scenarios but as Nap14 rightly says it is all "speculation"
and MM's control the SP, not us!|
|terry - all we can do is speculate, me included, but....
For the mo. the rise into the 80s has been on the back of the 17 scuffs on 1st well.It means there's a big commercial potential, but nothing mind-boggling.
3 to 5 scuffs on TE7 means there's a wide field & a prob. that other wells (TE8?) will yield something valuable (just how much, who knows?)
In view of that, I'd say "SP up with events". However, if the TE7 flow rate is like the first well, then share price is lagging the real value of Tendara as that's highly commercial. After that we have to see what further drills uncover. That's why most are here, but accept there's a spec. aspect, as in ALL E & P. However, the site is cheap to develope, being on flat desert sand onland.
Gas prices in Morocco are very high, the country is a 100% energy importer & has plans for a huge LPG terminal on the Atlantic coast which a BIG Tendara would render quite surplus to requirements, so they could axe a huge capital investment.
SOU has a 10 year tax holiday, & there's a pipeline, 80 miles north, from Algeria thru' N. Morocco (all in flat sand desert - easy build) to Spain, & so Europe, as well as take-off options for local gas-fired generators & make Morocco energy sufficient/exporter.
IF (big IF) TE7 is like 1st 17 scuff well, what's not to like? Even a third of that will do me. In that case I'll be keeping my SOU for quite some time yet if,
big IF, we remain independent!
My only caveat in the goldylocks cenario is that a mega-field could lead to a fall in gas prices in Morocco as there would be more gas than needed, but I'd happily sign for that!
Let the drill do the talking........|
|Eh!!!! The MM's have little to do with what the market has priced in for TE7 results.
Lets take any comment from SOU accompanying the RNS out of the equation - there is a flow rate that, if announced, would leave the price unchanged. Nobody actually knows what that is - there are lots of different expectations out there.
I believe that a good commercial flow rate is actually priced in and therefore would not be surprised if the price shoots up at first before falling back to near the days starting level.
I also think that there is very little chance of it being disappointing in any major price affecting way.
Finally, as someone with a large shareholding, I hope that the flow rate is stunning - at the top end of expectations - as then the share price will go sharply higher and should form a new base.
The market makers are pretty irrelevant in the above scenarios - they will be looking to keep broadly balanced books taking decent but perfectly reasonable profits on what is likely to be heavy trade.
Edited for clarity|
|TT, unless posters have a direct line into MM's, how do they know what is/not "probably" priced in ?|
|Feels it wants to go higher today, and with the few big trades, maybe news is coming quicker than expected. Hope so anyway.
Very much agree with you on the price range until TE7. I suspect the institution that bought the warrants is there as a line in the sand at 80p on the downside until then.
The optimist in me hopes for any TE7 news to be better than what is probably already priced in, and that might see it through 100p.|
|And still Nov 7th for news being 4 weeks from us reaching TD. Drill point.|