U.S. Dollar Declines as Geopolitical Concerns Drag Treasury Yields
25 November 2015 - 6:46AM
Dow Jones News
By Kosaku Narioka
The U.S. dollar declined in Asia on Wednesday amid geopolitical
uncertainty in the Middle East, pushing U.S. Treasury yields
lower.
Market participants have been betting for the dollar on the view
that possible Federal Reserve rate increases would mean higher
Treasury yields, which typically attract more investment, but some
were trimming their bets because yields haven't risen much, Tokyo
dealers said.
The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. government note fell to
a three-week low of 2.243% on Tuesday, in part driven by
geopolitical tensions caused by Turkey shooting down a Russian
military jet along the Syrian border. It declined further to 2.237%
on Wednesday in Asia.
Kosuke Hanao, head of foreign exchange at HSBC in Tokyo, said he
doesn't anticipate a flare-up between Russia and North Atlantic
Treaty Organization, which Turkey is a member of.
Alan Oster, group chief economist at National Australia Bank,
said the incident pushed U.S. Treasury and the yen higher, but
markets aren't seriously factoring in a further escalation of
tensions in the Middle East.
"Unless it escalates into a NATO versus Russia... I don't think
it really matters that much," he said.
The dollar fell to 122.39 yen as of 0450 GMT from Y122.52 late
Tuesday in New York, according to EBS. The euro rose to $1.0657
from $1.0643.
The dollar's downside against the euro may be limited, as many
anticipate the European Central Bank to take additional easing
steps next week, as indicated by President Mario Draghi, analysts
said.
"I think he is going to do it. So you probably expect the euro
will weaken a bit further," Mr. Oster said.
Mr. Hanao said the ECB probably doesn't need to undertake
massive easing measures given the euro's sizable decline this year.
The euro has lost 12% year to date.
"European economies are on the mend," he said. "They don't need
to do anything astonishing."
For the rest of the global day, market participants are paying
attention to a series of U.S. economic indicators due later to
gauge the strength of the U.S. economic recovery.
Interbank Foreign Exchange Rates At 23:50 EST / 0450 GMT
Latest Previous %Chg Daily Daily %Chg
Dollar Rates Close High Low 12/31
USD/JPY Japan 122.42-43 122.53-54 -0.09 122.57 122.26 +2.26
EUR/USD Euro 1.0656-59 1.0642-45 +0.13 1.0679 1.0641 -11.91
GBP/USD U.K. 1.5095-97 1.5084-86 +0.07 1.5116 1.5078 -3.10
USD/CHF Switzerland 1.0165-69 1.0166-70 -0.01 1.0175 1.0151 +2.25
USD/CAD Canada 1.3292-97 1.3304-09 -0.09 1.3311 1.3280 +14.40
AUD/USD Australia 0.7262-66 0.7255-59 +0.10 0.7277 0.7252 -11.10
NZD/USD New Zealand 0.6571-77 0.6552-58 +0.29 0.6581 0.6551 -15.66
Euro Rate
EUR/JPY Japan 130.44-48 130.41-45 +0.02 130.63 130.35 -9.99
Source: ICAP PLC
Write to Kosaku Narioka at kosaku.narioka@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
November 25, 2015 01:31 ET (06:31 GMT)
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