International Personal F... Share Discussion Threads

[wad collector] 20/5/2019 09:49

Don't like the chart - new low today. Hope this is not going down the plughole like most of my recent "investments".

[eurofox] 10/5/2019 18:43

yes, I have been adding at these levels - nice divi today

[wad collector] 10/5/2019 14:11

FWIW two director buys 15k and 20k .

[robinnicolson] 02/5/2019 20:46

IPF is now on a forecast PE of 6.0, Price to Book value of 0.9, has a forecast dividend yield of 7.3% and a consensus broker target price of 280p (Sharepad data).

[wad collector] 02/5/2019 18:13

The chart looks bad , heading to 2 yr low. Hope you are right.

[eurofox] 02/5/2019 16:21

a few stops taken out there - added

[wad collector] 02/5/2019 08:29

Q1
Highlights


-- Q1 credit issued growth of 9% year-on-year
o European home credit growth of 2%
o Mexico home credit growth of 3%
o IPF Digital growth of 33%

-- Good credit quality and collections - Group annualised
impairment as a percentage of revenue at 26.6% (Q1 2018:
26.4%)

-- Strong funding position - GBP183 million of headroom
on debt facilities at 31 March 2019

-- Credit rating position improved - Fitch BB, outlook
revised to stable from negative; new rating from Moody's
Ba3 stable


Group Q1 overview

IPF made a solid start to 2019 and traded in-line with our expectations at Group level with a strong operational performance in European home credit and a more challenging performance in Mexico. Year-on-year, we delivered credit issued growth of 9% with continued strong top-line growth delivered by IPF Digital alongside modest growth in European and Mexico home credit. At Group level, credit quality and collections were stable and annualised impairment as a percentage of revenue at 26.6% was in-line with Q1 2018 (2018 year-end: 26.2%).

European home credit

During Q1 we made good progress against our strategy of improving the sustainability of our European home credit businesses by creating more modern, efficient and better credit quality operations. While customer numbers contracted, we delivered credit issued growth of 2% year-on-year, which was ahead of our expectations and reflected good performances in all our markets. Credit quality remains very strong, reflecting a good agent collection performance together with further improved post-field collections. Taken together, these factors resulted in an improvement in annualised impairment as a percentage of revenue of 16.3% compared to 19.0% in Q1 2018 (2018 year-end: 17.9%).

Mexico home credit

As noted at the time of our 2018 full-year results, we took a more cautious stance on credit settings reflecting the slight softening of the macroeconomic outlook in Mexico for 2019. This stance, combined with weaker than expected collections during Q1 resulted in credit issued growth being restricted to 3%. We have taken a series of actions to improve collections, including some branch consolidation in Mexico City. We now expect credit issued growth for the year as a whole to be weaker than originally anticipated. Annualised impairment as a percentage of revenue for Q1 was 38.4% (36.1% for Q1 2018, 2018 year-end 36.7%), reflecting the impact of the first quarter collections performance and the actions taken to improve future performance. Mexico is a key driver of future growth and we remain confident in the longer-term development of the business.

IPF Digital

IPF Digital delivered another strong top-line performance with credit issued growth of 33% based on good customer demand for digital credit within our target customer segment. There was continued strong growth in the new markets where we increased credit issued by 77% and, as expected, growth moderated in our established markets to 2%. Annualised impairment as a percentage of revenue was 40.4% compared to 41.1% in Q1 2018 (2018 year-end: 37.8%) which reflects stable impairment in the established markets and a small increase in the new markets where we are serving a larger proportion of new customers who have a higher risk profile. We remain on track to deliver a maiden profit in 2019 for the division as a whole.

Funding and credit ratings

We maintained our strong funding position and at 31 March 2019 had total debt facilities of GBP853 million and borrowings of GBP670 million, with headroom on undrawn bank facilities of GBP183 million. The credit rating position improved in April 2019 following the affirmation of a BB rating by Fitch alongside the revision of the outlook from negative to stable together with a new rating from Moody's of Ba3, stable outlook.

Regulation

At the time of our 2018 full year results announcement, legislation to implement an APR cap of 50% for loans under EUR3,000 and 18% for loans over EUR3,000 had been passed by the Romanian Parliament but was subject to a constitutional court challenge. The outcome of the challenge resulted in the legislation being declared unconstitutional and therefore not in effect. Consequently, there is currently no APR cap in Romania. We will continue to monitor any future developments.

There has been no material update from the Polish Ministry of Justice on its modified set of proposals, published in February 2019, to reduce the existing cap on non-interest costs that may be charged by lenders in connection with consumer loan agreements - details of which were provided in our 2018 full-year results statement. A public consultation was undertaken but the responses have not yet been published in full and, at this stage, there is no formal timeline to progress or finalise the draft proposal. We will update the market with our assessment of the likely financial impact on the Group when and if the proposal is finalised and approved.

