Tribal Share Discussion Threads

[its the oxman] 15/5/2015 08:05

Update sounds like a profit warning. Next results may not make good reading.

[daijavu] 13/5/2015 19:59

You might be right. TTIP might help but that might not happen because there seems to be a lot of cross party opposition to TTIP in Congress.

If Tribal can't grow in the USA or Asia they might have to broaden their offering outside education.

[simon gordon] 13/5/2015 12:01

daijavu,

Based upon my recent research the US will be a very hard nut to crack, that is why they are more focused on Asia Pacific for growth.

The CEO departing is not a great sign, maybe he thinks they are at a dead end, the company has stabilised but that dynamic growth is beyond them and it will be a slog, that's just an uninformed guess from me.

[daijavu] 12/5/2015 22:32

The company posted this today:

'Keith Evans will step down from his role as chief executive officer of Tribal Group at the end of next month, the provider of software and services for education management confirmed on Tuesday.
In a short statement, Evans said he had decided to step down from the role he has occupied for the last five years as he sought a "a change in lifestyle".'

[daijavu] 12/5/2015 21:44

I think the key to success here is the US market

[luckymouse] 21/4/2015 20:45

Hard to tell - O/S as hell so deserves a technical bounce - even a gap fill upto 180 - but FD ditching a shed load doesn't help fill with confidence - counter view is dip to 120ish - kind of depends what happens at 154...

[simon gordon] 18/4/2015 08:48

Progressive Research now doing paid for company broker notes on TRB, which are free if you register:

[simon gordon] 07/4/2015 09:13

Not very inspiring that the CFO has sold two lots of shares in his ISA:

31/3/15 - 36,881

1/4/15 - 81,286

SCWS reporting that TRB are aiming to do EPS of 17p in 2017.

Personally think TRB will get taken out, no idea when.

Monthly support at 142p then 125p:

[illtud] 27/3/2015 21:18

I'm confident that this will come good eventually but we'll have to be patient. There may be some movement after the August statement.

There seems to have been some share swapping between IIs yesterday

[simon gordon] 24/3/2015 16:31

Any views on how the share price is going to pan out for the remainder of 2015? Been pretty range bound for the past two years, 150p to 200p.

[gucci] 16/3/2015 09:04

great intra day reversal

l2 pretty strong

[gucci] 03/3/2015 10:01

nice move up today

[illtud] 25/2/2015 16:13

It certainly surprised me. Perhaps we'll see some more movement when the 2014 results are out.

[simon gordon] 25/2/2015 07:21

Looks like some in the market knew of the OFSTED extension:

25/2/15

Extension to Ofsted Early Years Quality Assurance contract

Tribal undertakes a range of quality assurance inspections on behalf of Ofsted, the UK's Office for Standards in Education, Children's Services and Skills, under a contract which commenced in August 2010 and was due to expire in August 2015. We are pleased to announce that, as anticipated, this contract has now been extended for up to 19 months until March 2017, with a likely value of over GBP18m.

[illtud] 23/2/2015 11:13

I think that we may have to wait until Tribal gets past the income loss from losing school inspections.

[illtud] 23/2/2015 11:11

2014 results due 16th March

[napoleon 14th] 15/2/2015 17:27

TRB broke the downtrend in Jan, & the consolidation phase this month.
Hope they can keep it up.

[illtud] 14/1/2015 23:47

The problems are Tribal's history, the loss of a large source of income from school inspections and a dropping share market.

The positives include the fact that Tribal's core business based on SITS Vision is still expanding. The University of Alberta is a recent acquisition in Canada joining The University Of British Columbia. The potential market for SITS Vision in Canada is around 50% larger than Australia.

[napoleon 14th] 02/1/2015 11:05

Seems happy enough with support at 160p.
RNS 181214 - Chaiman putting his money where his mouth is;
Not megabucks but a good sign.

[simon gordon] 17/12/2014 07:56

Chart wise on the monthly, support is at 143p then 116p.

[edmondj] 17/12/2014 07:40

Is this the start of more wider warnings outside some of the classic cyclicals (e.g. PFC, PFL, ECM) one wonders.

[fishbournetrader] 17/12/2014 07:29

14 November 2014:

"Based on our expectation of contract completions and the achievement of key contract milestones before the end of the year, Tribal's trading remains in line with our expectations for the full year."

Note that in November they used the word "expectation" and today this has changed to "depended on".

I would suggest that in November they did not expect these completions and milestones to be achieved.

[essential] 17/12/2014 07:29

Ouch .- maybe a good chance to top up or take a position on the impending fall

[simon gordon] 17/12/2014 07:17

17/12/14:

"In our Interim Management Statement of 14 November we highlighted that the outturn for the year depended on contract completions and the achievement of key contract milestones before the end of the year. Given the timing of a number of contracts, including those announced today, we now believe it unlikely that certain key milestones and completions will be achieved before our year end. As a result, we anticipate that our profits for 2014 will be below the Board's previous expectations. The Board expects the benefit of these deferred contract milestones and completions will be recognised early next year, which will underpin our expectations for 2015."

[simon gordon] 18/11/2014 14:26

Bit of a surprise to see Crystal Amber reducing by 350,000 shares.