Mallett Share Discussion Threads

[11_percent] 20/5/2024 11:43

If you want to use his site to trade...then you need the Pro level membership.....I think. I have never had it, so cant say for sure.

Where he is making predictions on markets on the Private Blog.....he uses the Arrays, reversal values, graphs, etc which only the Pro Members get to see.

So....I have been paying less attention to his site....although I have basic Membership.

[atlantic57] 20/5/2024 11:32

Well I’m pleased to hear that.
I’m sure he said in the Covid era that inflation would not make a come back because we had flattened demand.

I’ve concluded that most of these commentators do not have Nostradamus qualities .
Cheers

[11_percent] 20/5/2024 11:23

atlantic57,

Sorry for late reply....I did not see your private message.

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I have posted however I no longer have any confidence in his commentary.

He has got major calls wrong .I remember in %2020 he said the market recovery was false and kept showing graphs of the 1929 pull back after the intitisl recovery.

He predicted inflation could not come back any time soon because demand had been decimated by closing down the economy.

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Yes, back in 2020 I remember we missed out on the rise that followed the Covid fall in Feb 2020.
He was predicting that there would be a fall....as the markets charged higher.

Recently he has been calling inflation correct.....that it would not go back 2% as the FED only has interest rates as a tool and this type of inflation we are seeing is caused by shortages and is not the usual "top of the business cycle" inflation where there is too much money being issued by the banks.

I only have the Basic Account now.....although it does give access to some of the Private Blogs. This is where a lot, if not all of his predictions on markets are posted.

If you do not have a subscription....you are not going to get much in the way of predictions.

I did have the Plus membership, but I found it was not much better than the Basic membership.
You need to move to the Pro Membership to get the functions that allow you to trade.....and its $150 per month.

His macro calls on the Private Blog have been fairly good over the last year...DOW increase, gold, interest rates.

[atlantic57] 16/4/2024 16:44

I will do that .
However as per my previous post my confidence in Armstrong’s claim to predict what will unfold has gone.He was wrong by a very big margin on previous predictions.

[11_percent] 16/4/2024 16:33

This BB has all but died....if you post here send me a Private Massage so I know there is a post.

[k mon] 13/8/2023 11:25

Has to do with 'Systems'....

Then .. the concepts of 'Freewill'... and 'Predestination'...
and then beyond that .. The concept of 'Authority'.. and the Ability of 'An Authority'.. to create & Maintain a 'System'.. that is Viable & Long Lasting..

All that sort of stuff .. It's Deeply Philosophical / Scientific & something
that has been debated for thousands of years..

So you are quite right to be skeptical..

Simply because .. No matter what 'Construct'.. any Society / Country etc..
assembles itself as .. The mere fact that each assembly .. disintegrates into
chaos
- That includes the concepts of 'Money'.. 'Debt'.. and even concepts such as
'Law'.. 'Politics'.. and 'Government / State'


That .. is what Both Kondratiev and Armstrong have both noticed..

All 'Systems'.. Disintegrate ..
(and even become counter active & 'self destructive' - within themselves)
.. over time..

We all .. live within a 'System'..
-there are those who 'benefit'.. from that 'system' .. simply because they created & manipulate .. that 'system'

. but what happens .. when the system.. disintegrates..


Once you can recognise that ..
Then the The ONLY question remaining is ... How do you survive through
that caustic.. destructive .. period..

[atlantic57] 13/8/2023 08:10

I am loosing the will to listen to these endless commentaries and claims of being able to predict what is about to unfold. I am skeptics of the benefits of these channels.

The average citizen has no power to do anything.



This does make sense but so what ?

[k mon] 12/8/2023 23:19

How the world really works ..
Interesting interview .. it's not about Economics..

just about 'Power'.. and the ability to make you believe'.. that somehow
you are 'Free'.. whilst 'The system' & those who control it & Benefit by it ..
(From Judge to politician & Banker ..) .. are making you a Serf..



A Complete 'Illusion'.. that now has got out of control....
(and in my opinion .. become a confused self destructive )

(Notice how 'Tax' works )

[atlantic57] 30/3/2023 19:28

Thanks for that

So interest rates stay higher for longer us economy can stand it but Europe cannot .
Presumably if there is no free money and the potential pivot not much of a pivot then the Nasdaq and tech stocks will struggle.

On the other hand the real us economy as opposed to the stock market is durable.

Is that fair

[11_percent] 30/3/2023 19:05

I have stated following Tim Luongo.



His best stuff is on the Patreon site......but you need to pay for that.
Were similar to MA, but goes into far more detail and repeats his points so that you get them.


MA is saying that Powel/Fed is raising rates because of the Ukraine war. The first rate rise was just after the war started. TL has not picked this point up.

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Both MA and TL think that inflation is going to stay high into 20224, and that interest rates will stay higher for longer.....they are not going back to zero.

Interest rates will go down......but not a traditional "Pivot" as Powel did end of 2018, start of 2019.

That was "The FED Put"....and that is dead.....no more free money.....particularly in the EURO $ market.

Since the 2nd world war, both Europe and US set loan rates in line with LIBOR. So, when Europe got in trouble, and put up rates......LIBOR went up and so rates in US went up......even if there was no problem in US.

The US has transitioned to SOFOR, so the 2 banking systems are no longer connected.

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The EU needs low interest rates as soon as possible......but the US does not.
The ECB will go bust with high interest rates, the US will not.. This is why the EU screams every time Powel puts up interest rates.

As Powel puts up rates....more money flows out of EU and into US$...and into the DOW.

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Inflation to stay high.

Fed to keep rising rates = 6%.

They will reduce rates....but NOT TO ZERO.
The FED put is dead.


Both predicting that the Ukraine war is going to get far worse.