Taxation

As highlighted in our 2018 Full-year Financial Report, in late 2017 the European Commission opened a state aid investigation into the Group Financing Exemption contained in the UK controlled foreign company rules, which were introduced in 2013. On 2 April 2019 the European Union announced its finding that the Group Financing Exemption is partially incompatible with EU State Aid rules. In common with other UK-based international companies, whose intra-group finance arrangements are in line with current controlled foreign company rules, the Group is likely to be affected by this decision. The total tax benefit obtained by the Group in all years since 2013 is estimated at up to GBP13.5 million. It is expected that there are valid grounds, which the Group is currently exploring, for part of the benefit to be retained. HMRC will be contacting taxpayers, including IPF, in the coming weeks to set out how they intend to calculate and recover the alleged aid. HMRC has stated that it does not consider that the timing and form of the UK's exit from the EU will have any practical impact on this matter.

There is no substantive update in respect of the on-going Polish tax audit matter.

Outlook

We continue to improve the service and choices provided to the customers of our European home credit businesses and deliver robust returns to reward shareholders and fund growth opportunities in our Mexico home credit and IPF Digital operations. The Group made a solid start to 2019 and our outlook for the Group in 2019 remains unchanged.

[wad collector] 30/4/2019 12:59

SP dropping to a 6 month low today , though did go Xd 7.8p 10 days ago. No news I can see , no new broker notes. Hope another bad news instalment not imminent....

[wad collector] 08/4/2019 10:04

8 April 2019

INTERNATIONAL PERSONAL FINANCE PLC

Fitch revises outlook on IPF to stable and affirms BB rating

Fitch Ratings has affirmed International Personal Finance plc's long-term credit rating at BB, and revised the Outlook to Stable from Negative.

Fitch stated that the revision reflected their view on regulatory and tax issues in Poland, and the increasing geographic diversification of IPF's operations.

[wad collector] 27/2/2019 13:56

The numbers look pretty good but there is also some clarification about the Polish Tax position , with a potential liability of 2 yrs profits. Or not if their legal advice is correct and the Polish Tax court is honest about it .So bit of a worry still!
Screaming buy if the tax is not due , with a 6% yield covered 3x.

[deadly] 27/2/2019 09:34

Healthy results today, about 10% growth and is still cheap

[ttny2004] 08/1/2019 08:35

220p met. Can we push through to 240p.

[wad collector] 25/10/2018 17:26

Perhaps they know something we don't? Never overestimate directorial morality, especially in a loan shark!

[robinnicolson] 25/10/2018 17:05

IPF being priced as if its going out of business: Forward PE of 5.6, EBIT yield 15.5%, PEG 0.1, dividend yield 7.1%.
Surprised the directors have not been buying at these levels.

[wad collector] 24/10/2018 18:03

Missed the Q3 last week; looks like the market is not impressed as we move towards a 14 month low. There is more detail on Poland in the detail. Nothing calamitous.



18 October 2018

International Personal Finance

Q3 2018 trading update

18 October 2018

International Personal Finance plc specialises in providing unsecured consumer credit to more than two million customers across 11 markets. We operate the world's largest home credit business and a leading fintech business, IPF Digital.

Highlights


-- Q3 credit issued growth of 6%
o IPF Digital growth of 39% - continued strong top-line growth
and good operational performance
o Mexico home credit growth of 13% - expansion strategy delivered
further growth
o European home credit contracted by 7% - operational performance
in-line with full-year expectations

-- Well managed credit quality and collections - Group
annualised impairment as a percentage of revenue of
25.2% (HY 2018: 25.5%)

-- Strong funding position - GBP226m of headroom on debt
facilities at 30 September 2018
-- Draft law proposing amendments to existing tax legislation
being debated in Poland

[deadly] 31/8/2018 16:43

down 5% today after a director buy of 25k at 235. Bet he's happy.

What sort of market is this?

[wad collector] 01/8/2018 16:07

Heading to a seven month high; gradually recovering.Before the next calamity?

[deadly] 26/7/2018 12:49

Market has finally woken up to the results today: +7% so far.

[wad collector] 25/7/2018 17:47

Half yrs results look promising,some Eastern European news buried in them. The future looks more solid.

[wad collector] 25/7/2018 17:47

Dup. Foreign Isp.

[wad collector] 13/7/2018 20:48

Yes , you just wait for the next installment of bad stuff generally here. I am well down but sticking with them naively hoping for more of a recovery.

[topvest] 13/7/2018 10:19

Well its been a long time since we got some good news here, even though its tempered by "broadly in line" 2019 comments.

[wad collector] 13/7/2018 09:02

13 July 2018

International Personal Finance plc

Trading update: 2018 performance expected to be ahead of market consensus

This announcement contains inside information

International Personal Finance is pleased to report that trading in the first six months of the current financial year has been in line with plan, with credit issued growth in Mexico home credit and IPF Digital and a modest contraction in European home credit. Portfolio quality remains within our target range and, as a result of stronger than expected post-field collections in our European home credit businesses, we now expect to exceed the current 2018 profit before tax consensus of GBP99.4m by approximately 10%. Our expectation for financial performance in 2019 remains broadly in line with current consensus.

Further information on the half-year performance and expectations for the year as a whole will be provided with our 2018 half-year financial report which will be published on Wednesday 25 July 2018.