Iqe Share Discussion Threads

[zedder] 15/3/2017 16:55

The only one-liner that applies at the moment is 'let the trend be your friend'!

[big7ime] 15/3/2017 16:43

Yump yes haha you do read the same comments over and over don't you
Another ones "don't let the mms get hold of your shares"
Actually I may have used that one myself in the past
One learns with age

[someuwin] 15/3/2017 16:11

Good volume today.

[yump] 15/3/2017 14:45

Big7time

Well that gets you out of the 'you sold therefore you are a shorter' comments ;-)
Just leaving:
'getting rid of weak holders before the big rise'
'sell now and regret for the rest of your life'
'look what happened to ASOS'
'Google will probably buy it'

etc. etc. zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

[sheep_herder] 15/3/2017 12:14

There seems to be exponentially more tosh on this board...

[horneblower] 15/3/2017 11:40

Humans may think linearly but they act exponentially. So, stock movements are exponential and should be drawn on log charts.

When you buy a stock at 20p and it goes up 10p you have made a gain of 50%.

When you buy a stock at 200p and it goes up 10p you have made a gain of 5%.

So a 10p rise must be seen relative to where it is on the scale.

A log scale converts exponenential rises to linear so that a 50% rise always looks the same whatever the starting price.

[someuwin] 15/3/2017 11:40

can't be many more nervous holders left to sell.

Therefore should keep on rising strongly.

[big7ime] 15/3/2017 11:30

Human behaviour, a big rise gets attention, lots clamber to get a piece, then the silly brigade, then the reality, then the pain. Then normality, bit like a storm
Charts use past behaviour to predict future.
I was a chartist hater until more recently have used it as another tool and it's been very successful

If as I predict, the result is significantly better than the majority expect then we could see continuation of this bull phase but yrs of experience and latterly a good understanding of human behaviour and therefore charts give me reason to be cautious

So many on these threads say they are here for the long term without trading which if true they wouldn't be on these threads at all. Anyone here is interested in maximising their profit and to do so in this volatile world means to trade. Especially small cap

My next tgt is therefore 38 and wouldn't be surprised to see it lower and that is why I sold half, intention to get back in all things being equal fundamentally and if it doesn't pan out that way then ok. iqe were in the 6 or 7 hundreds if my memory serves me correctly and I have also seen it at 4p since. The co has gone through so many changes it must have been a total nightmare holding through thick and thin. But I don't see iqe being valued in billions hence my caution.

Before I get accused of being a dreaded shorter, I have not looked into how you go about it, let alone have the nerve to try it. I will leave that to others but believe in this day of speed and availability of info and accessibility to such trading it only accentuates the volatility so there are more opportunities to profit, less to hold for long term.

[mirabeau] 15/3/2017 11:21

Fingers spot on, AGAIN...the guy's got the gift of prescience,

[sailastra] 15/3/2017 11:06

That stuff is a month old.....The break up happened five days after that data...

[zedder] 15/3/2017 10:58

Fingers xxd is a good chartist. This is the link to his last look at IQE:



From that you see he has identified several what appear to be linear rates of change in the share price. The latest one being at a better gradient (ie rate) than the previous 2. It would appear the share price is still tracking as per his latest gradient.

[sailastra] 15/3/2017 10:51

The straight line graph started in early August last year, with a clear break up on Feb 17th this year...So yes it is now looking exponential...It is merely a function of a percentage move. As the share price increases so a given percentage move has a greater effect.. And thus the chart starts to bend upwards.. Nothing to do with hockey stick shapes...
That is not to say that it won't collapse after the figures, charts merely record past movement and can be a useful tool and guide to the future but the numbers are the driver not the chart..

[tomyumgoong] 15/3/2017 10:44

There seems to be a lot of speculation by the chart shamans this morning as to whether this is a linear or an exponential chart pattern! Not being a chartist, I would like to ask 'what is the significance of either of these patterns'? It would seem the exponential pattern can rise and fall quicker than a brides nightie, but what about the linear? Any Chartists willing to share their alchemy?

[maxwellsdemon] 15/3/2017 10:39

hammered,

Drew Nelson's background was originally in photonics. The RF side presumably took off and dominated primarily due to the demand for mobile communications.


"Dr Drew Nelson has over 30 years experience in the semiconductor industry in a variety of research and managerial positions. Following a PhD in Semiconductor Physics, he joined BT Research Laboratories in 1981, leading the group responsible for the development of advanced optoelectronic devices for optical fibre communications. He subsequently managed the technology transfer from BT to Agilent for mass production. He co-founded EPI in 1988 (which became IQE...

[yump] 15/3/2017 10:37

So you don't like Scousers ;-)

[hammerd2] 15/3/2017 10:24

When IMG went on their acquisition rampage the hope was that the GPU business would support the emerging pillars until they eventually started contributing- even to surpass GPU revenues over time. It never happened, spectacularly so.

The IQE attempt seems to be working much better so far with photonics generating more and more revenue on the back of the 'core' wireless revenue with more streams coming online soon. All I'm after is confirmation it's still on track to keep me happy.

Apologies to anyone if my bugbear of disliking the misuse of mathematical terms has offended BTW. If it's any comfort I don't like it when a person's voice goes up at the end of every sentence either. Or when they say 'can I get a cup of coffee ?'

[fullbright] 15/3/2017 10:01

We need good results, which I think we will get, then a 9 month wind of takover rumour, to take us through to the winter olympics, where 5g will be talk of the town. This can carry the share price to four quid at these rates - enjoy the high days :)

[hammerd2] 15/3/2017 09:56

aimingupward - an almost perfectly straight line can be drawn through the share price plot. It's hard to imagine a line more straight than straight ! Hence the comment. About it being a really, really straight line. Not a bendy one.

[hammerd2] 15/3/2017 09:53

No advice taken. I'm well aware that straight line increases don't last forever and I'm more than capable of making my own decisions on that front. You have to be pretty jaded not to want to enjoy the good times when they come, especially after as long as most of us have waited with IQE.

But thanks anyway.

[toptrump1] 15/3/2017 09:47

Hammerd2 you haven't been around long otherwise you'd know that this chart pattern, call it what you like, doesn't last long
It will falter, the trigger prob the results, The shorters will arrive and bosh
Many just trade chart patterns which makes it self prophecy
Dyr on exponential, pendulum, supavova, Parabolic etc many names for it and decide at what point we are
Advice, don't commit too much on the upside as the big money is on the short side.

[aimingupward2] 15/3/2017 09:33

Irrespective of anything else it's daft, hammerd2, to say that in 20 years of investing you have never seen a more straight line. Where have you been?

[blueflame] 15/3/2017 09:24

Whatever type of line it is it looks bloody fantastic to me!

[yump] 15/3/2017 09:17

Is 'exponential' an alternative truth for 'linear' then ?
Its accelerated a bit from around 40p I guess.

Try sticking it on a log graph, which then shows you the proportional % increases, rather than the absolute.

Then we can have a debate about whether exponential means increasing % increases or just an increasing share price

Later buyers need a properly exponential chart just to get the same returns as earlier buyers.