Aviva Share Discussion Threads

[bracke] 06/2/2015 15:08

Good day uppompeii

It's back up to resistance (540). There is a possibility it may make a dash for 550 but on balance a retrace appears more probable.

[uppompeii] 06/2/2015 14:38

Just 10p there bracke as you are not here to reassure me...

[a0148009] 04/2/2015 16:49

Gary - Stats Digital Look from 19 Brokers :-

Forecast
Year Ending Revenue (£m) Pre-tax (£m) EPS P/E PEG EPS Grth. Div Yield
2014-12-31 27,167.50 2,126.07 47.55p 11.0 0.1 116% 17.56p 3.3%
2015-12-31 28,349.00 2,249.33 49.28p 10.5 2.9 4% 20.26p 3.8%
2016-12-31 30,057.50 2,701.20 56.48p 9.7 0.7 15% 24.67p 4.7%

DYOR

AO

[chairman20] 04/2/2015 15:12

once the deal is done
there will be a lot of
churning in the market
as investors sell surplus
investment and Institutions
re-balance their sector
weightings - in my experience
allow a few months to pass
before expecting a "normal"
market.

[garycook] 04/2/2015 14:34

A0148009.So the AV.Dividend will be 20p for 2015 and 25 for 2016

[lord gnome] 04/2/2015 11:01

A0148009 - snap. That's my current thinking. Once the deal is done and dusted I can see AV. rerating.

[a0148009] 04/2/2015 09:32

For investors that have not seen this presentation which is quite compelling you will have to wait a minute or so after you have clicked on the presentation before it starts.



I am keeping my FLG when the merger goes through I think the Group will be rerated it will be 26th in the FTSE100 at todays prices with a forecast dividend yield of 3.8% p/e 10.5 for 2015 and 4.7% p/e 9.7 for 2016. Prudential forecast 2015 yield 2.4% p/e 14.7 and 2016 yield 2.7% p/e 13.2.

AO

[bracke] 03/2/2015 15:31

The share price has moved back up to the median line...........maybe this time?

[bracke] 30/1/2015 12:10

It continues to dither around the median line but it is approaching decision time. The probability favours a drop to first support at 510.

[eastbourne1982] 28/1/2015 22:28

Will be down tomoz.

[bracke] 28/1/2015 16:37

Yes it could.

If it breaks back above the median line currently at 533 and holds, there is a fair chance of a rise to 550.

[uppompeii] 28/1/2015 16:29

Or it may go completely the other way...

[bracke] 28/1/2015 12:09

Good day uppompeii

I posted 'FIRST support' don't 'jump in' too early. You need to be sure 510 or 500 will support. If they fail to do so then 480s'.

[uppompeii] 28/1/2015 12:01

Excellent, thumbs up from me, I had said to myself 5.00 to 5.10 to re-enter. Now confirmed by the EG.

[bracke] 28/1/2015 11:31

I suspect I will be awarded a 'thumbs down' for the following......so be it.

The share price has dropped below the Median Line with the probability of first support at 510.

[eastbourne1982] 27/1/2015 16:36

DOW starting to recover a bit, I reckon it will end down today around 250 points and then have a green day tomoz.

[chickcrumbs] 27/1/2015 16:28

that is the question....

[bracke] 27/1/2015 13:41

SP is on the edge. To drop or not to drop..............

[uppompeii] 27/1/2015 12:36

Thank you bracke, rare praise indeed.

It does indeed suit me for it to fall further but not for long as I am mindful of my longer term holding in the SIPP, so a bit of volatility to the downside would be welcome to buy back a trade or two...

[bracke] 27/1/2015 11:37

Good day uppompeii

Who's a clever boy then!

The share price is heading back to 528/530 it just wants to be sure there is support. It would be upsetting if when it arrives it finds support is lacking and it drops through.

You best not post that a fall through support suits you for buying purposes. It may upset some of the natives.

[uppompeii] 27/1/2015 09:11

I would agree mallorca9, though Aviva has a habit of surprising to the downside.
I'd like a little slip back but of course only as it will make my decision to sell my recent trades justified and make me feel clever.

[mallorca 9] 27/1/2015 07:21

This looks like a breakout chart.

[a0148009] 26/1/2015 16:06

Quite a battle going on around the 540 level - sold my AV Friday,holding onto FLG
for the long term, the gap has narrowed to circa 12 pence from earlier discount but for long term holders I think is fractionally the better deal.

AO

[uppompeii] 26/1/2015 15:39

I shall watch and wait with interest, nay, excitement