Oxus Gold Share Discussion Threads

[marmar80] 02/9/2015 09:16

Uncitral is back to work after summer break imo. Hope they will release the decision soon.

[easwarareddy] 01/9/2015 22:27

The best thing about oxus is that with other shares there is a bit of ramping and convincing others to buy too to try n help the share price With this share as its more of a bet on oxus winning and us securing big pay out we tend not to see the derampers etc. Just a case of waiting. .. although seems a long time.

[lithological heterogeneities] 01/9/2015 18:17

can only be a matter of days/weeks now surely.

although we have all been saying that since the end of 2014.

[dave444] 01/9/2015 18:08

Precisely which the accrued interest makes up over a third of the 100m conversion

[lithological heterogeneities] 01/9/2015 17:51

dave444

5.2m CLN's.
3.2m interest.

:0)

[highly geared] 01/9/2015 17:41

Is John Chilcott heading up the arbitration panel....?

[lithological heterogeneities] 01/9/2015 17:18

Yes,5.2m in May.

[dave444] 01/9/2015 17:08

Some of them have already been converted so no longer 100k to convert

[lithological heterogeneities] 01/9/2015 16:57

Cant be much longer now.

[lithological heterogeneities] 01/9/2015 16:38

The above was accurate at the time as it including the (then) correct shares in issue, max. dilution for the CLN's and the GBP/USD exchange rate.

It gave the possible "GROSS" outcomes before expenses such as the Calunius cut etc.

It was then up to each individual to guess what they thought the expenses would be and deduct them from a pretty accurate "GROSS" baseline figure.

Of course, there are more shares in issue right now and the exchange rate has changed a little but its not worth updating as these new values only have a very small impact on the values shown above. For example, the new shares only represent a difference of 4.95% difference wich, at 50p only represents a new figure of 47.5p instead.

I could not care less whether we get 50p or 47.5p "GROSS" award :0)

[lithological heterogeneities] 01/9/2015 16:28

The CLN's were included in this post:

7bore
OXS valuations ......................10.02.15
Shares in Issue......................547,647,564
Convertible Loan Notes (maximum).....100,881,700
Total potential shares in issue......648,529,264
Exchange Rate........................1 GBP = 1.52355 USD

31.08.2011.....OXS RNS-"no less than US$400 million"
14.11.2012.....OXS RNS-INDEPENDENT valuation of $489.3m to $1.25 billion
23.05.2014.....Simon Cawkwell thinks OXS could win "atleast £200m".

GROSS FIGS (before expenses such as Calunius cut etc):

$0m............(£0m)...........Yes, OXS can still lose !
$50m...........(£32.82m).......05p per share
$100m..........(£65.65m).......10p per share
$200m..........(£131.30m)......20p per share
$300m..........(£196.95m)......30p per share
$400m..........(£262.67m)......40p per share
$489.3m........(£321.22m)......50p per share
$1250m.........(£820.451m).....127p per share

31.08.2011

"The arbitration requests that damages be awarded in favour of the Company in an amount to be proven and quantified in the proceedings and currently estimated as no less than US$400 million."

14.11.12

INDEPENDENT valuation of $489.3m to $1.25 billion

23.05.14
hxxp://www.shareprophets.com/views/5637/exclusive-evil-knievil-piles-into-oxus-gold-reckons-an-arbitration-win-soon
Simon Cawkwell,aka Evil Knievil, believes "Oxus, if successful stands to win at least two hundred million pounds"

[dr darkstar] 01/9/2015 13:53

17 days of this consolidation .. time for a change I reckon

[pennyfalls] 01/9/2015 13:22

Stig voting his own charts up again.

You can never take the Bury out of the boy. Stig-matised for life.

[dr darkstar] 01/9/2015 12:25

10 and 20dmas have both crossed the 50dma, and in a couple of days we should see the 200dma crossed also ... shaping up nicely then

[marmar80] 01/9/2015 12:00

per Advfn all 6 trades on isdx are buys

[maytrees] 01/9/2015 10:53

Good morning

According to MAMs trade guesswork, my top up of 15720 OXS shares is the only LSE buy today.

Is everyone else expecting bad news - lol!

[99jeremiah] 01/9/2015 09:23

We only had around 300m shares back in 2007/8...





I'll take 30p any day though! :-)

[dr darkstar] 01/9/2015 08:31

16p is clearly an early target based on prior price action and also on a Fibonacci projection that I have at 15p if we get an extended 5 wave up after the recent action ( where I speculate we have started Wave 3 after the early August bounce off 2.5p)).

60p was also strong resistance back in 2007/8

If you assume the risk is 3p ( ie share price drops to 0 on failure) the reward risk here is 4 to 1 or 19 to 1 if 16p or 60p are hit. RR ratios like that are uncommon and make this a simple RR play for any serious trader

[giant steps] 01/9/2015 08:14

The Stig, that's a very lazy chart in #23534, from 8 JAN 2015

We now have 574m shares in issue (31/07/2015)


Plus one should not ignore the CLN effect, possible conversion of loan and interest
and it goes without saying that Calunius will take a substantial chunk from the
final payout.

On this basis your quantum/price table is very misleading imo.

[the stigologist] 01/9/2015 07:54

yes looks like very good news coming here, possibly this month given the way the chart is shaping up