Avanti Communications Share Discussion Threads

[bump3r] 16/3/2012 22:19

You'll find He's now retired from his thread but his charts are as a % of predictions quite accurate.
Used to write software for his employer on charts I recall.

I use the two stage bear reversal, coupled with double bottom (or treble bottom /backtest) as one of my key indicators.

Enjoy the thread it's legendary.

[johncsimpson] 16/3/2012 22:09

bump3r - 16 Mar'12 - 18:51 - 8061 of 8061

John , Horneblower had £2.48 as a potential base back in Dec.

Thanks for that - he/she is unknown to me but I'll try and find some time over the weekend to go through his/her thread for the last few months and back check the 'predictions'. I'm always keen to see what others are thinking and seeing even though there's no guarantee that charts will be give spot on reversal signals and it's even harder to see good sell signals. Chartists also have the problem of 'game-changing' news to screw up the picture . . .

[bump3r] 16/3/2012 18:51

John , Horneblower had £2.48 as a potential base back in Dec

[johncsimpson] 16/3/2012 17:02

What a tease eh? - too close to my charts 'critical' line to go OTT come Monday. Unless, that is, it opens up . . . .

[johncsimpson] 16/3/2012 16:31

What's the betting this closes with a 248 mid price?

[johncsimpson] 16/3/2012 16:08

Doesn't want to go through 248 and hold . . . Not the end of the world, of course, just sort of leaves us in limbo again.

[mechanical trader] 16/3/2012 15:01

Correction on Brokers below, apologies.

Well the Broker share price targets are
very bullish indeed. I take it the
two larger Targets are for long term
forecasts and Investec (correction) is for short
term forecast.

Never the less 333p short term looks
impressive.

I wonder what time frame Daniel Stewart
and Jefferies have set for their targets??.

Date Broker name New Price Old price target New price target Broker change

06-Mar-12 Jefferies Buy 257.25p 1,340.00p - Reiteration
05-Dec-11 Daniel Stewart Buy 316.50p 2,525.00p - Reiteration
03-Oct-11 Investec Securities Hold 263.50p 333.00p - Reiteration

[rogerbridge] 16/3/2012 12:28

Pretty well loaded up here, as soon as the seller is out I will have one final top up.

[mechanical trader] 16/3/2012 11:46

Avanti Communications AVN.

Well the Broker share price targets are
very bullish indeed. I take it the
two larger Targets are for long term
forecasts and Investec (correction) is for short
term forecast.

Never the less 333p short term looks
impressive.

I wonder what time frame Daniel Stewart
and Jefferies have set for their targets??.

Date Broker name New Price Old price target New price target Broker change

06-Mar-12 Jefferies Buy 257.25p 1,340.00p - Reiteration
05-Dec-11 Daniel Stewart Buy 316.50p 2,525.00p - Reiteration
03-Oct-11 Investec Securities Hold 263.50p 333.00p - Reiteration

[mechanical trader] 16/3/2012 11:25

Revenue is forecast to rocket (get it.. lol)
next year.

AVN Forecasts

Year Ending Revenue (£m) Pre-tax (£m) EPS

30-Jun-12 17.07 (8.47) (7.97)p

30-Jun-13 58.37 5.67 4.30p


as is EPS.

[someuwin] 16/3/2012 11:19

If the seller is finished this wil rocket!

[mechanical trader] 16/3/2012 11:18

Volume has shot up in last 30 mins!!!!

[bump3r] 16/3/2012 11:16

Again closing price is important but indicators are bullish on daily

[mechanical trader] 16/3/2012 11:15

Up over 5% better than a kick in
the teeth.

[jonnyno1] 16/3/2012 11:14

this will not last long, they are bound to make a good announcement!

j.

[mechanical trader] 16/3/2012 11:11

150,000 o trade Buy just gone
through.

[divinausa1] 16/3/2012 11:07

looks like institutional buy of £300k

[mechanical trader] 16/3/2012 11:06

AVN Avanti Communications

Certainly looks to have been a turn
around in sentiment here.

last week was well off 100% long.

IG INDEX client sentiment rating
updated every 15 minutes and used
as a proxy for shorting. (NIL)

Client Sentiment

LONG 100% of IG clients with open positions in this market expect the price to rise

0% of IG clients with open positions in this market expect the price to fall

[divinausa1] 16/3/2012 11:04

off topic

Trend

re shft broker unrisked target £1.70 current share price 60p
paying a 14% dividend strong order book and tendering for
a further $1 billion and confident of getting a big slice

[bump3r] 16/3/2012 10:58

The current weekly candle is indicating a reversal.
As ever closing price is key.

[johncsimpson] 16/3/2012 10:54

Close above 261 would be really good on my charts and any where above 248 would be key to a reversal. It looked like it would do it on the 5th March but then continued down to 240ish.

[someuwin] 16/3/2012 10:50

Moving a bit now.

[mechanical trader] 16/3/2012 10:45

AVN AVANTI COMMUNICATIONS

Brokers like the stock.......

Avanti Communications Group PLC

FORECASTS 2012 2013
Date Rec Pre-tax (£) EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax (£) EPS (p) DPS (p)

Daniel Stewart
12-03-12 BUY -12.20 -10.30 6.20 5.80
Cenkos Securities
08-03-12 BUY -7.91 -7.90 3.82 0.80
Investec Securities [R]
23-11-11 HOLD -31.95 -35.92 -9.20 -10.34
Growth Equity & Co Research
05-10-11 SBUY 3.30 4.00

2012 2013
Pre-tax (£) EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax (£) EPS (p) DPS (p)

Consensus -11.90 -11.56 3.22 1.57
1 Month Change -0.19 -0.37 -4.38 -5.35
3 Month Change -6.91 -6.15 -11.35 -13.45


GROWTH
2011 (A) 2012 (E) 2013 (E)

Norm. EPS % % %
DPS % % %

INVESTMENT RATIOS
2011 (A) 2012 (E) 2013 (E)

EBITDA £-11.64m £1.11m £34.81m
EBIT £-12.45m £-7.30m £16.40m
Dividend Yield % % %
Dividend Cover x x x
PER -20.28x -20.87x 154.06x
PEG f f f
Net Asset Value PS 244.09p p p

[someuwin] 16/3/2012 10:37

Added a few more. It HAS to go up from this bombed out level - surely!