Avanti Communications Share Discussion Threads

[buywell2] 31/5/2012 10:05

Has anyone noticed that the majority of BUY orders are going through at UNDER £100

Now ask yourself why

Latest trades

Time Price Volume Block Price Bid Ask B/S Type
9:44:44 314.5p 27 £85 306.25p 314.5p BUY AT
9:39:39 314.5p 26 £82 306.25p 314.5p BUY AT
9:35:17 314.5p 1,271 £3,997 306.25p 314.5p BUY O
9:34:34 314.5p 26 £82 306.25p 314.5p BUY AT
9:33:37 313.47p 265 £831 306.25p 314.5p BUY O
9:32:15 307.98p 979 £3,015 306.25p 314.5p SELL O
9:31:38 307.98p 700 £2,156 306.25p 314.5p SELL O
9:29:39 314.5p 25 £79 306.25p 314.5p BUY AT
9:27:40 314.5p 247 £777 306.25p 314.5p BUY AT
9:24:39 314.5p 26 £82 305.75p 314.5p BUY AT
9:20:23 313.19p 500 £1,566 305.75p 314.5p BUY O
9:15:46 312.25p 26 £81 305.25p 314.75p BUY AT
9:15:46 312.25p 623 £1,945 305.25p 314.75p BUY AT
9:15:46 312.25p 1,166 £3,641 305.25p 314.75p BUY AT
9:15:46 312.25p 979 £3,057 312.25p 314.75p SELL AT
9:15:46 312.25p 440 £1,374 312.25p 312.25p ? AT
9:14:55 304.75p 130 £396 304.75p 311.75p SELL AT
9:14:39 311.75p 26 £81 304.75p 311.75p BUY AT
9:09:39 311.75p 26 £81 304.75p 311.75p BUY AT
9:09:00 312p 168 £524 304.75p 312p BUY AT
9:09:00 312p 77 £240 304.75p 312p BUY AT
9:04:44 312p 310 £967 304.75p 312p BUY AT
8:59:34 312p 24 £75 304.75p 312p BUY AT
8:59:15 306.27p 2,000 £6,125 304.75p 312p SELL O
8:55:34 312p 5 £16 301.25p 312p BUY AT

[new tech] 31/5/2012 09:45

AVN:

- Hylas 1 launched in November 2010 and on track for revenues of £50m pa around end 2013.
- Hylas 2 launch window begins next month, is fully funded and has three times the bandwidth capacity of HYLAS 1.
- Hylas 3 is fully funded and has up to 4GHz of Ka band capacity.

Orders are growing rapidly. At 31/12/2011 the Pipeline of potential sales stood at GBP529m (excluding GBP170m options on HYLAS 2).

Analysts Daniel Stewart have a figure of 2052p on AVN.

[willessa] 31/5/2012 09:24

Once Hylas 2 goes up this becomes a cash machine. With Hylas 3 now paid for, I expect Hylas 4 to be announced sometime between Hylas 2 and Hylas 3 launches and will from now on be funded by cash flow or debt (no dilution). With each additional satallite adding over £6 of long term cash flow this is offering amazing value.

[johncsimpson] 31/5/2012 09:20

AVN seems to be in a 'flat trading channel' as I alluded to in post 44 on 22nd May. The negative part of the histogram has developed since 17th May (though only visible on the graph from the 18th) and as I suggested could (and has) moved sideways. No evidence yet of a move back towards positivity.

My instinct is that having failed to make good the upward move (which in truth is insignificant in the scheme of things) visible on the pennant chart circa 22nd, there is now a likelihood that further drifting will take place and not until the end of the coming month is it likely that AVN will go into 'forward mode'. (Here I'm assuming the launch will be put back because of the Echostar17 issue though I'm surprised there hasn't been an announcement re this. Perhaps they don't know exactly how long it will take to rectify; though perhaps also, there will be no delay to AVN).

