Raven Prop P Discussion Threads

[montyhedge] 02/3/2022 10:27

Like we said red or black, lose all your money or they survive, Ukraine situation if deal done say six months time. Ok cumulative so carried forward say 1 year then they pay 12p dividend, shareprice would treble.So you can buy at 18p, option money.Can they survive until deal done Ukraine ceasefire and peace talks also sanctions eased.Directors have shedloads.

[my retirement fund] 02/3/2022 09:31

So the prefs are not even worth the carrying value of about 2 qtr payments (6p) which Kenny said were held in sterling reserves. Clearly they are legally going to try to keep it as a going concern on paper in order to pay Director salaries and expenses, but in reality would the last one out turn the lights out please.

[irish_neris] 02/3/2022 09:30

So no payment at the end of the month then.

[spectoacc] 02/3/2022 09:17

Indeed.

"The ability of the Company to continue to access the funds of its Russian subsidiaries and whether those funds can be converted to the correct currency at a commercial exchange rate is the greatest uncertainty at this time."

[mwj1959] 02/3/2022 09:17

It remains in compliance with all of its banking covenants because the assets have not be revalued to reflect the current situation. The last valuation will have been done for the annual results, so as at 31 Dec 21. A lot has changed since then!

[stemis] 02/3/2022 09:13

The Group remains in compliance with all of its banking covenants. At the end of 2021, rouble debt accounted for 64% of secured facilities and euro 36%. The Group's rouble debt facilities are hedged with interest rate caps over the term of the loans, with a weighted average term to maturity of 2.4 years from 1 January 2022 on those caps, protecting the Group from the recent Central Bank of Russia rate hike.

Operationally, the portfolio is almost fully let with all rents collected for February and demands now issued for March payments, 29% of which have already been received.

[homeboy] 02/3/2022 09:13

don't worry it's all cumulative, lol

if there's an actual company left to cumulate from

good job bilton's got an "expensive trophy wife", that'll give comfort to the mugs stuck here still trying to be clever when the bleeding obvious was on the wall

[spectoacc] 02/3/2022 09:06

RNS finally out, all needs reading but:


"We simply do not have clarity on the restrictions that may be placed on the access and movement of funds intra group at this present time. We are working with banks and lawyers in all jurisdictions but it is still too early to get any definitive view on cash flows available to the Company. We do not expect that this situation will change while there is no resolution to the events in Ukraine or how long restrictions will affect the Group. Inevitably the Board will take a conservative financial approach and at this time it is unlikely that either a distribution to ordinary shareholders in relation to the year ended 31 December 2021 or the preference share coupon for the quarter ending 31 March 2022 will be paid."

[montyhedge] 02/3/2022 09:01

Like we said red or black punt, lose all, or double.

[gfrae] 02/3/2022 08:43

Perhaps they should use the 3p payment to buy them in and cancel them, even if it means paying 15% on the delayed payments ? (while the yield on these is theoretically 60% ).

[montyhedge] 02/3/2022 08:06

Good post, way I see it 3p will be paid 31st March, they have money in Sterling. Going forward all down to Ukraine situation of course.The Pref is cumulative so if not paid ok carried forward.Ceasefire and peace talks hopefully soon.Like you said directors own shedloads of pref and will do their best to keep company alive.

[bench2] 01/3/2022 20:49

My guess is that Chm and CEO who both have significant "skin in the game " , will lie low until the last week of March , when they will pass the 3p Pref Div . Unlike BEMO and JRS which have to provide daily net asset values . This is a 31 Dec year end and final results are normally announced in Cheltenham week , 15 March last year , and 16 March 2020 . I think they will try to delay until things in Ukraine / Russia become a bit clearer , but the company will need to make a statement prior to the 31 March . Remember Anton Bilton who has mainly been taking his pref divs in scrip has a lot to lose if this company ceases to exist , plus he has an expensive trophy wife to look after .

[spectoacc] 01/3/2022 18:55

Pay up in Roubles? May not help Euro debt much.

Agree all comes down to banks, where debt is, where cash is.

But Russia is uninvestable any which way.

[horndean eagle] 01/3/2022 18:19

Does depend on whether the company did anything to hedge in the last couple of weeks. They might actually get lucky with tenants vacating. Especially if international ones. They will likely just pay up leases to get out of additional costs and RAV might be able to lease them locally. Their russian interest rate hedges must be worth a few quid at the moment. Depends on where those hedges are held in the corporate structure. Too many unknowns for now though

[mwj1959] 01/3/2022 17:58

BEE valuing all Russian listed stocks at zero in their latest NAV.

[hindsight] 01/3/2022 15:55

Personally think the valkyrie binary bet is approaching. But this isnt the one

[montyhedge] 01/3/2022 15:54

It's like having a bet on red or black, lose your money or double.

[montyhedge] 01/3/2022 15:41

No, nearly did yesterday, but playing golf saved the day. I don't take my phone on the course.

[chinese investor] 01/3/2022 15:27

Did you top-up monty ?

[montyhedge] 01/3/2022 15:24

Keep taking your medication.

[spectoacc] 01/3/2022 15:19

20.2/30, good old MMs.

JRS's RNS earlier is worth a read for Russia-watchers.