Fevertree Drinks Share Discussion Threads

[bamboo2] 24/10/2017 17:10

DD4, agree the story has not changed since the July rns, hence I think there is almost no chance [perhaps 3-5%?] of the gap getting anything more than a partial fill.

Perhaps we will see a high momentum intraday waterfall, as has happened previously.

In fact one of these happened on prelims day 21/3/2017 [if I remember correctly] when in early trading price plunged, but it ended up for the day, ranging in price by approx 200p.

Sogo, The potential turn I mentioned on 31 Oct/1 Nov is based on the mid priced chart. The same turn occurs 3/6 Nov on the last price based chart.

[juzzer100] 24/10/2017 09:10

MMs and shorters know full well the trading update is due soon so ramping up people's nervousness of which way this goes. Agree DD, as far as we know the story hasn't changed tho!

[christh] 24/10/2017 08:39

ugly head, bent shoulders,gaps,leaps and jumps.

Rubbish.

This is heading upwards to £30.
Its a star company,highly growing to become a superbrand.
The results of the next report are already known as stated be the ceo"materially above expected".

The demand for the drinks has increased but also the production to meet the demand.
As we are heading to Xmas the demand in the supermarkets will be great,more sales,more exports and higher profits.
Results in December and a long awaited reporting how China and India are responding to Fevertree imports.

[discodave4] 24/10/2017 08:34

Thanks bamboo.As a non TA it just looks like it got ahead of itself following the interims and some profit taking, the story has not changed IMO (it's still true - odd phrase tbh).Thought £21 was solid support, perhaps on today's movement it was, or there abouts anyway.DDps Odds on filling the July gap?

[bamboo2] 23/10/2017 19:17

DD4, it's a Breakaway gap, so I reckon this gap is the support zone. At least four other Breakaway gaps remain unfilled further down the chart. Some have been tested to the top of the gap.

I suggest looking again at the news that created the gap, then ask yourself 'is that still true?'

There is a poorly formed, or ugly Head and shoulders pattern, and I have discussed the likely tp of this pattern in an earlier post.

[discodave4] 23/10/2017 19:10

TA'sOdds on the July gap being filled?ThanksDD

[christh] 23/10/2017 15:30

NY Boy 23 Oct '17 - 14:27 - 1098 of 1098

A great opportunity every time of the year...
This is now, not tomorrow, becauause tomorrow you will have regrets of the miising opportunity.

Tomorrow will be a different day, new scenario, new chart.

Buy today for tomorrows opportunity to grow your investment.

[ny boy] 23/10/2017 14:27

Chart technically looks poor, could be a buying opp around 1830p

You guys should be in (IMM), buy now at £1, collect if FDA Lupus approval next Spring, for an early retirement!

Dyor as usual!

[christh] 23/10/2017 14:22

Looking at the trades
There are 195,000 Buys and 102,000 Sells

Another mmm trick or someone is filling up an order?

The price should have been high not at this level.We should see before the end of the day...

[christh] 23/10/2017 14:07

Panic Investor
we should see a bounce.
It is oversold and undervalued at this price.

Investors Chronicle said HOLD at £21.77.

A recovery will start at any time, no-one knows when the big Buys will return
and what's holding it up.
Similar with most AIM stocks like BOO.

What merits Fevertree is that the ceo stated that "the earings already exceeded the expected earnings" which should give a direction to the investors.

Most of the institutions have increased their holding on Fevertree.
A great opportunity to Buy or top up in my opinion.

[sogoesit] 23/10/2017 12:52

Bamboo’s turns, which in my experience are better than 60%, can be to the downside as well as the upside, by the way.
My view is this one could see support fail. However, if it does, as said before, I would be a buyer for a 3-5 year view.

[panic investor] 23/10/2017 12:32

If this support area doesn't hold .....,

[christh] 23/10/2017 10:32

IC View
The last Investors Chronicle recommendation on Fevertree Drinks PLC shares was Hold at 2,177.00 on 03 Aug 2017.

[sogoesit] 23/10/2017 08:54

To be Frank, I favour the end October/beginning November one... coincident with trading updater thereabouts.
But, since I'm not Frank, I could very well be wrong!
Have a great week.

[bamboo2] 22/10/2017 14:46

Zooming in on the chart it looks like the turn is more likely tomorrow, 23 Oct rather than 24 Oct. New potential turn 31 Oct/1 Nov

[robholdsworth] 18/10/2017 17:29

There was a Wagamama 'have gin n tonic with Fevertree' commercial on the radio this afternoon.

[sogoesit] 18/10/2017 07:04

On the valuation side I am waiting firstly a confirmation of revenue growth rates, expected from a trading update sometime in November.
Otherwise my EPS full year 2017 is still 40p’ish paying 60 x at £24. Prior growth has been around 70+%.
On these “fundamental” prognoses paying 50 x is still good value at £20, or £21 as the charts appear to price it. Thus, below £20, I’m a buyer.

If, however, growth were to slow from the 70+% pa in the trading statement I think the market would “re-value̶1; accordingly.
The issue in my mind is how quickly the “dark spirit” strategy can take hold and keep growth rates up. There may be a lull before this takes hold and, if so, the impatient may doubt the story and sell. For me that would be a new buying opportunity.
Having said all of that this company is highly profitable and surprises so far in its history have been to the upside.
On the downside, since the last Director’s sales, and the £18 rerating, stock has been more widely distributed, and appears more volatile (although I haven’t measured it), so there might be more exposure and more trading/churning to add to the mix.
(Views of a desert nomad only and therefore to be “discounted221; ;-) ).

[bamboo2] 17/10/2017 21:31

Hi PI, there is not a lot more to say about the chart at the moment than was said last time. This is copied below.

I can add that the kind of rangebound trading we are currently witnessing has happened here before, if you look further back in the chart. This sideways price action can get a bit boring to be honest. I have drawn various trendlines to get ideas of turns, but stick with 19 and 24 Oct as the next most likely dates. Not sure if we will break out of the trading range.

One new development over the past few sessions is a potential INVH&S with a tp approx. 2335

Price remains below a now falling 50sma.

"2102 is the 50% retrace level of the rise from 1684 [17/7/17].

The price action during run-up to interims was muted, but the news was better than expected. The resulting Breakaway gap up makes a useful potential support zone, if needed. [approx 1793-1866]

Recent historical support looks to be forming approx 2110.

I am wary of H&S potential tp approx 1907-1924.
Price below 50sma

Potential turns 19 and 24 Oct"



ps, chris, a VIZ style tip... rather than go to the trouble of typing, save yourself some time by simply copy and pasting your last derogatory comment in the space below this post!!!

[panic investor] 17/10/2017 13:51

This thread used to be so quiet :-/

[christh] 17/10/2017 12:36

ha...ha....ha

[juzzer100] 17/10/2017 11:53

Agree. All good for brand reinforcement. Thanks DD and V, filter button has been implemented here too!

[steptoes yard] 17/10/2017 10:49

No! It's makes you observant. Long FvEr

[villarich] 17/10/2017 09:13

Spot on Juzzer. I have now invoked the filter button. Something I should have done weeks ago. I was also wondering whether he was actually a shorter and we were being played. He is definitely the outlier when it comes to these boards.Anyway back to Fevertree...I was watching the final episode of Liar with Mrs Villa last night and noticed that one of the characters was drinking a G&T in a bar. The mixer? Fevertree light. To which Mrs V got a dog in the ribs and a 2 min rant about how they're getting everywhere! Ok the label was a little fuzzy and kept out of shot to avoid product placement but it was definitely a Fevertree bottle. Now the real question is - Does that make me sad?