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[mrphil] 10/10/2024 08:25

Same for me Skinny, although I have wind speed of 16639! I think they have a slight issue!

Professor X, imho the best I-Pace to go for is a model year 21 HSE spec, probably late 2020 like mine. That will give you the later infotainment system, only one 12V battery (there are two in the earlier cars which can cause issues), and you will get lots of goodies that disappeared on later cars due to the chip shortage. The late model we bought recently doesn't have several of the things mine has despite also being HSE spec.

Nice start for GSK this morning, settled on "ONLY" $2.2 billion which is obviously peanuts!

[carpingtris] 10/10/2024 08:17

Skinny - mine is showing the same, lol

[skinny] 10/10/2024 08:14

This is for my postcode - I had a double take :-

[aleman] 10/10/2024 07:57

You can scroll back through Tampa footage. It does not look like a hurricane, even on the exposed coastal bits.

[aleman] 10/10/2024 07:08

Good morning. Cool, dry and bright here.

Milton is on top of Orlando with Ventuski showing winds of 20-30mph all over Florida, with gusts up to 70mph. 25,37 and 7 knots were highest recorded wind speeds at those 4 stations overnight with one stopped reporting. The highest gust at any Florida wow station overnight is 50 knots/57mph but Milton has not left yet. East coast offshore winds are rising to around 60 mph and gusting to 85mph. Rain is typically 3 inches per hour in the heavier places and some of them have seen several hours and not finished - that's clearly a great deal of rain but where was the wind for this hurricane of the century? This was nothing like a hurricane according to ventusky and the wow stations. These wind figures suggest a low level Tropical Storm for wind as it broke down with wind sheer but that warm, moist air meeting those cool northerlies created a very large amount of rain.



Can't see any tree damage and none threatening

[skinny] 10/10/2024 05:37

Good Morning.

Rain overnight and forecast until midday.

Something to cheer you up MrP :-

[aleman] 09/10/2024 21:36

Ventusky up to 90mph at 10m and central pressure dropped to 967mB so it has intensified a bit and looking much more like a Cat 1 rather than tropical storm force winds but where is the eye? What hurricane has no eye? It would be good if it bypassed Tampa and ran up the coast since skirting the coast for a while could weaken it before the eye and highest winds landed and the worst might miss a populated area. However, the recently updated wind probabilities still suggest a 75% chance of landing with 74mph wind after a slight a slight turn east to below Tampa.



The wow stations in the path now show 3,3,7,13 knots while Ventusky shows around 20mph+ for them at 10m. Ventusky has Sarasota (ground zero on the coast) at 34mph gusting to 67mph at 10m. Accuweather has it at 18mph gusting to 38mph.

I probably ought to go to bed now.

[carpingtris] 09/10/2024 19:28

Thanks Aleman.. just I know your getting your research from various sources but BBC reporting is quite different.. so yes be interesting to see how it pans out.

Anything less than a hurricane doesn't make news I guess..!

[aleman] 09/10/2024 19:20

So it was, sorry. Just seen the weather on the news. It seems a much bigger exaggeration than previous ones. Given current max sustained wind of 80mph and gusts to 104mph at 10m, sea level will typically be 5-10mph lower and winds coming ashore look to be drop off another 5-15mph. How can they claim 150mph and Cat 3? It does not even look like a hurricane any more. So is it Ventusky and satellite that is broken, or weather reporting? Ventusky's windspeeds seem in line with onshore winds when checked against local weather stations there (and here in Yorkshire). I've never doubted its output before. It will be interesting to check windspeeds on the wow network in the morning. As Milton approaches, the closest 4 stations to its path at the moment show 1,4,6 and 7 knots.

[philanderer] 09/10/2024 17:18

Portfolio +0.72% , almost back to last friday's number. Best gainers MKS, WTB, TSCO, RS1 and NICL....no fallers of any consequence.

Stayed dry all day but nt much sunshine. Still warm 16C.

Sainsbury's this morning and the offers are disappearing. Managed two boxes of cubed beef shin for the slow cooker on yellow stickers worth -20% and £1 saving on a bottle of vimto squash with clubcard. Bought a pack of five socks for £9 which turned out to be a pack of four on closer inspection when I got home. So they'll be getting changed next week for a replacement. On the upside I received a £2 discount voucher at the till for any TU clothing so I'll probably use that on a pack of boxers.

Congratulations to Joe Root on the new England Test runs record.

Aleman , I think it was carpingtris who was talking hurricanes .

If pushed I'd choose Badenoch.

Stir-fry chicken in black bean sauce with noodles and crunchy veg tonight. Bottle of merlot , which was still on offer this morning as well.

[professor x] 09/10/2024 17:16

Thanks for that link MrPhil. Unfortunately my budget won’t quite stretch that far at this point in time (two 15 year olds bleeding me dry🙈🤣;). I’ve seen a few 2019 and 2020 plates for around £19k, that have done reasonably low mileage of between 40k-44k. My only worry at that age of EV is if the battery cell is on its ways to being knackered?

