Taylor Wimpey Share Discussion Threads

[beckers2008] 13/5/2022 10:28

You have widened your projection to 4 years, why not 10, 20, 30, lol.

Here you are you fool with your advise.

ftir1 - 30 Oct 2020 - 10:58:31 - 2286 of 6572
I simply don't understand the rush to buy this stock. Sell, yes most definitely!
TW. will trade well under £1.00 for a long time into the future.
SELL.�;

Within 4 months TW. went to £1.60 and £1.80 less than a year after that.

You are the idiot with Zero Credibility, LOL, JUST LOL!

[ftir1] 13/5/2022 10:18

Shouldn't little people be at school?

Anyone who's bought property relatively recent, within 4 years quite possibly more, will rue the day.

[ftir1] 13/5/2022 09:52

Of course HB's will have "up days", but it won't stop their long decline well into double digits. The party's over and there's a lot of sobering up to come. The next few years is going to be rough. Anyone who's bought property relatively recent will rue the day.

[optomistic] 13/5/2022 08:59

Seems like the builders are having a bit of an uplift this morning.

[craftyale] 13/5/2022 07:07

Happy to receive my dividend this morning, and happier to reinvest at this price. 70k shares and counting, all tax free income. :))

[beckers2008] 12/5/2022 21:55

G,
Oh, forgot to mention 95% of the development village is already sold.
I wonder what else Mr Gove is going to give away to the HB's soon.

[beckers2008] 12/5/2022 21:52

G,

Never been to Spencers Wood just outside Reading in leafy Berkshire and 30 minutes into Paddington.
Lovely area, yep £434k for a two bed semi. You know what they say, location, location, location.

[gaygay3] 12/5/2022 19:10

434k for a two bedroom TW rubbish might be in London certainly not from where I come from

[jugears] 12/5/2022 17:58

sikh will you stop misinterpreting my posts, I said very clearly(perhaps you not understand English very well?)that there was a glut of houses,(should perhaps have said new houses)2 years before the financial crisis, & you reply during a recession? Read again I said before!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! after the financial crisis the average house prices fell from £180k to £160k this did not last very long & now the average price has doubled, take in to account that most people would still have cleared a good profit, also remember that when tw share price hit 3.6p intraday (from memory for about 10 minutes) they were over a billion in debt, not only did they repay this but also made a profit from day one & started reducing there debt from day one,just because the cost of houses may come down(I will believe that when I see it) so will build & labour costs as they always do without fail, they don't need to buy anymore land as they have plenty so can basically run on a shoe string, what is going to happen at worst?they cut or stop the dividend for a few years, not really an issue as they didn't pay one when I bought the shares & I never really bought one, I think that the big problem here is that people think that TW got in to debt due to a recession & that is not true,excluding there inherited debt from Taylor Woodrow they were making a profit all through the financial crisis& as were bdev & psn, A recession doesn't not mean that all companies go in to debt & then go bust, my own business thrived through all of the recessions, the financial crisis bought the biggest expansion of my business in its history, recessions/down turns do not effect everyone, also remember banks are a lot more stringent now when it comes to lending money to business's, they were very slapdash before 2009, if you wanted to borrow 100k they would prefer to give you 200k, how things have changed, bough another 10k at £1.20 today & will do the same again if they fall to £1.10 then £1.00 before making my big purchase. I'm very happy with that.

[roguetraderuk] 12/5/2022 17:24

The 1970s were a more turbulent decade. In the early 70s, the average house price was £4,975 and by the end, it was £19,925. It was during this decade that the gap between average wages and house prices grew wider making homes less affordable.

Throughout the 1970s there were high rates of inflation and to tackle this public sector pay rises were capped. The result was unrest amongst the trade unions, years of strikes and the introduction of a three day week in 1974 to conserve electricity produced by coal-burning stations.

Despite all this, it was in the 1970s that homeowners began to outnumber those who rented. This was due to a lack of available social housing which meant that people had to choose between paying more expensive private rent or buying their own home instead.

[sikhthetech] 12/5/2022 17:20

st,

"No end of houses hit the market in a recession."

Exactly. A basic point which some are clueless on...

Recession, homeowners hit by affordability issues just as courts are catching up after repossessions are legal again.
Simple point missed by the clueless.

inflationary pressure... interest rate rises, energy price rises, fuel price rises, food price rises..


;-)

[roguetraderuk] 12/5/2022 17:11

i havent seen your claims of shorts, but i have seen your claims of house prices to be crashing. you post it 20 times a day. and all year long they have been climbing. with inflation. funny that.

