Arian Silver Share Discussion Threads

[charles clore] 16/5/2015 16:55

BIKWIK - a very good post.

[sir andrew ffoulkes] 16/5/2015 14:22

One is up for London bikwik, should our investment in AGQ come good. Shall we say £3 share price and we book the hotels.

[bikwik] 16/5/2015 14:20

I'd rather not personally.

[daniel levi bmd] 16/5/2015 14:11

FYI



Dan
x

Feel free repost the link all over the internet.

#freespeech

[bikwik] 16/5/2015 13:02

Well look KD, I appreciate your reply. I can see why you are sceptical, I have taken a look at your last 20 or so posts and see where you are coming from.

However, all I can say is that on the current outlook those production forecasts seemed logical enough to me. Of course, maybe you're right that they should have been doing 1200 by now. Clearly that possibility has been pushed back, so the current forecast is what it is, though as I said it seems logical and reasonable and should be doable (that is the correct spelling btw---checked it out on the net!).

Also, I am not an expert on the fundamentals of this business, though I would say that Jim came across reasonably well at the meeting, despite the fact that he is not top of the class at presenting, and clearly, given the feedback I've had from several other people, not always 100% accurate with his numbers.

My impression is that he knows his mining better than most and is genuine in his resolve to grow Arian. I feel that the various sceptism from all
quarters has been factored into the share price.

On Friday we saw some reasonable buying and the right shoulder of the inverse head and shoulders base pattern has now been formed. I think someone else had put a chart up recently showing that pattern but was disappointed when it failed to complete, particularly when Silver was strong.

However, I did think at the time that maybe it needed some additional near term weakness, taking the bottom of the right hand shoulder back to that of the October low and the bottom of the left hand shoulder.

Now it has scope to have a crack at the resistance in the 33p to 33.5p area. This is key I would say and the upper level (mid-price) needs to be overcome to decisively turn the price onto a rising trend.

As far as I can see the biggest reason it is beneath these key levels is the scepticism from some quarters. Some of those sceptics are holders, so it is clearly not in their interest to keep banging on about negative aspects. If the price was North of 35p-40p then would there be so many sceptics I wonder.

Arian is now on a rising path as far as production is concerned, its got a piddlingly small market cap, the very prospect of a substantial uplift in reserves and the geared effect benefit of a rising silver price. You have all seen my Technical Analysis of the Silver price. Recent Silver articles, which some of you have kindly posted, bear my analysis out. I would just say that I have a history of being early in my forecasts for a change in trend. In other words I am ahead of the crowd. I am not trying to blow my own trumpet, it might seem that way, but my psychological make up makes me that way.

What I am not so good at is holding onto a stock after the trend has definitely turned up. I get bored, because I have spent so much time and effort identifying that a trend is due to reverse that I sort of feel that my work has been done and I am looking for the next opportunity. How many of you would admit to your weaknesses?

However, I will do my best to hang on to my largest holding AGQ and ride the upcoming trend. The odd word of encouragement will help as well. If a lot of us make a small fortune (or large for the odd one or two) on this stock I suggest we meet up, London would be good, and we celebrate in style!

[kd54] 16/5/2015 07:45

WStirrup
15 May'15 - 23:45 - 40360 of 40361


"Just can spell them correctly when you do."

Thank you for your coherent feedback. LOL, idiot.

[sir andrew ffoulkes] 16/5/2015 07:23

investors.co.uk/register/event_details/274

[wstirrup] 15/5/2015 23:45

KD54 15 May'15 - 11:25 - 40347 of 40359 1 0

BIKWIK,

I'm baffled by your post - 40330 of 40346

You stated: "In terms of by the end of this year we are looking at a throughput of 750-1000 tonnes per day of ore."

Then later state: "AS far as I can see all is going according to plan"

I am no longer stunned by the incompetence levels exhibited by JW but that is not according to plan at all. We should currently be touching upon 1200 per day NOW, not 750-1000 by end of year.

I have lost count of the number of missed deadlines by JW. I can real them all of, but it will just annoy me.

KD... Apparently you can REEL then all OFF...

Just can't spell them correctly when you do.

And SEAGREEN... I suggest, you might one day see $10.00/£7.00

Think silver is going to $150? - Think again...

