Arian Silver Share Discussion Threads

[bikwik] 08/4/2015 19:45

We are now at pretty much the same point that we were in December 2009 before Arian trebled in just six weeks, reaching an intraday high of 80p on 20th Jan 2010. Over those six weeks the silver price hardly budged.

The reason for the share surge coming from two RNS's, on 9th December 2009 and 19 January 2010. The first related to a reconstruction of its share relationship with Grafton. In a nutshell it decided to raise funds in another way by a private placement of shares raising $3.5m. The oversubscription of this issue was announced two days after the 80p price peak.

The second RNS related to Geologix's intention to exercise its option to buy Arians 100% interest in the Tepal Gold-Copper project in Mexico for a net $2.5m.

No doubt there were also high hopes for the Zacatas Silver project which were starting to come to the fore as well. However, the price of Silver played no part at that time. That came later on the run up towards £6.00 a share!!


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[bikwik] 08/4/2015 14:08

No offense taken, just a bit of fun to liven things up. Still pretty dead round here at the moment....but hopefully not for long, just like a coil spring ready to explode!

[ciao4niao] 08/4/2015 13:24

BIKWIK, enough of the rockets already, my life! Maybe when the share price has trebled it would be appropriate! Moving images are an irritating distraction.

No offense intended.

[sir andrew ffoulkes] 08/4/2015 12:03

Whilst we appear to be in compliance with AIM Rule 13 in respect of the 'letter of the law'. It is not unreasonable to question that without a detailed means of repayment are we in fact in breach of:

"a statement that with the exception of any director who is involved in the transaction
as a related party, its directors consider, having consulted with its nominated
adviser, that the terms of the transaction are fair and reasonable insofar as its
shareholders are concerned."

One must ask if a loan made to a corporate vehicle in which our Chairman has an interest (Siberian Goldfields) and without detailed repayment mechanisms, is reasonable. Looking at the accounts one sees no detailed repayment mechanism, so it is open to question if we are in breach of the spirit of Rule 13. Surprised that the NOMAD has not been looking at this transaction.

Before anyone says it, one can see that the loan does not appear to breach the 5% rule BUT what makes it open to question is the lack of detailed repayment proposals.

Tony Williams really needs to offer repayment asap in order to continue drawing his Salary. Carrying on taking money without putting back what is owed is simply wrong.

Still rating AGQ as a strong buy but wanting to see corporate governance tidied up on issues such as this one and Insiders buying shares!

[bikwik] 08/4/2015 09:15

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Some extra kindling Sir Andrew!

[edjge2] 08/4/2015 08:14

adding time?

[sir andrew ffoulkes] 07/4/2015 16:59

BIKWIK one could not agree more, but sometimes a little extra kindling is required to get things going.

[bikwik] 07/4/2015 16:47

There's an old saying Sir Andrew....you can take a horse to water but you can't make it drink.

I suppose you could try sending Jim a letter, but at the end of the day it's up to him. Personally I think this share is going to rise significantly, starting very soon, given my reading of the Precious metal and AGQ charts and the obvious fundamental merits of Arians operation and financing.

[sir andrew ffoulkes] 07/4/2015 15:04

BoD YOU NEED TO BUY SHARES !

Whilst the formatting of the cut and paste below is poor, there is a VERY OBVIOUS word missing in the listed trades of the last 5 years or so.

22-Jan-15 Sell Trade Notifier Information for Arian Silver Corporation (DI) Anthony J. Williams 0.6 CAD 85,000 0
21-Jan-15 Sell Trade Notifier Information for Arian Silver Corporation (DI) Anthony J. Williams 0.6 CAD 135,000 0
18-Nov-14 Notification of Holding Trade Notifier Information for Arian Silver Corporation (DI) David Laing 0 0 1000
31-Dec-13 Notification of Holding Trade Notifier Information for Arian Silver Corporation (DI) Anthony J. Williams 0 0 0
04-Jan-11 Sell Trade Notifier Information for Arian Silver Corp. (DI) Anthony J. Williams 51 GBX 2,000,000 4800000
29-Nov-10 Exercise of option Trade Notifier Information for Arian Silver Corp. (DI) Anthony J. Williams 5.5 GBX 2,250,000 0
29-Nov-10 Exercise of option Trade Notifier Information for Arian Silver Corp. (DI) James (Jim) T. Williams 5.5 GBX 2,250,000 0
29-Nov-10 Sell Trade Notifier Information for Arian Silver Corp. (DI) Anthony J. Williams 31 GBX 2,250,000 0
29-Nov-10 Sell Trade Notifier Information for Arian Silver Corp. (DI) James (Jim) T. Williams 31 GBX 2,250,000 0
29-Nov-10 Exercise of option Trade Notifier Information for Arian Silver Corp. (DI) Thomas A. Bailey 5.5 GBX 350,000 0
29-Nov-10 Exercise of option Trade Notifier Information for Arian Silver Corp. (DI) James S. Cable 5.5 GBX 350,000 0
29-Nov-10 Sell Trade Notifier Information for Arian Silver Corp. (DI) Thomas A. Bailey 31 GBX 350,000 0
29-Nov-10 Sell Trade Notifier Information for Arian Silver Corp. (DI) James S. Cable 31 GBX 350,000 0

