Government Report Finds Economic Benefits of Oil Exports -- Update
01 September 2015 - 4:14PM
Dow Jones News
By Amy Harder and Christian Berthelsen
WASHINGTON--A long-awaited study by the Obama administration has
concluded that lifting the nation's four-decade ban on exports of
U.S. oil wouldn't raise American gasoline prices and could even
help lower them, raising the stakes in the debate over whether to
lift or relax the ban.
The report, issued by the U.S. Energy Information
Administration, an analytic division of the Energy Department, is
expected to provide momentum to efforts by the oil industry and its
supporters in Congress to end the ban. The effort has gained
traction in Washington this year, though such a change still faces
steep hurdles before it could ultimately be adopted.
The conclusions were widely expected by the industry and policy
makers after the division issued a series of other studies leading
up to the final one over the past year laying the groundwork for
the findings.
An executive summary of the report, obtained by The Wall Street
Journal, said lifting the ban could actually produce small benefits
for the U.S. economy. The full report is expected to be released
later Tuesday morning, according to a spokesman for EIA.
"Petroleum prices in the United States, including gasoline
prices, would be either unchanged or slightly reduced by the
removal of current restrictions on crude-oil exports," the report
said.
The report, whose findings are laden with caveats, said price
impacts were ultimately dependent on the complex intricacies of the
oil market. Still, it concluded that removal of export restrictions
would encourage oil companies to produce more crude as they attempt
to capture higher overseas prices, which in turn would press global
prices lower if foreign producers don't reduce their own
output.
Because most U.S. retail gasoline is priced based on the global
benchmark rather than the national one, it could lower prices at
home, the study concludes.
The Republican-controlled House is expected to vote on
legislation lifting the ban as soon as this month, with the Senate
expected to consider it next year.
More than a dozen oil companies, including Continental Resources
Inc., ConocoPhillips Co. and Marathon Oil Corp., have been lobbying
Congress for the past year, arguing that allowing unfettered
domestic oil exports would eliminate market distortions, streamline
U.S. petroleum production and stimulate the domestic economy.
On Capitol Hill, Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R., Alaska) and House
Speaker John Boehner (R., Ohio), have been making the industry's
case, and in recent weeks, key Democrats, including Senate Minority
Leader Harry Reid of Nevada and Sen. Robert Menendez of New Jersey
have expressed a willingness to support oil exports as part of a
broader legislative deal. It isn't clear, however, what kind of
deal that would be and whether it would have the support of the
industry and Democrats.
Write to Amy Harder at amy.harder@wsj.com and Christian
Berthelsen at christian.berthelsen@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
September 01, 2015 10:59 ET (14:59 GMT)
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