[jugears] 12/5/2022 17:06

Before the last housing market crash there were a glut of house for sale m, the HB's had stock piles,not this time, the world has changed since the financial crisis expect the unexpected, 2 years of booming sales & fixed mortgages, they won5 be selling anytime soon , 2 years before the financial crisis ,carpenters & brickies were struggling to find work, now you would have to wait at least 6 months, most of my friends are not taking on work till next year

[beckers2008] 12/5/2022 16:40

sT,

Second hand home availability is at a 30 year low. Recession, maybe 2 quarters at -1% if you are lucky and that's your lot old chap.

Supply vs demand is getting worse, check out Rigtmove website and search for second hand homes, there's hardy any in my area for less than £250k that includes 2 bed flats.
Type in RG1 postcode and see the light.
Mr Gove has made the second hand market a whole lot worse for would be buyers as prices will rise.

You are an idiot. LOL, JUST LOL.

[sikhthetech] 12/5/2022 16:29

rogue,

How has it been wrong? You clearly haven't been reading and following my posts then!!!

I comment on where the market is going based on data and my research.
I base my opinions on data/research. It's making a prediction and not being sheep.

I took my short positions based on the direction I see the market going which is based on data and research. I don't see HBs surging ahead, do you????
;-)

Feel free to load up and hold for 2 yrs and prove that market is not moving in the direction the bears have predicted.


Clueless whilst the housing market/stock markets crash, recession and affordability hit ...lol

[sunshine today] 12/5/2022 16:26

That’s utter rubbish.

No end of houses hit the market in a recession.

[beckers2008] 12/5/2022 16:23

sT,

Supply and demand old chap, Supply and demand and salaries very healthy.

You are an idiot, LOL, JUST LOL!

[jugears] 12/5/2022 16:22

Due to covid it will take at least 5 years for supply to meet demand, add to that a slowdown & you will be looking at 10- 20 years by which time house prices will have doubled!

[jugears] 12/5/2022 16:22

Due to covid it will take at least 5 years for supply to meet demand, add to that a slowdown & you will be looking at 10- 20 years by which time house prices will have doubled!

[roguetraderuk] 12/5/2022 16:19

sikh, all i know is your opinion has been consistently wrong. house prices have been going up each and every month that you have been saying they will crash. you dont want to consider any other data points but your own, all the while real time data puts you further away from your original position where you began calling a crash.
just prior to covid, we were about to enter a global deflationary recession.
and im not making any assumptions. i copied and pasted what people in the industry are saying is actually happening and the facts. no ifs or maybes. there are too few homes listed for sales, about half of that pre covid. its the same situation with cars. but cars can be brought to mkt faster. you cant build homes that quickly and not at all in some areas. now thanks to gove residents will be able to down vote new developments which will mean even fewer homes built!

[sunshine today] 12/5/2022 16:17

£434,000 for a two bed TW box, was I thought, a criminal offence.

If not, it should be.

Lol

[beckers2008] 12/5/2022 16:11

S,

Do yourself a favour and take a look at property in a lovely Taylor Wimpey development in Spencers Wood, near my home, this area is extremely affluent with a highly skilled workforce and affordability is not an issue, like the UK housing market.
Michael Gove has rewarded the HB's with not confirming the target of 300k homes, TW. et Al are on a win, win.
Also take a look at TW. lending packages to buyers of their new homes in partnership with UK lenders requiring only a 5% deposit.
Oh and the price of a 2 bed semi, £434k. How much! Yeah £434k.
This isn't NZ, AU or US. This is a tiny island with a every increasing population.
Demand is far outstripping supply and its just about to get a lot worse. Thank you Mr Gove.

[sikhthetech] 12/5/2022 15:57

rogue

"sikh, you pick and choose your data points and post them every 5 minutes expecting house prices to crash, yet they have been climbing for every month over the past year."

My opinion here has been consistent. You are making a lot of assumptions because you don't understand what is happening.


You say house prices have been climbing over the past year. Have you noticed there pandemic and did you notice that there was govn support, which finished in Sept?????.

That govn support created highly unusual situations within all markets, whether it be housing, cars, food, savings etc..

Do you think the courts, suspended for a year, have cleared their backlog by 1st Oct 2021???? Do you think they have now??? Do you think the ban on repossessions didn't impact housing availability??

Contrary to what Jugears claims, house prices were already starting to fall just before the pandemic took hold.

NZ, Australia housing markets are already slowing and also look like about to crash. Also Sunshine correctly says so is the US housing market.

House sale volumes tumble 35.2 per cent, prices fall in market turnaround



Australia




Do you think the UK housing market is immune???



sikhthetech - 24 Jan 2022 - 13:16:44 - 5363 of 5550
I think affordability is a major problem.

Mortgage repossessions were legally stopped during the pandemic but court cases have restarted... there were around 30k homeowners in severe mortgage debt. Any interest rate rise on top of tax/council tax/energy price rises would impact affordability...