Taylor Wimpey Share Discussion Threads

[retsius] 16/1/2012 16:34

Hope to be in profit tomorrow for the first time in a year.

[shaws37] 16/1/2012 16:33

I hope it doesn't go the wrong day tomorrow, fall on the news.

[sir rational] 16/1/2012 16:31

Baked in the cake for a positive update tomorrow, too late to get in now, suckers!

[sir rational] 16/1/2012 16:03

BDEV taking off

[smurfy2001] 16/1/2012 15:54

Reminder:

Trading Statement
Jan 17 2012

[imastu pidgitaswell] 16/1/2012 14:19

They usually do, while ole TW. just sits there. Late surge, a la Friday? Or will the trend of the last three bloody years come to the fore, and it will all dribble away?

One thing I would suggest with a degree of certainty: we will see 40p again, and quite probably less than 40p intraday. Could be lower, of course, but I'm stone cold certain that we will see 40p again. Ergo anything above that would be an additional profit if sold and bought back for the 40p or less price that will come again.

There, that's my forecast, and with my track record, I can only be wrong..

[sir rational] 16/1/2012 14:10

The other 5 are moving higher

[imastu pidgitaswell] 16/1/2012 11:07

Looks like 41p is the new 40p for the moment.

:-)

[sir rational] 16/1/2012 10:40

43p tommorow if it reads well on outlook

[imastu pidgitaswell] 16/1/2012 08:55

Early days, but I would be happy enough with a day of farting around above 40p, and even closing down on the day - would be a healthy consolidation of sorts in advance of tomorrow.

Not expecting anything too dramatic tomorrow, dividend news (if any) will be held for the results announcement later, tone will be as for the other builders.

Would be helpful if the Euro stuff would not keep imploding on a twice weekly basis, but there's nowt to be done about it.

[retsius] 16/1/2012 08:19

Now is not the time to sell. Housebuilders very strong in first quarter of new year. Very encouraging graph. Seen carnival shares? wow.

[shaws37] 16/1/2012 07:05

Bovis doing well !




16 January 2012

Bovis Homes Group PLC

("The Group")

Trading update

2011 profit expected to be in line with current market consensus(1)

Strong forward trading position for 2012

Overview

Bovis Homes Group PLC is today issuing the following trading update ahead of reporting its preliminary results for the year ended 31 December 2011 on Monday 27 February 2012.

The Group has delivered significant profit growth in 2011 and is well positioned to improve returns further in 2012 and beyond.

[sir rational] 15/1/2012 20:08

Well I didn't sell at 44p last time despite nice profit because I expected more.

Obviously a bad trading decision.

Might just take a decent profit & not regret the lost upside (put it to work elsewhere) next time.

Currently +10%, gotta say more than a year.

But 50p written all over TW.

[shaws37] 15/1/2012 20:02

Hope so SR. Would love nothing more than to see us at 45p +

[sir rational] 15/1/2012 19:59

Don't buy into mkts retracing because of European downgrades - it was all already expected.

Up up up me hearties, 2011 baked in the cake

[shaws37] 15/1/2012 19:51

Not sure if a rise tomorrow. If a retrace tomorrow or Tuesday, first support is 38.5p,(38.2%) if that doesn't hold 37.75p (50%) of worst case support 36.95.(61.85) All on the FIB.

(figures based on retrace starting tomorrow)

[sir rational] 14/1/2012 21:27

Divi will be reinstated but that won't get announced next week IMV

[smurfy2001] 14/1/2012 21:11

Annual General Meeting and Interim Management Statement
Apr 26 2012

Full Year Results
Feb 29 2012

Trading Statement
Jan 17 2012

[smurfy2001] 14/1/2012 20:58

One wonders if they announce a dividend or share buy back....

[naed] 14/1/2012 18:33

Aphrodites,
It's not a criticism, just an understanding. Yes agree 4p on a 500,000 share amount is a nice profit. This where i become confused with your methods as buying for a gain not a short in December would have given you now 4p +. Considering buying now, as we agree could be dangerous which makes me wonder why you considered at a late stage? Yes it would be nice to keep these levels but as you, I think we could get a retrace. Typically though with Tw the share price rises three days after good news.....just because "they can." In the next ten days though i expect to see 42.5-43.5 after the retrace.

[aphrodites] 14/1/2012 14:06

naed

Look back at my posts and you will see I have certain rules I play to when trading.

(a) I want a share with high liquidity which I can buy and sell easily in large volume.

(b) I do not let charts dictate my decisions but I use them to back up my trading view.

(c) I look for momentum to back my decision to jump on the bandwagon.

(d)I only look for small turns but deal in size. 500,000 shares in TW is not unusual for me.

(e) I do not like exposure which exposes me to unlimited losses therefore, I very rarely trade on the short side.

(f)I like to buy in Elliott Wave 3 as this is normally the strongest wave in a sequence of 5.

(g) Big figures like 40p in TW always prove difficult to break.

(g) I maintain investment and a trading portfolios. The rules above appertain to the latter.

I have traded 4 times in TW over the last 12 months, one being a small short and all have banked me good profits the maximum turn being 4p.

The reason I looked at TW yesterday was because of the 40p break but thankfully I resisted. The Euro news could well result in the market opening 60 points or more lower on Monday. TW will more than likely be marked down with an effort to take it below 40p and back to 36p.

Look back. I did buy in December to close a small short!

[naed] 14/1/2012 12:28

Aphrodites,
I'm confused as to why you would debate buying yesterday. I know as myself you have been monitoring this share for sometime, only difference is i am long time from 14.75p. With so much monitoring which I can understand how you make money from, but how come you didn't buy in December, not that long ago, and quite an increase since? I feel with the share price which is nothing more than totally manipulated by the mm's, news has possibly leaked of a divi payment next year? Everybody knows this share should technically be trading in the late 40's early 50's on a daily basis. All builder results are out now and it was expected to be good, so why the price drop in December other than "because they can". Personally feel this share will trade in the region of 52p in the summer 2012 even if it is only due to false expectations of a miracle out of recession tomorrow scenario.

[homeboy35] 14/1/2012 05:17

Bought at 31p, now 41p. Good Investment ;-)

[davy855] 14/1/2012 00:23

Hi mate. I see what you are saying but I think we may see it test 42p first. Why? Because today the Indice's slipped and its taken so long to get here. Prob test 42 slip back to test 40p and then hopefully were off.

GL pal.

[aphrodites] 13/1/2012 23:49

Davy

The chart looks very good but wave 2 in my opinion looks too steep and too rapid and we are likely to see a set back from here.

We need to stay above 40p on Monday but my guess is the hot air of today will dissipate on Monday and we will see a some of today's good work undone.

I have been monitoring this closely and today's volume trading would have normally have drawn me in to buy. It all looks like a big "puff" but I would be happy to be proven wrong.

I have no position at present and the wave formation could take it higher after the set back on Monday.