[bikwik] 06/4/2015 14:08

Turning to the chart of Arian you can see that it had a strong period between October and December, whereas Silver started and finished at about the same level. That rise was too strong in fact and the shares subsequently paid the price (failing to benefit from Silvers strong rally in January) and sank back to the bottom of the range in force for well over a year.

The decline in the last several days most probably triggered in part, at least, to that stupid cow from Proactive Investors for latching onto to Jims passing comment about banking on Silver to rise....when the market generally felt that Silvers prospects did not appear that good).

However, in retrospect this may in fact be a blessing in disguise, as Silvers (and Gold) potential does in fact look very good indeed. So, with Arian now sitting down at very low levels and oversold, a strong rise in Silver, which looks to be soon upon us, will kick start the shares in to action. Maybe I should post another rocket. Hmm maybe not. Hopefully you can see why I posted it in the first place, just a wee bit to early!

Happy Easter!

[bikwik] 06/4/2015 13:41

Just in case you can't work out what the hell the above charts mean:

When Silver and Gold were declining back towards their lows in early March it gradually dawned on me what was going on. They were both forming reversal patterns of the head and shoulders variety. I have seen these form many times in all markets over the last three decades.

I have drawn three similar versions of this type of base pattern in the top right of the chart. They form in the way they do because on the initial rally, buying power is not that strong and the price sinks back to where it started from (forms left shoulder). The second rally has more power (aided in part because the initial setback didn't make a new low). HOPEFULLY YOU ARE WITH ME SO FAR!
This second rally in fact has too much power (think back to when Silver and Gold zoomed up to over $17 and $1300 in January). This meant that the speed and extent of the rise was too steep to be maintained and the second pullback occurred (forming the head). The disappointment with not being able to hold onto that rise, and in particular dropping back below the top of the right shoulder, forces a retest of the lows.

However, it finds support once again at or near those lows as more buyers see the strength of that floor and the third rally begins(the start of the right shoulder). This is pretty much where we are now.

There are many versions of this pattern, I have shown three typical ones. In each case the neckline support is horizontal, as is the case with Silver today. Sometimes the neckline slopes down or up. Between Feb and April 2001 Gold formed a head and shoulders base pattern with the bottom of the right shoulder at $254.65 before commencing a 10 year bull market. The pattern was similar to no 2 chart shown above, except that the neckline sloped downwards.

So, Silver could either drop back to or just under the neckline before starting a large advance or it could hardly drop back at all (as it seems to be be doing). This latter version would be the most bullish as sellers would have all dried up and switched to the growing band of buyers.

[bikwik] 06/4/2015 13:07

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[irnbru2] 03/4/2015 19:17

So, they are producing an oz silver, per week, at a loss.

[irnbru2] 02/4/2015 20:42

He sold out.

[irnbru2] 02/4/2015 20:20

The problem, with this share is,

When the POS goes up, they do not have the brain to know.

How stupid is that.

AIM, total corruption, means all brain activity is dead.

[irnbru2] 02/4/2015 20:10

And this is biggggeeeee.

[irnbru2] 02/4/2015 20:03

Still think, the down, side will prevale.

Once the management, become AIM, corrupted, the value of the share is zero.

[irnbru2] 02/4/2015 19:54

AIM share.

Total scam.

[sir andrew ffoulkes] 02/4/2015 16:44

Jim, might one suggest you spend roughly one months salary on shares in our company, say 60,000 of them at around 28p, that's about £17k.