Gold Prices Little Changed as U.S. Jobs Report Awaited
04 September 2015 - 12:53PM
Dow Jones News
By Katherine Dunn
Gold prices were flat on Friday as investors await a signal from
U.S. jobs data that could provide a clue about the timing of a U.S.
interest rate increase, and with it, the appetite for this precious
metal.
The most actively traded contract, for December delivery, was
down $0.20, or 0.01%, at $1,124.40 a troy ounce on the Comex
division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. Gold has disappointed
its investors in recent weeks, closing lower for seven of the past
nine sessions despite the market volatility and concerns over
global growth that would typically support its price.
The U.S. nonfarm payroll numbers are crucial in determining the
pace of the country's economic recovery. Strong jobs growth could
indicate that a September rate increase is still on the cards.
That would strengthen the dollar and dampen the appeal of gold,
which is denominated in dollars. Also, the metal doesn't pay
interest or dividends so is more competitive when interest rates
are near zero.
But if the jobs data are disappointing, gold could get a
boost.
"This will give the market some further clues about how the Fed
will be thinking about raising rates," said Robin Bhar, head of
metals research at Société Générale. "It really hinges on
today."
Still, gold could see some buying as traders prepare for the
coming long Labor Day weekend in the U.S., and the return of
Chinese traders from their public holiday, by covering short
positions, Mr. Bhar said.
Some analysts also expect gold to see buying on the back of an
expected further round of economic stimulus from the European
Central Bank. Though statements from the ECB on Thursday,
encouraging this belief, failed to boost prices, the prospect of
further stimulus will likely increase the precious metal's appeal
in the longer term, said Carsten Fritsch, senior commodities
analyst at Commerzbank AG.
The ECB's announcement of quantitative easing earlier this year
helped rally prices due to expectations of higher inflation. Gold
is seen as a hedge against inflation.
"I think over the long term prices will rise," Mr. Fritsch
said.
Tatyana Shumsky contributed to this article
Write to Katherine Dunn katherine.dunn @wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
September 04, 2015 07:38 ET (11:38 GMT)
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