Tullow Oil Share Discussion Threads

[cat100] 28/8/2015 11:48

Shaggies_view nope but it could well be broken up. I would hold no faith in this price rise holding up. I still think oil will see $25.

[shaggies_view] 28/8/2015 11:26

Not many numpties suggesting TLW will go bust over last two days.

Shaggy

[shaf200] 28/8/2015 08:25

Ftse100 to stabilise around 6000...

[holmess] 28/8/2015 08:16

275p is my short term target....

[gregpeck7] 28/8/2015 08:15

This tracked down so fast from 400p+ it could easily gap back to 250 + very soon if oil can steady above $50..

[holmess] 28/8/2015 08:10

Bear on toast for breakfast - yum ;)

[mr aboii] 27/8/2015 14:26

--- gregpeck7 27 Aug'15 - 11:37 - 21898
:)

[gregpeck7] 27/8/2015 11:37

Not finished? Its not even started! :D

[sawadee3] 27/8/2015 11:21

Bull run not finished, I suggest holding your oil shares very tightly chaps :-)

[holmess] 27/8/2015 10:31

Yet another assumption on oil prices! Lets see what OPEC decided in the coming weeks........

[cricklewood] 27/8/2015 09:33

Wade in, the price has to recover no ifs or buts about it.

[phowdo] 27/8/2015 09:14

WTI back up through $40.

[holmess] 27/8/2015 08:41

Bear SQUEEZE......

[holmess] 27/8/2015 08:11

Indeed Cricklewood - Looks like the simplistic analysis of a 5 year old ;)

[cricklewood] 27/8/2015 07:21

Load of old tosh LOL

[buywell3] 26/8/2015 17:57

Posts on here tend to be boring one liners

If you ain't got anything worth saying why bother ?

This is the sort of thing you should be knocking out .... Big Picture thinking

Cos what is happening now is going to be what is coming down the line in 2016



................ China and the 2015/2016 Currency World War ..............

Yes well spotted OVER 50% of their debt is property related

A capitalist type bubble waiting to go pop

Setting up a stock exchange based upon western standard as the Chinese Government has ... they are now probably regretting or will be soon.

The recent highs have been on the back of PI's in China borrowing from Shadow banks and other high interest lenders.

There will be a lot of poor former PI's that bought shares thinking they were a one way bet.

Which will be a major headache for the Government of China , (currently is one)

Their various actions over the last few weeks shows they are in crisis , and are trying a variety of quick fix solutions.

A currency war, full blown type , will hurt the USA and the EU more than it will hurt China

I still expect them to devalue by another 5% before Nov 5th .

Another 10% drop then in Global share markets

But by xmas the weaker Yuan should start to help exports albeit only by a few points to get the manufacturing index up to nearly 50.

I expect China to devalue further by another 10% next year in two tranches , the 1st in Jan or Feb 2016 .

Another 10% fall and the DJIA is now sitting at 14,000 .... end Jan early Feb

Chartwise this is a perfect fit if the DJIA goes sideways at around 16,000 ( which I called on another thread a couple of weeks back)

The USA will then be very accommodating towards China ... as the dollar will then be going higher and their export markets and the EU export markets suffering.

In other words Global recession by Feb 2016 will be the case.

China will also probably do another 0.25% interest rate cut before xmas this year just to put the boot in and make uncle sam say ''uncle''

All the USA and EU will have left is more QE to drop the value of their currencies ... as 0% is a white flag and means the currency war has been lost.

Expect to see China adding more GOLD to its reserves at these lower prices every couple of months for the next year and a bit ... though they will try to keep it mum.

GOLD to $2,000 plus within 3 years looks on as a result of the wall of paper coming our way.

OIL ... not looking good for 2016 as Global recession is conceded by the powers that be.

Time to consider Safe Haven Sector stocks and has been for the last 12 months and more if you paid attention to the BIG picture and stopped reading ramping tripe

[azalea] 26/8/2015 17:49

Very interesting article on the future direction for oil prices.

hxxp://citywire.co.uk/money/article/a834078

[edmondj] 26/8/2015 11:11

Yes it's largely macro.

Dilemma that it will take a few months yet to see what is the genuine underlying trend in China, than weekly scare statistics, this being the key factor on the demand side - versus producers' disarray.

[ny boy] 26/8/2015 10:45

Just too many dead cat bounces all over the market place, this would only be a buy if 280p can be help and well supported again, otherwise, could easily drift or tank lower.

Most are busy laying staff off, shutting down rigs etc.

Collateral damage has been done, it will take a while to recover,6-18 months, first the price of oil needs to bottom and as of yet there is no sign of that happening.

[edmondj] 26/8/2015 08:31

Naa, not a knife worthy of Tullow.

Now that's a Tullow knife:

[phowdo] 26/8/2015 08:24

Tullow knife catcher...