Crude Prices Fall; Larger U.S. Stockpiles Expected
02 December 2015 - 3:29AM
Dow Jones News
By Jenny W. Hsu
Crude oil future prices inched lower in early Asia trade
Wednesday as traders squared their positions on fears U.S.
stockpiles likely rose higher than expected, adding to an expanding
global surplus.
According to the industry group American Petroleum Institute,
the U.S. crude inventories likely rose 1.6 million barrels in the
week ended Nov. 27. The estimate is bigger than the 1.2 million
barrel draw surveyed by the pricing agency Platts.
Official data will be released later Wednesday by the Energy
Information Administration. Last week, the U.S. government said at
488.2 million barrels, the country's inventories were at levels
unseen at this time of the year in at least eight decades.
Traders will be also eyeing the refinery utilization rate and
production figures to gauge future supplies.
"Directionally, the decline in production since April looks
constructive, but it has been more gradual than bulls had been
hoping for and insufficient to rebalance the global market or even
deplete U.S. inventories," says Tim Evans, a Citi Futures
analyst.
On the New York Mercantile Exchange, light, sweet crude futures
for delivery in January traded at $41.63 a barrel at 0216 GMT, down
$0.22 in the Globex electronic session. January Brent crude on
London's ICE Futures exchange fell $0.14 to $44.30 a barrel.
A global glut has been weighing on the industry for over a year
and the problem is likely to continue as major producers, both
inside and outside of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting
Countries, aren't showing signs of cutting output. Traders will be
watching the OPEC meeting this Friday for any moves by the
cartel.
Prices for Nymex and Brent are around 40% lower from same time
last year and have stayed in the below-$50 range for months.
"Trading remains thin as whatever decision is reached at the
OPEC meeting this Friday will have a dramatic effect on prices,"
said Stuart Ive, a client manager at OM Financial.
He said if the OPEC opts to keep the "no-cut" policy, it will
indicate Iran, which will likely boost exports in coming months
after the sanctions are lifted, will add at least 500,000 barrels
per day to the global pool. However, if the Saudi Arabia-led cartel
decides to trim oil production quotas, prices will rally even with
the current glut.
Nymex reformulated gasoline blendstock for January--the
benchmark gasoline contract--fell 80 points to $1.3550 a gallon,
while January diesel traded at $1.3603, 87 points lower.
ICE gasoil for December changed hands at $401.25 a metric ton,
down $1.50 from Tuesday's settlement.
Write to Jenny W. Hsu at jenny.hsu@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
December 01, 2015 22:14 ET (03:14 GMT)
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