Tullow Oil Share Discussion Threads

[sentimentrules] 15/1/2020 19:08

TLW 21p

As good as it gets

I cant back it up with fundamentals, mistly because it bores me to death

but da lads told me days ago in their way - 21p

[auson1] 15/1/2020 19:07

Sirrux,

The ARCM short was disclosed on euroclear for months so don't worry there isn't one on Tullow.

[sentimentrules] 15/1/2020 19:04

Its why i can play before data 9 of 10 times. Thats my forte

Many ways to skin a cat. As long at it works its right way for you

[sirrux] 15/1/2020 19:04

Maybe Mr 7% is now giving his advice, as I believe he said he would do. Are there other big backers or is it just a hotch potch of random names? Hard to pick out who shat their pants today (why not before!) unless it was just a collective dump by lots of 0 to 1% holders ejecting it out of their portfolios. After PMO, suspicious that there might be an undisclosed short, could it happen twice?

[sentimentrules] 15/1/2020 19:01

Not really - mostly my terminal is the chart ie real-time fundamentals. What are the lads doin lol

[auson1] 15/1/2020 19:00

SentimentRules,

Haven't you heard you need the Trump terminal now, MAGA and all that.

[sentimentrules] 15/1/2020 18:58

Well i ordered bloomberg terminal days ago. Did you get it on that? Ive not used it in years. Dont like payin for it myself but thought screw it. Might as well

Yes il call them 0900

If there isnt a satisfactory reason as to why it didnt come up on global search and entity alerts, il be cancelling them

..........

Leone, wasn't just saying im short, better than essays of reasons to buy? :)

Surely you listened to me after HUR

[leoneobull] 15/1/2020 18:51

You just said you were short. Thanks for the investment advice lol

[auson1] 15/1/2020 18:50

SentimentRules,

Perhaps you should ask for a refund ?

[sentimentrules] 15/1/2020 18:46

Odd thing is, i pay for all that data - never came up.

Il have to ask

[sentimentrules] 15/1/2020 18:45

Yes of course different - but they spread out over 4% after "% increase to multiple houses?

Busy lads

[sentimentrules] 15/1/2020 18:44

You dont really need it - as i showed you today with my "ahem" foresight

haha

[auson1] 15/1/2020 18:41

SentimentRules,

I don't know ask ARCM why they didn't declare the biggest short in Europe.

Its a different thing right ? The percentage of stock out on loan is one thing.
The percentage above 0.5% held net short is a different thing.

I like to look at both hence my superior 'ahem' trading strategy.

[oilisgold] 15/1/2020 18:40

Yeah, just walk away from this share. Much better shares out there. No point trying to average down at the moment. Let the dust settle and see where it consolidates. It just tanked at the end. Find out tomarrow what the leak was if any.

[zzxqry] 15/1/2020 18:36

Glad I bailed with a trailing stop at 65 area.Looks horrendous this.

[oilisgold] 15/1/2020 18:34

This is Gambling at its best. Toss of coin for some. Many traders bought in around 55p expecting a quick 10% . Instead got Caught pants down with a pounding

[oilisgold] 15/1/2020 18:32

Chaps always cut your losses . A lot of traders bought in the morning on the false rise. It was just a trick to get new traders locked in to allow big sellers to sell. All support levels are broken now. Aim for 40p to 45p for a quick trade. No one knows where this will end now. Better shares out there to get your money back.

