| Date | Subject |
|---|
24/9/2021
13:00 | apad: Local M&S has own-brand look-alike FEVR on top shelf at 180p cf 220p.
Quinine and sugar.
apad
|
15/9/2021
10:05 | guppy57: Pleased with results. Steady progress. Would have liked dividend to be increased above 2% but given the challenges it's understandable.
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07/9/2021
18:48 | growthpotential: This laying a dividend (?)
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28/8/2021
08:19 | apad: The margin has to be under pressure from normal growth support activities and abnormal covid effects. The tintins will focus on margin because it is easy copy.
My focus is on US expansion - nothing else much matters.
One of my standout metrics for FEVR is that revenue per worker is nearly £1million.
Despite the panicdemic, revenue last FY was only down 3%.
Last margin note I have is 21%, which is fine, maybe more than fine. Reduce it for growth 😊
"Unveiling a new cola, made with actual Caribbean kola nuts!
Watch our video of the launch of Fever-Tree USA Distillers Cola at JIMMY atop ModernHaus SoHo. The event was hosted by the always charismatic Charles Gibb, Fever-Tree CEO North America, and his wonderful team."
I thought they'd go for a new cola from the off, but they are cleverer than that.
All things considered FEVR has weathered the pandemic extraordinarily well.
I bought a few more in my trading account with a view to selling after the results, but my core holding is in for the long term - or until a US monster gobbles them up.
GLA
apad
|
22/8/2021
10:30 | bamboo2: Hi Apad, I was hoping some of the others here that are into charts would have commented.
I think that charts and fundamentals are in the main separate to each other, but there are some places where they connect. eg Event or fundamental reason based gaps. A gap caused by an rns or dividend rights expiring for example.
The chart a few posts above shows an overhead breakaway gap directly caused by the recent results. Price has failed to fill this gap, and this marks a strong zone of resistance.
Charts are mostly backward looking, a historical price record of what has happened, in pictorial format. Indicators are lagging.
Using patterns, that often repeat, and trendline apexes [turning points] I attempt to project forward.
|
25/7/2021
23:35 | growthpotential: What's the dividend for this?
|
26/5/2021
20:50 | thewheeliedealer: Hi all,
My mate Peter @Conkers3 and myself did a ‘Twin Petes Investing’ Podcast last week and FEVR was one of the Stocks we discussed and I hold it myself and am considering buying more. Peter is not so keen it and from memory I don’t think I actually said I hold some. Thing is, all my Trades are 100% fully disclosed on my Website so anyone can see at any time what I am holding. I also Tweet out what I am buying/selling just after I do it and that all goes on the Website.
We also discussed a lot about Markets and the outlook for Summer and into the Autumn, and as always we also chatted about loads of other Stocks and Ideas for research and a fair bit of educational stuff with regards to Investing and Portfolio Management (and without doubt some important psychology stuff always creeps in).
Anyway, if you use Youtube, Apple, Audioboom, Overcast, Google+ or Spotify, Podchaser etc. you can find it under the 'Conkers Corner' Channel (you want Podcast TPI 49) and you can find it on Soundcloud at the link below.
I hope you enjoy it and find it useful, we try to keep them light and they are totally unscripted, with the intent being that it is like you are eavesdropping on us having a chat down the local boozer.
Cheers, WD
@wheeliedealer
hTTps://soundcloud.com/user-479955511/conkers3-wheeliedealer-49-futr-tsla-vod-bt-dgi9-air-pcf-ftse-btc-doge-insg-dia-ai
And you can hear it on YouTube here:
hTTps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QDMZU9MmIIo
|
07/4/2021
10:42 | wetdream: Just noticed FEVR has a PEG Factor of -2.14.
What’s going on there?
‘A PEG factor less than one, indicates that either the stock is undervalued, or that the market does not expect the company to achieve its forcasted EPS growth.’
|
06/4/2021
17:56 | apad: Mmmm!
Still 39 employees in the US (1 based in London 😊).
The 2 in Texas are the interesting change, but I would like to see more hiring.
Two bottling plants now, so look on the bright side.
My recent purchases on weakness are showing a profit, but it is hardly a bounce back!