I bought some silver last week - SHOWER-GEL - made by the company behind NIVEA -

When you add in the worldwide number of companies with silver in their product(s), when the shortages start, they'll all be trying to stock up... and those with the deepest pockets, will stock-pile it to the roof. I saw it happen in the 70s in the company I worked for as they bought extra as prices rose, and silver is now in EVERYTHING ELECTRONIC - Cars, Stereo Systems, I-pods, I-Pads, Tablets, Phones, Cameras, Glassware, Chemicals as a catalyst, biological germicides, fungicides, viruscides, plasters, clothes, shower-gel, colloidal, jewelry, Solar-cells, and China, India, California, And the Middle-east (Saudi-Arabia in particular) are installing Solar Cells, with lots of silver, oh yes, and each Pershing-2 Cruise missiles reputedly has 15Kg of it...

Anywhooo... BMW and VW/Audi,et-al, have been stock-piling it under the Swiss Alps for a few years in granular form (according to Byron King)...

And the pawn-shops/pop-up gold and silver buyers are back in force I see...

Many years ago, I predicted $500/silver, and I've seen nothing to change my viewpoint - In fact others have predicted twice that... But I'm an optimist, not mad. ;¬)


W.

[charles clore] 15/5/2015 20:33

Chas ru going?

[seagreen] 15/5/2015 18:01

The only reason it went to 90p was cos bleeding pinocchio thought he was going to get taken out by a suitor and let wind of it get out a bit like dear old Melissa round at Dwyka/Nyoto...they weren't and the price collapsed and left them looking red faced

Move on a few years and they go their costs and finance in order so you might well see far more than 90p if you can be a little bit patient

You can even go and see them at Proactive investors on Thursday and make your own opinion up IB2

[sir andrew ffoulkes] 15/5/2015 17:28

More bullish sentiment on Silver:

[sir andrew ffoulkes] 15/5/2015 16:41

Good to end on a high, hopefully many more investors will look at some of the great independent analysis that's being produced about AGQ at the moment and start to react to it.

[irnbru2] 15/5/2015 16:02

Yea, they always have the scams in the Fat Scammmming Prophets reports.

Confirmed.

[sir andrew ffoulkes] 15/5/2015 14:47

I now have a copy of the latest Fat Prophets report, if you'd like a copy I'm at [e-mail].

[soulsauce] 15/5/2015 13:00

Some decent buying today (relatively speaking) and a nice bounce ;-)

[irnbru2] 15/5/2015 12:03

KD54,

Well said.
This should in full production by now.....and it is not.


CC, Why no production news, what is wrong.

[sir andrew ffoulkes] 15/5/2015 12:02

One was given to understand that from start of production to full production could take 15 months. So assuming we started on 1st April 2015 one thinks we can expect 1500t/day by 30th June 2016 - you never know they may surprise us and deliver full production early.

[charles clore] 15/5/2015 11:46

Well KD the bonus to that deal offer is that someone out there thinks AGQ is worth a lot more than its market cap. I would agree with that and eagerly await production news that should trigger a decent rise in the share price. The delay has merely enabled me to add a few more.

[kd54] 15/5/2015 11:25

BIKWIK,

I'm baffled by your post - 40330 of 40346

You stated: "In terms of by the end of this year we are looking at a throughput of 750-1000 tonnes per day of ore."

Then later state: "AS far as I can see all is going according to plan"

I am no longer stunned by the incompetence levels exhibited by JW but that is not according to plan at all. We should currently be touching upon 1200 per day NOW, not 750-1000 by end of year.

I have lost count of the number of missed deadlines by JW. I can real them all of, but it will just annoy me.


I still believe there is money to be made with this share, but it will be in spite of, rather than because of, JW and the rest of the board. Additionally there are costs associated to their incompetence.

If I recall correctly, JW released a video shortly after securing the new financing with Qunitana, boasting how he rejected an offer that looked to get rid of a lot of the cronies that sit on the board. I suspect that offer was better for the shareholder, although he fobbed it off with some nonsense about the time frames associated with that deal.

KD54

[bikwik] 14/5/2015 16:09

This is from August last year. Surprisingly, Arian has actually outperformed both Fresnillo and Hochschild, though of course it has lagged both recently, for reasons we all know about. So you could argue that those reasons are all in the Arian share price now. Or of course some of you will just keep arguing. Personally I prefer not to argue, never does any good particularly with my wife!

Anyway, Arian is now in the "sweet spot" buying zone, so I picked up another 10K this morning and so did quite a few others.

[bikwik] 14/5/2015 16:00

free stock charts from uk.advfn.com

[bikwik] 14/5/2015 15:59

More charts......Arian, Fresnillo and Hochschild for comparison to follow.