Raven Prop P Discussion Threads

[kenny] 18/4/2021 12:12

Anyone so convinced that a bout of high inflation was coming, would not be holding or, indeed, advocating that others look at the fixed income security they hold.
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pogue6 Apr '21 - 11:52 - 919 of 981

BOI is around 6.3%, obviously DYOR not a recommendation to buy etc.
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Therefore, what is the motivation for constantly posting about roaring inflation coming and fiat money, when that person is not following the investment strategy they are advocating to others??

On the BOI board, a fixed income security, why is he raising the question below when he constantly proclaims on this board that he knows the answer??
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pogue30 Sep '20 - 09:28 - 541 of 556
anyone got a theory why its falling? Other fixed interest seems steady.
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From these posts, it is possible to state that the motivation for all their posts on this board, clearly is trolling and not an expression of their true opinions.

[pogue] 18/4/2021 09:25

Kenny
Simon Dixon is one of many predicting bad times. As I said dont just listen to the ones you like read all around the fact you only have now heard of him suggests a limited reading circle. He happens to be an original investor in bitcoin and very biased that way, he does have gold as well though. What I like about him as he put on paper his predictions and has been right others have not. There are many views on how unlimited printing of fiat currency will end but none of them have low inflation as the result. Why would it? Fundamentally printing unlimited currency can only produce inflation, once the velocity of money goes up and with many people losing their livelihoods lately I suggest the seeds have been sown for the final part of the inflation feeding circle.
Anyone suggesting the laws of economics are going to be different this time and the current Western monetary system will survive unlimited money printing needs to have a better excuse than it will be different this time as no currency in history has survived debasing, but then again some commentators actually say that is the object of money printing i.e. to crash the current system and bring in new era of a non debt based monetary system, the transition however will be painful for those with fiat currency. Listen to the World Bank's pronouncements and read between the lines they have a plan its clear and its revolutionary and very left wing.

[kenny] 17/4/2021 19:50

A bitcoin trader and investor, Simon Dixon, is the person we should all follow in order to learn about the future for inflation and interest rates.

Further, that is the sole reference we should all follow - let's hope he does not run under a bus, because we will then all have to use our own brains!

On the other hand, I have and continue to undertake lots of research about the likely path of inflation and interest rates and have posted a large number of links to commentary and opinions.

I leave readers to make their own decisions and act accordingly. I know this man is a troll because he holds fixed income - which he talks up - yet has stated that inflation is going to reach a very high level, so sell RAVP.

[my retirement fund] 17/4/2021 14:13

I guess these days you don't need to be a large government of a rich developed country with your own scientist and military research facilities to develop or obtain substance like Novichok or Polonium. Hell, any would be assassin can just go on line and order the stuff from Amazon or ebay these days, right?

[pogue] 17/4/2021 12:05

Kenny keep reading the views from one side dont look behind the curtain, don't think for yourself whatever you do dont read opposite views lol. I gave you a link to a very different view point and you choose to ignore it because its not an economist's view, standard answer to that is ask 100 economists a view on a topic and you will get 100 answers. You should read the book of the guy I gave you a link to, Simon Dixon's Bank to the Future its free now, he actually has predicated all that is currently happened unlike your forecasters. I am not saying he is 100% right but it opens your mind to other different opinions and allows you to see another view other than the official one. I will wait till inflation is above 2% and then you can make up a new story to tell yourself how things were always predicted to be that way by some economist or other.

[kenny] 17/4/2021 11:13

In a post in October 2020, I stated:

“Inflation and in turn interest rates are expected to stay low/negative for many years.”

Since then and on numerous occasions, I have been told by a troll that I got it wrong. I have chosen to ignore this trolling but now it has escalated to stating I need to use my own brain.

I stick by my comment of last October that, “inflation and in turn interest rates are expected to stay low/negative for many years”. Further, it is still possible that the UK will have negative interest rates in future and before the trend moves in the opposite direction.

Using my own brain, I deduce that I should not rely on postings on a BB from anyone who scorns research and can post no basis to back their opinion (I am being kind here and ignoring the link to a YouTube video!). I much prefer to rely on comments from recognised economists such as the Federal Reserve.

In any event, I understand that a person using their brain, may use it to change their mind as facts change, albeit, I have not changed my mind in this instance. I believe that low interest rates and low inflation may persist for a decade or longer but there will come a point where the evidence will persuade me otherwise.

I wished to correct the record but will not make any further comment because I have learnt that responding to a troll is encouragement to them to persist, because they wish to have the person engage with them.

I will end with a link to an expert panel predicting that inflation will stay low for the next two years:

United Kingdom - Inflation


"FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect inflation to average 1.5% in 2021, unchanged from last month’s forecast, and 1.9% in 2022."

[pogue] 17/4/2021 10:14

Kenny
you have a very odd habit of believing everything some people write. You were feverishly posting articles previously that showed no inflation on the horizon, now 2% is what everyone you read says so that is what you believe. Meanwhile I was pointing out here will be inflation and look who was right. I predict it will rise more as well and these articles you are posting now will also be proven wrong. You need to use your own brain and read all sides of the argument and try and see the truth which lies between the lines instead of listening to others with their own agendas'.

[deadly] 17/4/2021 10:07

That's high then compared to the last 10 years.

[kenny] 16/4/2021 22:57

Markets addicted to inflationary monetary policy have central banks over a barrel, says ADRIAN LOWERY: So savers face negative real interest rates for years to come



The punchline of the article;

"Inflation at 2 per cent and a bank rate at 1 per cent: that’s the new new normal."

[igbertsponk] 16/4/2021 15:42

Nice slow progress.

[gary1966] 16/4/2021 12:53

In a normal world yes and in a fair world probably 160p and would still discount a lot for the Russia connection.

[stemis] 16/4/2021 12:42

Surely should go back to 130-140p

[cc2014] 16/4/2021 11:57

Nudging up again. Hurrah.

[cassini] 15/4/2021 13:32

tradertrev,

I definitely lean towards the binary side of things myself ;0)

[montyhedge] 15/4/2021 12:58

Some nice buys coming in.

[tradertrev] 15/4/2021 08:15

Cassini - does this make RAV and RAVP a binary investment??

[zangdook] 15/4/2021 07:21

Russia will be around long after the rest because global warming will turn their vast territory from ice to fertile farmland, while others sink or burn. (I suppose the US may come to some "accommodation" with Canada...)
I'm not at all sure what is the truth behind all the poisoning stories. There are so many lies told, and so many allegations which just don't add up. Who knows?

[stun12] 14/4/2021 18:13

Well said, Cassini.

[banj] 14/4/2021 18:03

MRF - you ok hun?

[cwa1] 14/4/2021 17:14

Perhaps time you got off the fence and told us what you really think MRF?

[my retirement fund] 14/4/2021 08:39

So its ok to use the most toxic illegal military grade chemical poisons on earth to hunt down and murder your critics in other countries in the most reckless and dangerous manner whilst saying you'd quite like better relations. Really? I mean REALLY !!!