[sentimentrules] 15/1/2020 18:24

Short Disclosures Europe
Show entriesSearch:
tullow
Position Holder Company ISIN Short % Delta % Position Date
Position Holder Company ISIN Short % Delta % Position Date
Key Group Holdings (Cayman), Ltd. TULLOW OIL PLC GB0001500809 0.69 ▼ -0.01 2020-01-07
BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A. TULLOW OIL PLC GB0001500809 0.62 ▲ 0.09 2020-01-03
Odey Asset Management LLP TULLOW OIL PLC GB0001500809 0.39 ▼ -0.21 2019-08-06
Key Group Holdings (Cayman), Ltd. TULLOW OIL PLC GB0001500809 0.47 ▼ -0.12 2019-05-13
Millennium International Management LP TULLOW OIL PLC GB0001500809 0.49 ▼ -0.10 2019-02-19
Linden Advisors LP TULLOW OIL PLC GB0001500809 0.48 ▼ -0.09 2018-12-11
Millennium International Management LP TULLOW OIL PLC GB0001500809 0.49 ▼ -0.02 2018-11-13
Millennium International Management LP TULLOW OIL PLC GB0001500809 0.48 ▼ -0.02 2018-10-22
Capital Fund Management SA TULLOW OIL PLC GB0001500809 0.49 ▼ -0.10 2018-06-06
Millennium International Management LP TULLOW OIL PLC GB0001500809 0.48 ▼ -0.03 2018-05-10
Odey Asset Management LLP TULLOW OIL PLC GB0001500809 0.45 ▼ -0.13 2018-04-24
Millennium International Management LP TULLOW OIL PLC GB0001500809 0.46 ▼ -0.06 2018-04-10
Millennium International Management LP TULLOW OIL PLC GB0001500809 0.43 ▼ -0.16 2018-03-21
Polar Capital LLP TULLOW OIL PLC GB0001500809 0.48 ▼ -0.02 2018-02-22
BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A. TULLOW OIL PLC GB0001500809 0.49 ▼ -0.03 2018-02-15
Marshall Wace LLP TULLOW OIL PLC GB0001500809 0.46 ▼ -0.06 2018-02-09
Oxford Asset Management TULLOW OIL PLC GB0001500809 0.48 ▼ -0.09 2018-01-12
BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A. TULLOW OIL PLC GB0001500809 0.49 ▼ -0.02 2018-01-12
BlueMountain Capital Management, LLC TULLOW OIL PLC GB0001500809 0.48 ▼ -0.10 2017-12-21
AHL Partners LLP TULLOW OIL PLC GB0001500809 0.49 ▼ -0.10 2017-12-20

Searched all daabases. Europe - asia - america etc

Cant find that loan

[sentimentrules] 15/1/2020 18:19

Auson why not declared on normal short interest then? It should be, no matter what country its held/;oaned out to

[sentimentrules] 15/1/2020 18:17

Amm for me the most logical next assessment is 29, 24 and 21p

you cant watch every 0.01p so in my analysis, thats where a bear should be assessing bulls next


I think everyone should have seen enough now to be forgetting gaps etc etc

This is the trend. This is the sentiment... any bounce just natural retrace within the bear

Its going to take a whole lot to turn this around and one rns some day isnt going to do it

So thats the realism...thats where to assess next

[whites123] 15/1/2020 18:13

2020 HEDGING POSITION

Hedge structure

Bopd

Bought put (floor)

Sold call

Bought call

Collars

33,000

$57.60

$79.21

-

Three-way collars (call spread)

12,000

$56.42

$77.82

$87.68

Total / weighted average

45,000

$57.28

$78.84

$87.68


Looks damned good to me... :-) :-)

Chaos looks to have manifested itself this afternoon with yet another clear evidenced event of what happens when people use leveraged products and stop losses are set..
Dominoes..

Those investors that hold share still hold that same amount of shares.
Im down if I take a snapshot at todays share price ..
Maybe if I dont look in and come back in a month I will see my holding in profit..

I have only just looked in today as I have been rather busy today..

Consider news to come.... None of it is likely to be bad...

[auson1] 15/1/2020 18:11

SentimentRules,

euroclear had stock on loan of 4.58% end Dec 19

up 2% from end Nov 19

[maywillow] 15/1/2020 18:11

Price (GBX) 49.88 Var % (+/-) -15.71% (Down -9.30)

High 62.82 Low 49.21

Volume 63,951,873 Last close 49.88 on 15-Jan-2020

Bid 49.91 Offer 50.18

Trading status Market Close Special conditions NONE

[sentimentrules] 15/1/2020 18:10

Thats low in this stock given recent history

Its all bull run

However, shorters may come now. Easy target before data a bit away