Iofina Share Discussion Threads

[ramsey11] 16/2/2024 18:36

CorrectPatience is wearing thin

[jpegman] 16/2/2024 16:47

"It doesn't matter where you are coming from. All that matters is where you are going" To that end -

P/E 6.65
P/B 1.50
P/S 1.30
EV/EBITDA 4.70
Peer P/E 17.20
Industry P/E 13.00
Fair P/E 11.90
Fair Value (Share Price) £0.45
Earnings Growth Rate (5-Yr. Tr.) 66.90%
EPS Growth Rate (5-Yr. Tr.) 69.30%
Industry Earnings Outpeprformance (1 Yr. Tr.) 43.20%
Increasing Net Profit Margins? Yes
Industry Earnings Growth (5-Yr. Tr.) 4.30%
Revenue Growth Rate (5-Yr. Tr.) 13.80%
ROE 22.80%
Net Margin 20.10%
Stable Cash from Ops Growth? Yes
Cash from Ops (£M) £9.49
Industry ROE 9.10%
ROA 16.80%
Industry ROA 7.10%
ROCE (Last Year) 25.30%
ROCE (3 years ago) 17.10%
Debt/Equity (D/E) Ratio 14.60%
Total Debt £4,780,000.00
Interest Coverage Ratio 116.5
Cash (£M) £4.98
Short Term Assets (£M) £23.25
Short Term Liabilities (£M) £8.37
Long Term Assets (£M) £21.74
Long Term Liabilities (£M) £3.85
Accellerating D/E Trajectory? Yes
Dividend Yield 0.00%
Div. Payout Ratio 0.00%
Industry Avg. Yield 2.90%
Shares Outstanding 192,237,623.76
Book Value (£M) £32.77
Percentage Marketable 67.51%
Earnings Yield Above Risk-Free Rate 10.04%
Price Margin of Safety 78.88%
PE Margin of Safety 78.88%
Price to Free Cash Flow 5.11
EBITDA (£M) £10.33
Debt-Adjusted ROE 19.47%
Industry Earnings Outperformance (5Yr. Trailing) 62.60%
Gearing Bonus 2.67%
ROE Outperformance: 13.70%
Buyback indicator 3.59%
ROA Outperformance 9.70%
ROCE Accelleration (ROCE - ROCE 3 Years ago) 8.20%
Quick Ratio (Cash to Short term L) 0.59
Current Ratio (Short term A/L) 2.78
Long Term A/L 5.65
Excess Dividend -2.90%
Proven upside from 12-Month High: +50.5%

I estimate the following:

Growth Multiplier 12.29%
Prior CAGR 16.01%
Value Score (MOS) 78.88%
Earnings Accelleration 9.86
Risk Score 3
Implied PEG 0.37
Risk-Adjusted Fair Value Estimate £0.44
Price at 1x PEG £0.68
%MOS Currently Offered 74%

Aside from some evidence of deceleration, These are highly attractive financials, just needs to be confirmed with a real-world business case. Currently, that is less obvious; I note that 1) Iofina has a unique competitive stance thanks to its vertical integration, and 2)being UK listed, investors benefit from the US business landscape without having to pay the US equities premium.

[beeezzz] 16/2/2024 16:17

My advice is look at the 20 year chart you'll see share price has very much stood still, other than the sharks fin water court case debacle....

Its like watching paint dry, nothing ever happens...Oh directors been on a nice little earner..

[jpegman] 16/2/2024 14:49

Quick question about Iofina for any followers out there. How does the business compound value? It has an appealing NAV trajectory due to paying down debts etc., but ultimately each plant it commissions must depreciate quite heavily. So if the business has to spend the majority of proceeds on commissioning new brine extraction/conversion ops, and also has to write these down long term, what is the big upside for shareholders?

[dreamtwister] 16/2/2024 11:07

keep the faith...demand outstrips supply.

the eoy interims imho will on a positive vibe.



iofina has come along way since the date of the article above.

[rambo1122] 16/2/2024 08:32

That's probably it for the day

[pjl4] 16/2/2024 08:13

errrr - none!

[beercapafn] 15/2/2024 17:36

What is the chance of a Valentine's gift RNS in the morning?

[beercapafn] 14/2/2024 08:05

And I thought it was because someone was selling. !

[beeezzz] 13/2/2024 20:44

SP gently settles back to its normal resting place, exertion of rise has taken the wind out of IOF....

[woodpeckers] 12/2/2024 15:43

For those interested in the perovskite solar panels, this might also be worth reading...good little video if you have 4 mins spare...

[beercapafn] 12/2/2024 13:43

Any thoughts on the OIL Shale Big Deal today. ?

[luckymouse] 08/2/2024 16:14

And a cryochamber

[trickydicky1] 08/2/2024 07:23

MIBs or Perovskite, Chile closures or Japanese jolts. Wonder what GenAI does for materials discovery and GenZ for water usage rights. Japan very focused on becoming self sufficient in clean energy.

Don’t mind which.

Steady hand on the growth tiller in the interim.

Bit like a bouillabaisse … takes time and love.

[luckymouse] 08/2/2024 03:03

That'll run up one day - but jeez - needs the patience of a saint in cryostasis lol

And that Becker guy, he's waay too comfy pootling along with his chemistry set & slow mo pension plan
Needs a business partner who doesn't give a sh*t about all that & is a business killer
Gone nowhere in a decade - needs a proper diversification plan into high growth high demand areas & a nasdaq listing

When it eventually does run, ironically it likely won't be anything to do with the co, it'll be a major crisis or breakthrough where the world just happens to need a lot of this stuff


free stock charts from uk.advfn.com

[dreamtwister] 07/2/2024 18:35

just remind me of the competion ?

[lostsole] 06/2/2024 15:30

New LinkedIn post for IOF:https://www.linkedin.com/posts/iofina-plc_iofina-iodine-legacyproduct-activity-7159192672031645696-N3X_?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_ios

[chillpill] 04/2/2024 08:21

Daytime temps in Oklahoma 10c above seasonal temperature atm.

13th-16th Jan they had exceptionally cold weather when oil and gas production would have been minimal.

Generally weather positive for new plant build- weather milder than normal.

[chillpill] 03/2/2024 03:26

Fastmarkets indicating price back in the low 60’s as is anticipated.

[trickydicky1] 02/2/2024 17:57

The broker model is a thing of beauty.

Like trying to measure a blue whale with an electron microscope.

[trickydicky1] 02/2/2024 17:56

Could be anything from $9-18m depending on how much they have to pay for their chemicals.

And how much they get for their crystal (ROTFLOL).

I wonder whether they look at the accounts on the 29th December and decide how much to sell to keep the ebitda line moving upwards in a nice line. Makes the Investor Presentations far easier.

And there's always the hemp ...

[owenga] 02/2/2024 17:25

Maybe traders buying ahead of a year end trading update. We got one last year around this time. Would be nice to get an idea of 2023 ebidta instead of having to wait until May. I think we are all expecting at least usd15m.

[naphar] 02/2/2024 13:49

Well beer I don’t know if there is something rumbling in the jungle but I do wonder if there is a buy order being filled and not reported yet….

Either way, nice to see the entire the past week or so and a higher high since the end of November drop… roll on 35p plus again