I guess FEVR is just out of favour until it transmogrifies back into a growth stock.
US coping with the panicdemic better than Europe, so maybe the share price will be affected by summer news from yoodleland.
GLA
apad
|
30/9/2019
22:36 | trying2getrichquick: Fevertree Drinks
Market Cap - UK£2.8b
Last Updated - 2019/09/29 22:01 UTC
Executive Summary
Fevertree Drinks Plc, together with its subsidiaries, develops and supplies premium mixer drinks in the United Kingdom, the United States, Europe, and internationally.
Snowflake
Fundamentals
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.
Share Price & News
How has Fevertree Drinks's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?
Latest Share Price and Events
Market Performance
7 Day Return
0.6%
FEVR
2.1%
GB Beverage
0.2%
GB Market
1 Year Return
-32.9%
FEVR
15.7%
GB Beverage
-1.8%
GB Market
Return vs Industry: FEVR underperformed the UK Beverage industry which returned 15.7% over the past year.
Return vs Market: FEVR underperformed the UK Market which returned -1.8% over the past year.
Share holder returns
FEVR Industry Market
7 Day 0.6% 2.1% 0.2%
30 Day 7.1% -4.7% 3.3%
90 Day 4.8% -3.0% -0.4%
1 Year -32.5%-32.9% 18.9%15.7% 2.8%-1.8%
3 Year 153.1%149.6% 62.1%50.3% 21.3%6.8%
5 Year n/a 112.2%85.4% 36.2%7.3%
Price Volatility Vs. Market
Valuation
Is Fevertree Drinks undervalued based on future cash flows and its price relative to the stock market?
Analysis Checks 0/6
44.15x
Price to Earnings (PE) ratio
Intrinsic Value Based on Future Cash Flows
25.8%Overvalued
Current PriceUK£24.21Fair ValueUK£19.2520% UndervaluedAbout Right20% Overvalued
Undervalued: FEVR (£24.21) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£19.25)
Significantly Undervalued: FEVR is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Price Based on Earnings
}}}0x10x20x30x40x50x60x
PE Ratio
company 44.1x
industry 25.2x
market 16x
PE vs Industry: FEVR is poor value based on its PE Ratio (44.1x) compared to the Beverage industry average (25.2x).
PE vs Market: FEVR is poor value based on its PE Ratio (44.1x) compared to the UK market (16x).
Price Based on Expected Growth
}0x1x2x3x4x
PEG Ratio
company 4.2x
Low PEG Ratio: FEVR is poor value based on its PEG Ratio (4.2x)
Price Based on Value of Assets
}}}0x5x10x15x20x
PB Ratio
company 14x
industry 3.6x
market 1.5x
PB vs Industry: FEVR is overvalued based on its PB Ratio (14x) compared to the GB Beverage industry average (3.6x).
Next Steps
Explore potentially undervalued companies in the Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry.
Future Growth
How is Fevertree Drinks expected to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 11 analysts?
Analysis Checks 3/6
10.5%
Forecasted annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue Growth Estimates
GBPRevenueCash FlowEarnings
Growth Rates20172018201920202021202220232024£0£500MActualEstimated
Future Annual Growth Analysis
company10.5%industry6.9%
market12.5%
forecast annual earnings growth
company12.3%industry5.6%
market4.1%
forecast annual revenue growth
Earnings vs Savings Rate: FEVR's forecast earnings growth (10.5% per year) is above the savings rate (1.2%).
Earnings vs Market: FEVR's earnings (10.5% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the UK market (12.5% per year).
High Growth Earnings: FEVR's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: FEVR's revenue (12.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the UK market (4.1% per year).
High Growth Revenue: FEVR's revenue (12.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Estimates
GBP
20172018201920202021202220232024£0.2£1
Historical Range of past estimates
Analyst's estimate Range of estimates
Future Return on Equity
}}0%10%20%30%40%
Future ROE (3yrs)
company 26.4%
industry 18.1%
High Future ROE: FEVR's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (26.4%)
Past Performance
How has Fevertree Drinks performed over the past 5 years?
