Vaneck Glb Moat Discussion Threads

[moregas] 31/1/2003 12:16

where have all me fins things gone? GAW used to be listed what's happende FT350 have gone too?

[moregas] 31/1/2003 12:10

Apey duderonomy..how abou those future charts in therer too..any future indicators would be good in the header.

Be honest with you YF numbers its looking so bearish I expect a n explosion of bullishness to try and wipe us out. Allways darkest b4 the storm

[theape] 31/1/2003 12:04

set up TANK.

now the FEB thread.

off to eat my kebab

[yf23_1] 31/1/2003 12:00

yeah, but big downers tomorrow
don't worry it may all be over in 20 years.
"But in Asia, Tokyo's Nikkei slid for a fifth consecutive session and hit a 20-year low on Iraqi war jitters and corporate earnings woes".

[tpaulbeaumont] 31/1/2003 11:56

SSSB TA guys saying dont expect any effect from 'I'raq invasion to change bear trend

[indalo] 31/1/2003 11:30

'fella - VOD is testing the 200 day MA now......The cross over was at 110 on the break UP and the 50 day is now moving down. I don't see that as bullish in the short term.

It seems to me we are seeing some pretty far out analysis on the bullish side at the moment....I just don't buy it.....background "noise" designed to confuse and stop you trading what you see. I am still convinced we are going down from here....I will reassess if we get back above the neclines on thge major indices.

My stops are now 113

[goodfella] 31/1/2003 11:21

indalo

They can occur at bottoms as well.


Looks like Goldman Sucks failed to suck in any mugs on BT.

[matthewa] 31/1/2003 11:18

Felix - If your really into Furny shorts check out SUY stumbling thru all support

[goodfella] 31/1/2003 11:18

indalo

A Institutional House Broker has just been on CNBC classed as a technical analysis expert.

He says VOD chart is very bullish with 50MA croing up through 200MA. aand its going to the moon.


No mention of the 5O rolling over or the high volume break of the double top strangely enough.

[indalo] 31/1/2003 11:16

Goodfella - Expanding triangles often preceed large drops...The high level of public participation usually indicates an overly bullish market.

[goodfella] 31/1/2003 11:10

indalo

Post edited

[paulismyname] 31/1/2003 11:09

Hmm, according to my figures on the dow and ft100 posted yesterday I though we would be looking at a down day @ 80/120 odd points off.

However as I type I see we opened 40odd points off and as I type the ft is rising although in negative terretory ( MS word on strike damn spelling)

Comments in todays times business section about how the Fed, BOE, and others can "influence" markets.....hmmm

[baa] 31/1/2003 11:04

Tight stops reflect nothing other than self- preservation in a murky world climate.

Close above 3521 will keep bullish option intact today. Looking for move to 3615+.

[indalo] 31/1/2003 11:00

Goodfella - cheers.....It just seems to me that the path of least resistance is down, and with the VIX relatively low that is telling us that there isn't a huge bear contingent already positioned for further declines...Anyone know what the "commercial" options traders are doing?

[the vampire] 31/1/2003 10:54

Hello GF.

Remember you from the old E trade days when you were up against all the bulls trying to convince them of the impending fall in the markets.

I particularly recollect your thread "anybody wants to see Goodfella's bottom",
it was very popular.

Keep up the good work.

[goodfella] 31/1/2003 10:50

indalo

I looked at that count and it cannot be discounted, but it has a bullish bias to it.

I can see what he is saying and is counting 3-3-5 for the ABC move.

However the B wave he is using can already be broken into 3 with a low at 3609

The rise of there to 4225 can be counted as a 5 wave c as complete and falling short of the top of A as it is skewed in the direction of a more powerful trend.

He is not very confident in his own forecast by using stops at 3390, but bears have a natuaral stop at 3700.

He has totally ignored the breach of the descending triangle at 3600 and its target of 2800.

However their is bullish divergenc on a number of indicators and his count is not to be ignored and bears should include it in their thoughts.

However I cannot see any bullish divergence on the US indices and where they go we follow.

The one problem we have on the DOW is that it is an expanding triangle formation and these are highly unpredictable as upper and lower trendlines are both running away from each other.

This demonstrates a large public participation and emotionally charged trading.

These patterns are notorious for false breaks and almost impossible to predict and therefore I cannot afford to be out of the short side if I believe the ultimate trend is down

Personally I am not stopping out of any shorts and adding into any rally.

[indalo] 31/1/2003 10:25

Goodfella - What are your thoughts on the bullish wave count posted by BAA?

[m.t.glass] 31/1/2003 10:22

(discreetly shutting up re favourable quotes.. ;-> )

[dodddy] 31/1/2003 10:11

>goodfella take a look at fdl short ;)

[indalo] 31/1/2003 09:53

Just dont see it myself!

[baa] 31/1/2003 09:43

From a bullish camp;

The B wave started at 4464 from the Wave A high on 27/8/02. The resulting a, b , c were;

a:4464 to 3609 =855 points

b:3609 to 4224

c:4224 to 3391 =833 points

Conclusion is that B has completed with a = 100% of c

C therefore underway with five wave to 61.8% retracement.

Low risk longs result to target of c 3900 . Then down.

Stops at 3390.

[goodfella] 31/1/2003 09:38

This made me laugh


Esrimeur - 31 Jan'03 - 09:21 - 30503 of 30506


Reminder to Keith Ainsoph:

Last day to get that tax return done. Capital Gains pages are what you need - you can claim to carry forward your losses for use when you finally stumble across a winner - the boxes are rather narrow for your purposes though.

[indalo] 31/1/2003 09:37

Felix - Re DFS, the chart looks good, but I can't justify shorting this on fundamental grounds....PE of 7 with a 6.5%+ divi covered twoce and growing at 10% pa....They haven't eveen got much debt to speak of...Also gave recent cautiously posotive outlook.