Fevertree Drinks Share Discussion Threads

[kinwah] 16/10/2020 00:03

Shouldn't be long now before Charles Rolls goes below 5%. The shares have held up remarkably well considering his steady selling.

[llama1978] 14/10/2020 12:33

Looks like more than we’ll get on New Year’s Eve to me.

[bamboo2] 13/10/2020 21:24

Another turn on the chart 14-15/10/2020.

[toptrump1] 13/10/2020 09:58

This has further to fall imo, the ontrade business is going to be brutal this winter.

[bamboo2] 09/10/2020 14:52

Lovely bit of volume today.

[bamboo2] 09/10/2020 08:39

Sogo, Gap filled just now. Potential turn on my chart today Bought a few.

[growthpotential] 07/10/2020 18:54

Strange to see this fall away recently, they have diverse sources of revenue, lockdown or no lockdown

[llama1978] 06/10/2020 10:31

It’s amazing how optimistic the stock market is at the moment considering we’re about to enter a winter of extreme pain, job losses, bankruptcies, death and all around misery! Some people say we’ll be living like this (periodic lockdowns) for several more years, not months. It’s going to be a massive challenge. I’ll still have a g&t mind, as long as I can afford one!

[castleford tiger] 30/9/2020 17:02

I fancy a move down next tiger

[bamboo2] 30/9/2020 16:06

Still no sign of price breaking out, either one way or the other, of the flag. Another potential turn showing on both charts tomorrow.

[bamboo2] 29/9/2020 08:41

Potential turn showing on my chart today. Wonder if we could see price fill the gap? Price could high five the 100sma.

[davidosh] 27/9/2020 16:48

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[llama1978] 24/9/2020 13:18

Infection rate going up exponentially. Shutting the pubs an hour early not really going to stop that! I would expect more strict lockdown within a month. How will the market respond to that?? I would assume negatively.

[bamboo2] 23/9/2020 16:08

Hi Sogo, wait for the gap fill imo. Then throw in everything you've got! next turn I have is 28-29/9/2020 then 1/10/2020

[sogoesit] 23/9/2020 15:25

That inverse Head&Shoulders looks mighty tempting to go long... again! Maybe a 'flu season lockdown will do the trick?

[llama1978] 18/9/2020 08:29

Biggest threat to share price at the moment is massive Europe wide / global lockdown and new stock market panic I would say. Already talks about circuit breakers etc in U.K. (whilst leaving schools open, hmmmm). Anyway. Enjoy your freedom whilst you can, responsibly of course.

[skinny] 17/9/2020 10:36

I'd agree - that gap is potentially a worry. RSI looking peeky. A busy area going back to last June @£24-26.

[bamboo2] 17/9/2020 09:36

Good posts CT and APAD From a TA pov the new gap dated 15/9/2020 is a problem Measures 2091-2104 From a pattern pov chart is making a bullish flag, capped by historical resistance. Will revisit this evening for a closer look. Gla ps any thoughts skinny?

[apad] 16/9/2020 19:02

In my view the recent FEVR results said three things of significance. 1. The surprising way in which the off-trade was making up for the lapse of the on-trade is continuing. 2. Their US market approach is really working AND rolling out. Remember the US is 50 countries and they have just hired 5 new employees. 3. They are maintaining their dominance over competitors. Post the results this was not reflected in the share price performance. I opine that their strength is becoming realised and that the share price will easily return to the post £30 level. Simply because the easy criticisms have been demolished. apad

[apad] 16/9/2020 18:49

CT FEVR is 10 years BVXP is 22 AFX is 14 BOO is 2.8 Interestingly HLMA and SPX are 7 However, on my definition of Cap/Prft(EBITDA - Investing). FEVR is 35 years BOO is 42 BVXP is 30 AFX is 36 One number does not paint a picture. They are not crazy valuations if these companies are creating a major change. According to your number, HLMA and SPX at 7 are the real crazy ones because they are established businesses. apad

[castleford tiger] 16/9/2020 18:38

did 27 m up from 19m which was a good result. However a valuation of 20x earnings is plenty. here we have 10 years of sales. Much depends on if market share stays stable in the uk/Europe. How big can America become 300 m per year sales? Tiger

[newtona2] 16/9/2020 17:59

The US potential is driving the price, for sure.

[castleford tiger] 16/9/2020 17:50

I never get these crazy valuations right. So market cap is over 10 years worth of sales after stripping the cash from market cap. EPS this year may well be 40p if they get lucky so 60x earnings. In a normal year this may fall to 45/50x earnings. Its been a great day with the shares up 10%. Sales in the USA in recent results were well up but from a low starting point. In the trade there seems to be more brands about all chasing for the same premium market. You do not want to be last to get off the bus. good luck tiger

[edwardt] 16/9/2020 14:40

i am no chartist but that looks like a breakout from the 3yr downtrend?