Analysis Checks 5/6
48.6%
Historical annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue History
GBPRevenueCash FlowEarningsOperating Expenses
Growth Rate20132014201520162017201820192020£-50M£300M
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
company48.6%industry8.6%
market13.4%
past 5 years annual earnings growth
company21.1%industry4.6%
market6.8%
last 1 year earnings growth
Earnings Trend: FEVR's earnings have grown significantly by 48.6% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: FEVR's earnings growth over the past year (21.1%) is below its 5-year average (48.6% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: FEVR earnings growth over the past year (21.1%) exceeded the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland industry 4.6%.
Return on Equity
}}0%10%20%30%40%
ROE
company 31.7%
industry 18.1%
High ROE: FEVR's Return on Equity (31.7%) is considered high.
Return on Assets
}}0%2%4%6%8%10%
ROA
company 26.5%
industry 8.5%
ROA vs Industry: FEVR has a higher Return on Assets than the Beverage industry average last year.
Return on Capital Employed
}}0%10%20%30%
ROCE
last year 38.4%
3 years ago 27.6%
ROCE Improving: FEVR has significantly improved its Return on Capital Employed over the past 3 years.
Financial Health
How is Fevertree Drinks's financial position?
Analysis Checks 5/6
Financial Position Analysis
GBP
20132014201520162017201820192020£0£250MNet worth
GBPShort termLong termNet worth
LiabilitiesAssets
Short Term Liabilities: FEVR's short term assets (£189.9M) exceeds its short term liabilities (£36.7M)
Long Term Liabilities: FEVR's short term assets (£189.9M) exceeds its long term liabilities (£1.5M)
Debt to Equity History and Analysis
GBPDebtNet worth (Equity)Cash
20132014201520162017201820192020£-50M£250M
Debt Level: FEVR is debt free.
Reducing Debt: FEVR currently has no debt however we can't compare to 5 years ago as we have no data for that period.
Debt Coverage: FEVR has no debt, therefore it does not need to be covered by operating cash flow.
Interest Coverage: FEVR has no debt, therefore coverage of interest payments is not a concern.
Balance Sheet
Assets
Cash + Short termInvestmentsReceivablesInventoryPh230;Long term +Other Assets
Liabilities + Equity
EquityDebtAccountsPayableOtherLiabilities
Inventory Level: FEVR has a low level of unsold assets or inventory.
Debt Coverage by Assets: Insufficient data to determine if FEVR's debt is covered by short term assets.
Dividend
What is Fevertree Drinks's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?
Analysis Checks 0/6
0.80%
Expected Dividend Yield
Dividend Yield and Payments Analysis
DPSFEVR DPSFEVR YieldBeverageMarket
201620172018201920202021202220232024£0£0.3
2.1%
1.4%
0.1%
0.6%
Notable Dividend: FEVR's dividend (0.6%%) isn’t notable compared to the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the UK market (1.97%%).
High Dividend: FEVR's dividend (0.6%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the UK market (5.47%).
Stable Dividend: FEVR is not paying a notable dividend for the UK market, therefore no need to check if payments are stable.
Growing Dividend: FEVR is not paying a notable dividend for the UK market, therefore no need to check if payments are increasing.
Current Payout to Shareholders
28%Now
Retained byFevertree Drin…Paid to you
Dividend Coverage: FEVR is not paying a notable dividend for .
Future Payout to Shareholders
30%+3 yrs
Retained byFevertree Drin…Paid to you
Future Dividend Coverage: No need to calculate the sustainability of FEVR's dividend in 3 years as they are not forecast to pay a notable one for the UK market.
Management
What is the CEO of Fevertree Drinks's salary, the management and board of directors tenure and is there insider trading?
3.3yrs
Average board tenure
CEO
Tim Warrillow (44yo)
0yrs
Tenure
UK£3,981,000
Compensation
Mr. Timothy Daniel Gray Warrillow, also known as Tim, is a Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer and Executive Director at Fevertree Drinks Plc. Mr. Warrillow joined a London-based advertising and branding a ...
CEO Compensation Analysis
GBPTotal CompensationSalaryFevertree Drinks EPS
2014201520162017201820192020£0UK£5m
Compensation vs. Market: Tim's total compensation ($USD4.90M) is about average for companies of similar size in the UK market ($USD2.26M).