[aleman] 09/10/2024 17:09

Huge hurricanes are weak hurricanes, philanderer. Nasty hurricanes are intense, small and a well structured ring with a clean circular eye and very low central pressure, as low as 900mB. Milton's has just lowered slighty in the last couple of hours, to 975mB as wind speed picked up slightly, to 77mph at 10m. Despite that, you can see it losing circulation and structure expanding and breaking. It's not even looked like a hurricane since this morning. A strong hurricane is well defined and small.



The NHC probability map has only a (whisker higher now) 75% chance of sustained hurricane speed wind (74mph) hitting land so where are they getting these stories from? It just looks like a borderline Cat 1 for now that might even just end up a tropical storm on landfall



I'm not saying a strong tropical storm cannot do a lot of damage. It depends where it hits and how much rain it brings. It's already raining heavily in Tampa, with hours of heavy rain to come.

[deanforester] 09/10/2024 16:43

I'm up +0.506% on the day today (FTSE100 +0.649%).

Best riss: KGF +1.97% then IMI and LLOY, both +1.68%

Worst falls: WDS -3.30%, S321.63% and TW. -0.47%.

My Aussie shares seemed to be the fallers. I added to VOD and UU. today. Don't know whether or not it was a good idea.

A bit showery today. I am off to London tomorrow evening, so will be late reporting.

DF

[skinny] 09/10/2024 16:34

A bit of a surprise and personally, I don't fancy either of them.

[skinny] 09/10/2024 16:21

MrP - I'm still toying with a Jag - I've just got to justify it! :-)

[dr biotech] 09/10/2024 16:20

+0.7%

Decent enough. Just more winners than losers.

[carpingtris] 09/10/2024 16:18

Aleman- BBC news just now 'live' reporting the Hurricane is huge and worst for 100 yrs etc?

Assume your reading all the hype completely differently?

Certainly be an interesting wait to see the outcome and hopefully they don't get the touted 155mph winds!

[skinny] 09/10/2024 16:16

I finished up a disappointing 0.15%.

Dry all day in the end @17C.

I bought 3 new Amaryllis 'Cherry Nymph' bulbs today - I'll plant them together in just over a week for hopefully a Christmas display.

[malcolm caton] 09/10/2024 16:11

Up 0.43%

More blues than reds.no outstanding movers either way.

[mrphil] 09/10/2024 16:07

Aleman, the colours are really starting to show around here and look fabulous when a bit of sun hits them! We're popping up to The Lakes for a few days at the end of the month, hopefully there will still be some colour around Derwent Water. Haven't been up to The lakes since 2021 so we're getting withdrawal symptoms!

[blueliner] 09/10/2024 16:04

+0.21% folio, [FTSE All-Share +0.68%]
Scratching around to find some winners, BA., HICL, BERI, ADVT, qualify.

REVB -11.3% major faller early then settled down. Just a small outlay involved. SDV being the only other material faller.

Showery again today, max 14C.

[aleman] 09/10/2024 15:53

+0.3%. FRES up 2% but nothing else moved much.

I'm surprised it did not rain. It's threatened all day. I could have taken a walk but radar suggested I'd probably get wet. Oh, well. The northerly has picked up a bit, anyway, making it feel quite cold again. 12.8C after 11.8C.

I should comment on the beautiful display of autumn colours - a couple of weeks earlier this year so most leaves are still on trees. It feels a lot richer this year, with possibly the best display since we moved here. That's a modest compensation for the coldest, wettest, greyest year (and a half?) since we got here. Goodness, H2/23 to H2/24 has been grim. When does it stop?

[mrphil] 09/10/2024 15:47

Professor X, just spotted this one which looks a good deal

Better day today, +0.56% with top risers LLOY, SSE & CUSN

[professor x] 09/10/2024 15:23

Very helpful indeed MrPhil. Thank you.

[aleman] 09/10/2024 15:23

Ventusky shows Milton dropped from 84mph this morning to 71mph now, so also suggesting no longer a hurricane. This is reinforced by its growing size as it spreads out and gets less intense, already raining over almost all of Florida. However, the low pressure centre (no eye now) has turned slightly further north and now headed for Tampa, with a bigger population, and scope for funnelling any storm surge into Tampa Bay, though this lessons (quickly?) as cooler seas, skirting land and wind sheer from the cooler east coast onshore northerlies all conspire to break Milton down. Peak rainfall is approaching 4.5 inches per hour ahead of the centre and just off Fort Myers.

I've checked reported current windspeeds in Fort Myers and Tampa and both are less than Ventusky report for those areas, even though Ventusky is much lower than being reported in media stories. (Accuweather says 10mph and 7mph respectively, gusting to 23mph and 19mph. Ventusky says 18mph and 16mph, both gusting to 38mph. But Ventusky is a 10m estimate and would be about right for those ground speeds. )

I only waste my time checking this stuff because media exaggerate so much that it's hard to tell how dangerous storms are these days. (No actually I'm a nerd who used to track storms as a kid and find it interesting.)

Kirk is now hitting SW France with sustained onshore winds of up to 25mph and is just a regular old weather front producing moderate rain as far as Berlin. ( Typically 3-7mm/hr.) What were they saying about that one a few days ago?