Re the pennant - things have now moved on and I shall remove this overlay as I feel the flat channel on the other graph is more significant. The worrying area (short term) is still a sustained drop below 300ish which could lead to a revisit of the 280 area.

Nearly all buyers first hour this morning but it's very small volume so no real momentum one way or the other.

All IMO and all charts / graphs are for interest only.

[buffaloman] 31/5/2012 08:53

Nearly all trades this morning are buys 10p above the bid price. The mms are trying to hold this down for some reason. Must be going to pop very very soon!

[yorgi] 31/5/2012 07:09

I agree Backmarker, there are many companies suffering in the present market but as long as they continue to do as they are in time the value with come through in the share price

[backmarker] 31/5/2012 06:29

so long as the share price moves sideways between 300-310 then eventually we should get a rise.

unfortunately the chart is now looking a bit weak.

on fundamentals this share looks as cheap as chips. unfortunately about 99% of the market seems to be in the same boat.

if AVN continue to deliver as per plan and forecast then value will have to be recognised eventually, if only through dividends or a take-over. but as we are learning this might take longer than we all hope. so a good one for the SIPP.

[johncsimpson] 30/5/2012 23:18

Still alive and kicking thank you ct . . .

Only back home in the last hour or so and these are the current screen shots for the charts I have been uploading. I'll try and add some comment in the morning.

[yorgi] 30/5/2012 17:59

I agree John, started the week looking promising and again this morning I thought we were going to get away but sadly not. It will happen I feel sure and it will sudden when it does no doubt.

[2350220] 30/5/2012 17:51

Unbelievable.
Just got a chance to check out the board.
I was hoping for a blue finish, at the very least.
No sign of pre-launch excitement by the looks of things.

John

[yorgi] 30/5/2012 16:51

Hmmm yes oh dear :-(

[backmarker] 30/5/2012 16:40

oh dear. back to just under 300.

[cancun tango] 30/5/2012 10:20

johncsimpson

If you haven't been banged up, could you let me know how your chart is looking since the recovery from Friday's low.

[yorgi] 30/5/2012 08:56

Quite so but not to loudly V :-)

[yorgi] 30/5/2012 08:23

A good start to the day Backmarker :-)

[backmarker] 30/5/2012 08:05

the chart looking a little better..... here's hoping, as always

[backmarker] 29/5/2012 09:26

and it has fallen back a little, even as I wrote.

[backmarker] 29/5/2012 09:25

re, charts.

with these pennant, wedge, and triangle formations, as I understand it the first movement out of the formation can sometimes be false, with the breakout reversing and actually ending up going in the opposite direction.

descending triangle formations are more frequently followed by a drop. but I think as this one has occurred after an apparent change in trend to UP the chances of a down resolution are much reduced.

because of general market conditions as well as the current "cycle point" of some of the indicators I would not be surprised if we get more sideways movement for a while rather than a definite up or down straightaway.

todays rise is encouraging if it can hold. we will see if it is confirmed. during the past week or so we have tended to have afternoon weakness.

[yorgi] 29/5/2012 09:18

I'm glad it does for you Backmarker......:-) I'll just wait and see....but one thing we know we are very close now :-)

[backmarker] 29/5/2012 09:16

colva,

thx. that clears that up..... a little.

[colva] 29/5/2012 09:00

A bit of info on the Echostar17 delay and its co passenger.

[backmarker] 29/5/2012 08:53

last of the big spenders -
so far today we have 1 single trade in AVN: for 72 shares, which is all of £225 (before commission and stamp duty if he's actually liable for these !)

maybe the reason it's so quiet is because of all those loyal traders who have decided to combine this week with next and bunk off for a fortnight abroad rather than face the prospect of a Jubilee street party.

[yorgi] 29/5/2012 08:52

I don't know Backmarker as I commented I'm taking AVN at their RNS and comment at the Mi show that they had a date of a window from the 30th June which will pretty surely run into July. I would expect some further detail by way of RNS fairly soon.

I do think AVN could put a bit more info on their website.