Tracsis Share Discussion Threads

[pj 1] 19/7/2017 09:50

Also watching closely but I'm reluctant to buy under a declining 200 mda.

[rivaldo] 19/7/2017 09:50

Cheers cfro. Martinthebrave, just to clarify I completely agree that it wouldn't be deliberate to "pull investors in" as I have a high regard for the CEO as you evidently do too. But the timing of today's win is such that it would work that way if results weren't up to expectations.

[interceptor2] 19/7/2017 09:49

Appreciate the expression of caution from respected posters, I will take a cautious approach until the trading update which is normally released mid August, I don't think that the broker estimates are that demanding so the next update should be at least inline?

Good support on the chart at the 350p

Nice to have a foothold in this company at last.

[martinthebrave] 19/7/2017 09:11

Held this for a couple of years and I don't think John McArthur would "pull investors in" only a month prior to issuing a disappointing trading update. So I fully expect the update to be okay and have taken the opportunity to double up today.

[cfro] 19/7/2017 08:59

I agree riv. Just on the watchlist for time being.

This contract will have no effect for this FY and part of the contract is only a renewal of existing contracts.

Not sure just 'significant' this contract is therefore.

[rivaldo] 19/7/2017 08:55

Not a holder, but on the watchlist. Good news today, but there's no way I'd be buying today with a year end trading update coming in a month's time or so.

The H1 outlook noted that results are entirely dependent on the "normal" H2 seasonality and - particularly - "subject to the timely conversion of new sales for our various software products and services". I note that there haven't been any RNS'd new sales whatsoever this year until today.

Caution is the watchword for me. This is a good, high quality company - but I just hope this news doesn't pull investors in prior to any trading disappointment.

[casano] 19/7/2017 08:22

Appears market hasn't quite obsorbed this RNS yet...Significant contract recurring revenue...sp all time low. Surely this will now wake up the share price

[interceptor2] 19/7/2017 08:12

Surprised that there is no comment about the significant contract win this morning. I have long admired this company but have never held here before, that has been addressed this morning.

Must continue my research on TRCS.

[buffetteer] 06/4/2017 07:39

Joining up the dots !
Software and traffic data firmTracsis has invested up to £1.3m into Vivacity Labs, a provider of smart, hyperlocal data for smart cities and intelligent transport systems, in return for up to a 28.1% equity stake.

The AIM-traded company said Vivacity developed novel machine learning software and sensor technology which is applied to solve a wide range of traffic and transport issues.

These are most specifically for the automatic counting and classification of pedestrian and vehicle flows in a variety of environments.

“We are delighted to have agreed this investment into Vivacity Labs and are excited by the potential of this technology both for our business and the wider traffic and transport market,” said Tracsis chief executive John McArthur.

“The potential of machine learning technology is very significant and the Vivacity offering is highly complementary to our traffic and data services division."

In the past 12 months the business secured a number of client wins and pilot projects with local governments, infrastructure owners and transport providers and in March was successful in winning a significant Smart Cities grant with a value of £1.7 million.

Tracsis said adoption of the Vivacity technology had the potential for it to significantly reduce its existing costs for processing video footage within its traffic and data services division, while also leading to improvements in operational performance such as increased accuracy of traffic counts and the reduction of turnaround times for clients.

As part of the broader investment round for Vivacity, Tracsis agreed to invest up to £1.0m via a tranched equity funding - subject to performance milestones - in return for 23.3% of the enlarged share capital of Vivacity.

In addition, Tracsis was granted a warrant to subscribe for a further 4.8% of the then-enlarged share capital for an additional £0.3m.

A Tracsis executive will join the Vivacity board to help further grow the business and promote their offering to the Tracsis customer base.

The investment round also included Downing Ventures EIS Fund and the London Co-Investment Fund, with Tracsis being the lead investor.

“We are pleased to join forces with Tracsis having worked with them for some time now on joint projects,” said Vivacity chief executive Mark Nicholson.

“The combination of Tracsis' experience and extensive customer list, combined with our technology makes for a great partnership.

“With this investment in place and the support of Tracsis, we look forward to accelerating our penetration into the market.”

[sharesoc] 27/3/2017 22:14

Tracsis CEO John McArthur will be presenting at our Leeds seminar tomorrow, come join us!

[paulypilot] 27/3/2017 19:06

For anyone interested, I interviewed the CEO & CFO of Tracsis today, and published the audio file here:

Disclosure: I did NOT charge a fee for this interview, so it's independent. I do hold a small (tiny actually) long position in the company, bought on the recent dip.

Regards, Paul.

[buffetteer] 16/3/2017 17:00

Were trading on a net of cash PE of 13x -thats too cheap for a growing tech company with 15-20% returns. They could boost profits v easily by amortising development costs like most tech companies on Aim but they dont ,they expense it all. Anyone who thinks its ex-growth is wrong . The delayed contracts have fallen into the second half which can easily happen when selling to the rail industry . They tend to grow organically but in a lumpy way .The Ceo has always said that in presentations I've attended .With £12.5m in the bank I suspect acquisitions won't be far off . good buying app -Ive bought more all the way down .Famous last words !!!

[andrewbaker] 16/3/2017 16:38

They can and need to up the dividend, which they have plenty of cash so to do. Let's see if that actually happens. If so, they are still worth holding.

