U.S. Grains, Soybeans Decline on Demand Worries, Crop Outlook
02 September 2015 - 5:04PM
Dow Jones News
By Jesse Newman
CHICAGO--U.S. grain and soybean futures fell on Wednesday as the
dollar recovered amid steadier global markets, heightening demand
concerns, and as optimism over U.S. crops increased.
Wheat prices declined to a nearly four-month low, falling after
a brief rally earlier in the week, as a rising U.S. dollar
intensified worries over demand for U.S. supplies of the crop.
Prices for the grain swung higher on Monday and Tuesday after
dropping sharply the previous week, but analysts said the wheat
market struggled to hold onto gains amid ample world supplies and
stiff competition for world export business.
"Global supplies are too big for the light demand that is
surfacing in the export markets, and the U.S. stocks will continue
to build," said analysts at Kansas City, Mo.-based commodity
brokerage INTL FCStone in a note to clients.
A higher U.S. dollar makes U.S. commodities like wheat more
expensive for foreign buyers. The dollar rose 0.5% against a basket
of international currencies on Wednesday.
Analysts said traders and investors are, however, keeping a
close eye on dryness as planting begins in the Black Sea region, a
major grain-producing region.
Wheat futures for September delivery declined 13 1/4 cents, or
2.7%, to $4.70 3/4 a bushel at the Chicago Board of Trade, the
lowest intraday price since May 8.
"The big thing going on in grain market is that nobody sees a
reason to be a buyer right now," said Dale Durchholz, a senior
market analyst at risk-management firm AgriVisor in Bloomington,
Ill. Global grain stockpiles are "comfortable," Mr. Durchholz said,
though he cautioned that they get less so without China's grain
inventories, which may not be available to the world market.
Corn prices dropped to a three week low, buffeted by largely
favorable weather and worries over demand for the crop. The early
U.S. harvest and benign end-of-season conditions also weighed on
corn prices.
"We don't have any really significant weather events" in the
forecast, said Mr. Durchholz, and "no one out there has a reason to
worry about the crop."
CBOT September corn fell 2 1/4 cents, or 0.6%, to $3.53 3/4 a
bushel, the lowest intraday price since Aug. 12.
Meanwhile, soybeans extended losses, pressured by a wetter
outlook for the U.S. Midwest in the next five days, which would aid
end-of-season plant development. Falling crude oil prices also
pressured the soybean market, as lower oil prices tend to
discourage refineries from blending fuel additives into gasoline
including biodiesel, for which soybeans are a main ingredient.
CBOT September soybeans shed 6 1/4 cents, or 0.7%, to $8.78 1/2
a bushel.
Write to Jesse Newman at jesse.newman@wsj.com
Subscribe to WSJ: http://online.wsj.com?mod=djnwires
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
September 02, 2015 11:49 ET (15:49 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2015 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.