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N Brown – I’ve bought some more

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I’ve more than doubled my stake in N Brown (LSE:BWNG) at £1.30 per share following the release of the preliminary results a couple of weeks ago. It fits nicely into my Modified price earnings ratio portfolio. I first bought N Brown shares last August at £1.42, so I’m pleased to pick up more at an even lower price (the market price has now moved up to 147.30p – 148.30p, Market capitalisation is 284m shares x 148.3p = £421m).

N Brown derives most of its revenue selling clothes and homewares.  But it loses money year after year on that.

Its profit comes from charging interest on credit granted to consumers.  It is a company born in the era of large paper catalogues found in every home up and down the country, whereby people would pay off debt at a rate of £5 – £10 per month.

Today 80% of N Brown’s product sales come from online orders (mostly smartphones).  And, just like in the old days, people pay a monthly amount which includes a hefty APR (59.2%), but they don’t seem to mind.  N Brown has about 4m unique customers each year, and a goodly proportion take goods on tick.

The company targets the niches of clothing for larger people, the plus-size segment (size 20 and above), and the over-50s looking for fashion. By being clearly identified as specialists in serving bigger and older customers it generates customer loyalty.

The main brands are Simply Be for fashion conscious younger women who need well-fitted stylish large-sized clothing; J D Williams for the 50+ customer, and; Jacamo, for men ranging up to a size 5XL.

Demographic trends are toward a greater proportion of the population being older. Size trends (people are getting bigger) indicate that N Brown’s market segments will grow. It has the incumbent’s advantage in being long recognised for its expertise in “fit”, the depth and breadth of its range.

(Previous Newsletters on N Brown: 4-12 May 2017, 30 June 2017, 28 Nov – 1 Dec 2017, 21-30 Aug 2018, 1 Jan 2019)

Cyclically-adjusted price earnings ratio

Pence per share   Earnings (basic)   Earnings (adjusted)   Dividends
2019 -20.5 21.38 7.10
2018 4.41 23.06 14.23
2017 15.67 22.74 14.23
2016 19.23 24.02 14.23
2015 18.15 24.61 14.23
2014 27.09 27.74 14.23
2013 28.51 28.04 13.68
2012 29.28 28.84 13.03
2011 26.04 26.88 12.41
2010 22.83 24.77 10.79
2009 22.88 21.96 9.19
2008 21.16 20.27 9.06

Dividend yield

Dividend yield is 7

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