[apad] 28/2/2017 15:09

“More than at any time in history mankind faces a crossroads.
One path leads to despair and utter hopelessness, the other to total destruction. Let us pray we have the wisdom to choose correctly.”
Woody Allen.

apad

[onjohn] 28/2/2017 15:06

fear for another profit warning

[apad] 28/2/2017 14:53

Musings on TRCS.

Sold some this morning at about 365 (many previous sales above 500). Current profit about 170%.
If I am correct and this cash rich company has gone ex-growth then management will be desperate to have something to crow about for the interims in late March.
Maybe a special dividend or an acquisition. They have made a big thing about not overpaying for acquisitions and have referred to a big deal that couldn't be completed.
Paul Scott has threatened an interview twice, but nothing has come of it so far - the CEO is eager for interviews when he has something to brag about :-)
So, the 27th March interview will be interesting

Maybe we are coming to a time when it is worth increasing, but I'm not brave enough yet.

apad

[apad] 17/2/2017 13:16

Paul Scott

"Just to let you know that I've fixed up my next CEO interview with John McArthur of Tracsis, which is scheduled for the morning of Mon 27 March.

Results should be out on 23 March, so that gives you time to digest the numbers, and send me your questions."

apad

[tomps2] 17/2/2017 11:45

Managed to see a copy of the broker note, and didn't think the year seems as bad as the share price reaction has suggested.

Main points:

Investec (15.2.17) have kept FY forecasts the same, with a target price of 600.

H1 EBITDA £3.5m up 10% yoy, not higher, due to:

1. Franchise work (West Coast, Southern Easter, East Midlands, Wales&Borders) moved from H1 to H2 (DoT pushed back to March from Jan).
2. One software licence sale Jan 16 slipped in to March 17, so recognised H2
3. Traffic and data services undershot by £200k –the OPEX (10% headcount cut) should protect margins H2 onward

So majority of £0.6m should move into H2.

Also says there are “several large wildcard opportunities” not built into forecasts – even though timing uncertain.

FY17 Forecasts:
Rev 17: £34.7m
EBITDA 17: £9M
Normalised PTP: £8m
EPS: 24p

[apad] 17/2/2017 09:33

Confirmation Bias is when you pick on the information that might support your view and ignore all other information.

Yours is a pitch perfect example.

I should have known better than to post on a single company board.

apad

[ottrott] 17/2/2017 09:10

8th January, John McArthur, Chief Executive, disposed of 120,000 ordinary shares of 0.4p each ("Ordinary Shares") in the Company, at an average price of 515.9p per Ordinary Share.

The next line in the RNS

The beneficial interest of Mr McArthur following the transaction is 1,062,783 Ordinary Shares representing 3.9% of the total issued share capital of the Company.

Talk about Confirmation Bias ..... folks

[apad] 17/2/2017 09:03

Be careful about Confirmation Bias folks.
Since my comments below .gov has thrown a spanner into the works of the Framework Agreement.
Management is also under pressure to use the cash.
Doesn't mean there isn't profit to be made by buying on the dip though.
GLA
apad

APAD15 Nov '16 - 16:38 - 697 of 712 1 0 Edit
Results the day after tomorrow. Here are my concerns:

TRCS “Look and Feel”.

8th January, John McArthur, Chief Executive, disposed of 120,000 ordinary shares of 0.4p each ("Ordinary Shares") in the Company, at an average price of 515.9p per Ordinary Share.

10 Mar 2016
IP Group plc (LSE: IPO) (“IP Group” or “the Group” or “the Company”), the developer of intellectual property-based businesses, is pleased to announce that it has realised its entire holding in portfolio company Tracsis plc.
The Group received net cash proceeds of £13.1m from the sale.

Sean Lippell, Non-Executive Director and former corporate law partner, has departed with immediate effect. He has been removed from the website.

Friday 8 April, John Nelson, Non-Executive Director, disposed of 130,000 ordinary shares of 0.4p each ("Ordinary Shares") in the Company, at a price of 500p per Ordinary Share.

19 April 2016Uni Leeds sells 500,000
1,000,000 left.

25 April Leeds Uni disposal less than 4% left.

No large framework order.

US order small, could still take years - what is their driver.

Acquisitions look bitty. Missed a big one, but “it wasn’t good enough for us.”

Doesn’t return cash to shareholders.

Only 8 solid job vacancies.

So, on the whole, looks to be ex-growth to me.

apad

Buffetteer17 Nov '16 - 22:15 - 699 of 712 0 0
Good growth in sales and earnings . The business makes a high return on capital and unlike most tech companies they expense development costs . They deserve a premium rating for their consistency and ,because returns on capital are circa 20% you can expect good growth to come .
Ignore the doom - mangers because quality deserves respect.

[martinthebrave] 17/2/2017 08:36

Just topped up 350p. EV Ratio now below 13x & EPS growth 30%. A Fab little company. Missed the low but quite happy.

[slogsweep] 17/2/2017 08:29

VCT fund topping up someone sees value here. Also BPR qualifying so attractive as IHT mitigation investment if held for 2 years.

[slogsweep] 15/2/2017 08:57

looks like a buy at this price. Big fall on such apparent low volume.

[binarydave] 15/2/2017 08:20

Nothing to get too concerned or excited about right now. Still moving in the right direction, and cash in the bank. Good time for a top up and expect finals after H2 won't look quite as flat.