Tullow Oil Share Discussion Threads

[sentimentrules] 05/3/2020 09:51

How much is a barrel of evian?

Hah

[smartie6] 05/3/2020 09:46

Is oil now cheaper than water?
Which one is going to hit 20p first Tullow or Saga?

[subsurface] 05/3/2020 08:56

Hope for an Election result on Friday from Guyana.

[sentimentrules] 05/3/2020 08:48

mariopeter5 Mar '20 - 07:19 - 41986 of 41988
0 2 0
If you are in the habit of compounding higher entries then you have lost even more money on the Dow. Well good luck because you are going to need it and when you have respect for fish shop workers again you know your lesson is complete.

...

Again you refuse to acknowledge from this thread in live market , I started dow 29400

I can afford to compound via market money

In tlw, I compound with yours :)

[sbb1x] 05/3/2020 08:18

10p - 140m20p 280m30p - 420m mkt cap

[mariopeter] 05/3/2020 07:19

If you are in the habit of compounding higher entries then you have lost even more money on the Dow. Well good luck because you are going to need it and when you have respect for fish shop workers again you know your lesson is complete.

[sentimentrules] 05/3/2020 06:05

Anyway best of luck here. 51p is now my breakeven point

A bit greedy as I compounded higher entries

If I'm taken out..hope it hits 500 for ye

Until then..I'l stick with the perceived makers money

[sentimentrules] 05/3/2020 06:04

The best tip is this Mario. ..

We look...we analyse...ultimately it will mean little though. Because we don't move markets

The error is assuming that the makers see the same analysis as us. As you can see on this thread alone..not so

Maybe better to figure out their 12 month view? That's an art in itself . They don't publish true outlook via broker ratings etc

[sentimentrules] 05/3/2020 06:00

I'd advise you to relate debt to just 60% of confirmed flow rates, by the quarter, soon. And estimate crude always at 8% less, forward in each quarter

Maybe if you do next time... it is one of those variables that would have had you at 50% short profit in recent times alone :)

Current macro and supply/distribution current chain n all that

[sentimentrules] 05/3/2020 05:51

You'd be surprised mariopeter, the things I understand in markets. And how deep that goes ..

But ...

No point going it....as long as I'm lucky...and tlw falls apart ...?

.money money money

That will do me

Lol

[seball] 05/3/2020 05:05

Betaville hears takeover speculation in Tullow Oil. ...from FT

[sbb1x] 05/3/2020 00:17

Hopefully opec cut 1.5m bpd this week.Pmo update tomorrow?Could see a rise tomorrow, IMF putting in 50 billion into the markets did I read....

[mariopeter] 04/3/2020 22:34

LOL SR that is pathetic. No-one here is giving advice they are expressing a view. No one is right all the time but you just have to hope you are right more than you are wrong and that remains to be seen at JOG. When you hold equity time does not matter unlike your derivative trading.

Getting back to Tullow where you show no modicum of doubt in anything you write, my view is I doubt you can even relate production at Tullow to its cash-flow and debt servicing or know sensitivities on the oil price and how that might be affected by the hedging Tullow have in place. Without that you are poking in the dark and trying to frighten holders here with unsubstantiated drivel. You might get lucky here at Tullow but the odds are against you as Tullow production will likely improve from what has been awful management. Even Total have changed things around in Ghana.

[sentimentrules] 04/3/2020 22:32

There is 90% capital return at 30p just the same as 150p

As for risk. .it just depends how you see it today I suppose.

150 looked a risky short to many when that was low price too

[sharekitchen1974] 04/3/2020 22:24

One announcement of selling assets to pay off debts and shorts will get caught with their pants down, risky bet at these levels imo Totally agree at 150p but not 30p, risk reward not there

[sentimentrules] 04/3/2020 22:04

mariopeter - 24 Aug 2019 - 06:52:49 - 2426 of 3249
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Yes I use simple charts but I am a very detailed fundamentals man too. Recognisable chart patterns occur frequently as they demonstrate what investors do (regularly) within certain price action. Not to be ignored and helps me on choosing an entry and exit level. As an example if you look at the Metro share price chart ...at what point do you buy? The answer is you wait until a bottom formation on the chart appears....not that banks are of any interest to me. Anyway computers and many traders do trade on chart patterns without any fundamental research.

Keep an eye on what happens JOG with this cup and handle though. Patterns can fail but I feel this one may well hold as the upward movement is commensurate with the fundamentals.

........

Hasn't it dropped approx 70% since nearly the date u posted that ? You basically recommended it at nearly the highest point lol.

And you are advising people about TLW?

Good example of your psychology and 'research'

:)

[sentimentrules] 04/3/2020 21:58

Shorting this since 58p and have no problem targeting 9p minimum

It'S TLW afterall..

A worse dog than TCG or DEB or Carillion were in their sectors

Very obvious..when you do proper research :)

[sentimentrules] 04/3/2020 21:56

Mario your analysis of me suggests you have never even entered a market haha

[mariopeter] 04/3/2020 21:46

Psychology of your behaviour here suggests you have been ripped apart by the market. At best you have very savaged profit but I doubt you are still in it. You are left with a short on Tullow and without research you are gambling here too.

[sentimentrules] 04/3/2020 21:27

Well if you read back a bit and see in this actual thread, that I started shorting 29400, wouldnt that answer it for you?

So the answer is jolly well. Another bounce to add short value

But really I want TLW to bounce when it hits 24p

Il short hard at 27p and take her to administration

[mariopeter] 04/3/2020 21:11

How are the shorts going fellas? Wall St up over 1100 points. Goldilocks.....

That being said Corona is defo frightening the consumer causing mass intervention by governments and central banks but what of OPEC?