Compensation vs Earnings: Tim's compensation has increased by more than 20% in the past year.
Board Age and Tenure
3.3yrs
Average Tenure
55yo
Average Age
Experienced Board: FEVR's board of directors are considered experienced (3.3 years average tenure).
Insider Trading
SOLDBOUGHTSold by companiesSold by individualsBought by companiesBought by individuals0-3 months3-6 months6-9 months9-12 months
Insider Buying: FEVR insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.
Recent Insider Transactions
AIM:FEVR Recent Insider Transactions by Companies or IndividualsDate Value Name Entity Role Shares Max Price
16 Aug 19 BuyUK£43,320 Jeff Popkin Individual
2,000 UK£21.66
25 Jul 19 BuyUK£289,561 Kevin Havelock Individual
13,298 UK£21.99
07 Dec 18 BuyUK£67,843 Jeff Popkin Individual
2,933 UK£23.17
11 Oct 18 BuyUK£167,946 Kevin Havelock Individual
5,727 UK£29.55
Ownership Breakdown
General PublicIndividual InsidersPrivate CompaniesInstitutions
Institutions
Private
Companies
Individual
Insiders
General
Public
Management Team
Charles Rolls (62yo)
Co-Founder & Non-Executive Deputy Chairman
Tenure: 0yrs
Tim Warrillow (44yo)
Co-Founder
Tenure: 0yrs
Compensation: UK£3.98m
Andy Branchflower (40yo)
Finance Director
Tenure: 4.9yrs
Compensation: UK£1.92m
Saskia Stoop (35yo)
Head of Marketing
Tenure: 0yrs
Claire Huntingford (38yo)
Head of Supply Chain
Tenure: 0yrs
Charles Gibb
Global Strategy Director & CEO of North American
Tenure: 1.8yrs
Oliver Winters
Communications & IR Director
Tenure: 0yrs
Board Members
Bill Ronald (63yo)
Non-Executive Chairman
Tenure: 6.3yrs
Compensation: UK£125.00k
Coline McConville (55yo)
Independent Non-Executive Director
Tenure: 4.8yrs
Compensation: UK£58.00k
Jeff Popkin (54yo)
Independent Non Executive Director
Tenure: 1.7yrs
Compensation: UK£46.00k
Kevin Havelock (61yo)
Independent Non-executive Director
Tenure: 1.7yrs
Compensation: UK£46.00k
Domenic De Lorenzo (55yo)
Independent Non-Executive Director
Tenure: 1.3yrs
Compensation: UK£30.00k
Charles Rolls (62yo)
Co-Founder & Non-Executive Deputy Chairman
Tenure: 0yrs
Tim Warrillow (44yo)
Co-Founder
Tenure: 0yrs
Compensation: UK£3.98m
Andy Branchflower (40yo)
Finance Director
Tenure: 4.9yrs
Compensation: UK£1.92m
Company Information
Fevertree Drinks Plc's company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources
Key Information
Fevertree Drinks Plc logo
Name: Fevertree Drinks Plc
Ticker: FEVR
Exchange: AIM
Founded: 2013
Industry: Soft Drinks
Sector: Food, Beverage & Tobacco
Market Cap: UK£2.811b
Shares outstanding: 116.13m
Website: hxxps://www.fever-tree.com
Fevertree Drinks Plc
186 -188 Shepherds Bush Road
London
Greater London
W6 7NL
United Kingdom
Listings
Ticker Exchange Primary Security Security Type Country Currency Listed on
FEVR AIM (London Stock Exchange AIM Market) Yes Ordinary Shares GB GBP Nov 2014
FQVT.F OTCPK (Pink Sheets LLC) Yes Ordinary Shares US USD Nov 2014
FV8 DB (Deutsche Boerse AG) Yes Ordinary Shares DE EUR Nov 2014
Biography
Fevertree Drinks Plc, together with its subsidiaries, develops and supplies premium mixer drinks in the United Kingdom, the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company’s products include Indian ...
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.Data Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis 2019/09/29 22:01
End of Day Share Price 2019/09/27 00:00
Earnings 2019/06/30
Annual Earnings 2018/12/31
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data.
Credit: Simply Wall Street
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PLUS1