[atlantic57] 30/3/2023 14:48

For roughly the last year punters have been speculating that the Fed will Pivot.

The dates for the Pivot keep being pushed back .

If inflation is staying high does Mae have a view on interest rates .

If they stay high for to long the real economy will surely take a hit and of course 2024 is a big political year.

[atlantic57] 01/10/2022 08:57

Many thanks 11

[11_percent] 01/10/2022 08:33

For the US indexes, I use ETFs (or they might be ENTs).

US INDEX
• Boost S&P 500® 3x Leverage Daily ETP LSE: 3USL LONG
• Boost S&P 500® 3x Short Daily ETP LSE: 3USS SHORT
• Boost NASDAQ 100® 3x Leverage Daily ETP LSE: QQQ3 LONG
• Boost NASDAQ 100® 3x Short Daily ETP LSE: QQQS SHORT

[11_percent] 01/10/2022 08:33

For the US indexes, I use ETFs (or they might be ENTs).

US INDEX
• Boost S&P 500® 3x Leverage Daily ETP LSE: 3USL LONG
• Boost S&P 500® 3x Short Daily ETP LSE: 3USS SHORT
• Boost NASDAQ 100® 3x Leverage Daily ETP LSE: QQQ3 LONG
• Boost NASDAQ 100® 3x Short Daily ETP LSE: QQQS SHORT

[atlantic57] 01/10/2022 07:26

As Ma makes a big deal about how different markets behave in the us Nasdaq Dow etc
Do you know of any funds which invest in the Dow .

This seems to be the index that attracts international money rather than the Nasdaq .

[11_percent] 30/9/2022 23:17

Yes......just listened to it.

Gold and shares going up in Q1 20223.......lets see.

[atlantic57] 30/9/2022 16:02

A latest interview with Martin Very Interesting.
It looks like he is saying that equity markets are going no where for some months.

possibly a rally in gold and equities in the USA in quarter 1 2023

[11_percent] 29/9/2022 13:21

Many commentators appear to be suggesting a huge crash is coming.Armstrong I thought had consistently stated that the USA would be last man standing and would continue to draw
In capital from everywhere pushing indexes up.

Yes....still saying this.
This why....although saying indexes going lower......we are not looking at 90% fall like 1930s.......yet.

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I still think the markets are trying to force Powell to pivot.

Yes.....everyone wants a pivot......lower interest rates.....print money......"good old days" again.
The BoE did a pivot this week and everything took off.
We will get a big rally when Powel pivots.......US indexes, gold, silver, copper, corn, wheat, etc.
Basically QE........what we have been doing since 2008 to keep the plates spinning.

Will work.......for one last time IMO.........then a complete breakdown in financial markets.

[atlantic57] 29/9/2022 04:57

Thanks 11 a lot to read and digest.

I won’t comment properly until I have read it all.

However at this stage I do make some general observations.

Many commentators appear to be suggesting a huge crash is coming.Armstrong I thought had consistently stated that the USA would be last man standing and would continue to draw
In capital from everywhere pushing indexes up.

I still think the markets are trying to force Powell to pivot.I think we are due one big rally when this happens followed by a repeat of the long decline that happened in the 1930’s.

However to date Mr Market has been much to optimistic about when this will happen.

[11_percent] 28/9/2022 10:30

“Keep Calm & Carry On”

I see what you mean now.

I see now that this was posted yesterday to the Private Blog.....and have just looked at the blog posts.....it ahs not showed up in my Private Blog as I am now Basic membership.

[atlantic57] 28/9/2022 10:29

Thanks I will read and digest

[11_percent] 28/9/2022 10:16

a57,

I have terminated my "Plus" membership of Soc and now only have the "Basic" membership.....so might be missing some Private Blogs.

$55 was too much for the Plus membership......and I am now using that money on a Full membership of Tom Luongo.

I find he gives a better and deeper analysis.

[11_percent] 28/9/2022 10:10

On 01/09/22, private blog......"The Decline and Fall of Britain".

It does not let me cut and paste again, so, I will summaries it.

Long term prediction for the £ has not changed. 82 cents by 2027.

A break of the August low will warn that the £ remains weak short term.

Our projections of a strong $ are linked to geopolitics. People are realizing that old economic theories no longer work.
Nations in the West are self-destructing.....money flees to US.....which means the $........same as WW1 and WW2.
After WW2, US had 72% of world gold.

=================

I find that his video interviews are best for me understanding and getting the "big picture connections" on what he is talking about.

His interviews are now all about the geopolitics.

===============

This one is good in that it concentrates on economics.

USA Watchdog article & interview with Martin Armstrong.
At last, some positive comments regarding gold from him.
"Armstrong has never been more positive on buying gold. Why? Armstrong explains, “We are looking at a sovereign debt default."




====================

He is saying that the fall in US indexes will not be like 1930s........because of the difference......which is that $s will flow into the US.

However.......the US$ is fiat and will go the same way as the World Fiat currencies.
THIS IS WHY MONEY WILL GO THEN GO INTO TANGEABLE ASSETS.
The money that has gone into the US and the $......will not go into/or come out of US bonds (no trust in Gov)....and will go into tangible assets.......which is US shares and in particular the DOW.
This is why does not see a fall in US indexes as per 1930s.

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He now seems to write in the style of a Chartist talking of levels of support.

What I think is happening is.........there several analysis sections/parts in Soc.

Soc does a traditional Chartist technical analysis......reversals, resistance, support, etc.

There is also an analysis....I don't know what it is.....that looks at trends in these indexes...and makes predictions on future levels. This is based on all the data is collected.

This is what picks up the geopolitical events.....and he then merges the 2 analysis types.

I think there several analysis types that are combined.

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