German Think Tanks Trim Growth Outlook for 2017 -- Update
29 September 2016 - 12:32PM
Dow Jones News
By Nina Adam
FRANKFURT--Leading German think tanks on Thursday raised growth
projections for Europe's largest economy for this year but trimmed
their expectations for 2017.
They forecast growth of 1.9 % in 2016, compared with April's
prediction of 1.6%. Germany's economic growth rate is expected to
ease to 1.4% in 2017, compared with an earlier estimate of 1.5%,
but recover slightly to 1.6% in 2018.
Germany's "moderate" upswing is underpinned by a solid labor
market and buoyant consumption, the Munich-based Ifo institute, the
Essen-based RWI, the DIW in Berlin, the IWH in Halle and the IfW in
Kiel said in a joint research report. But the U.K.'s pending exit
from the European Union could potentially undermine economic
activity, weighing on exports and investment, they said.
The report confirmed that Germany's economy is in "a robust
condition," said Economy Minister Sigmar Gabriel.
The think tanks also forecast that the national budget surplus
will fall to 20.1 billion euros ($22.5 billion) this year from
EUR22.6 billion in 2015. For 2017 and 2018, they forecast surpluses
of EUR13.7 billion and EUR16 billion, respectively. Germany's
current-account surplus is expected to hit 8.8% of gross domestic
product this year, but ease to 8.4% in 2018.
Mr. Gabriel, who is also vice chancellor, said that the
projected budget surplus as well as historically low interest rates
"offer room for maneuver," which should be used wisely. "I share
the view of the institutes that the integration and qualification
of migrants, as well as investment in education and research
represent key tasks that we should face head-on," he said.
Write to Nina Adam at nina.adam@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
September 29, 2016 07:17 ET (11:17 GMT)
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