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Share Name | Share Symbol | Market | Type | Share ISIN | Share Description |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fevertree Drinks Plc | LSE:FEVR | London | Ordinary Share | GB00BRJ9BJ26 | ORD 0.25P |
Price Change | % Change | Share Price | Bid Price | Offer Price | High Price | Low Price | Open Price | Shares Traded | Last Trade | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13.00 | 1.14% | 1,157.00 | 1,153.00 | 1,157.00 | 1,168.00 | 1,130.00 | 1,151.00 | 156,155 | 16:29:50 |
Industry Sector | Turnover | Profit | EPS - Basic | PE Ratio | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wine & Alcoholic Bev-whsl | 364.4M | 15.4M | 0.1320 | 87.65 | 1.35B |
Date | Subject | Author | Discuss |
---|---|---|---|
23/6/2017 11:38 | Villarich, Diageo sells any drinks that will make money. Diageo will be after Fevertree in the future. When? Wait and see the results when they come out in July. It makes good business sense for Diageo. The same could have been said for Cadbury's when it was bought by Craft. | christh | |
23/6/2017 10:46 | Villa, exactly what I was thinking ! | panic investor | |
23/6/2017 10:43 | Christh I'm struggling to link Diageo's purchase of a premium US tequila brand to them putting a bid in for a mixer company? And why would a spirits company buy a mixer company? If we are to see a bid it's more likely to come from either a large drinks or food company who want a piece of the mixer market. | villarich | |
23/6/2017 08:25 | Thanks Sogoesit for your views and explanation, much appreciated. bamboo thanks too.GLDD | discodave4 | |
23/6/2017 07:54 | Good post Sogoesit. I also view the daily chart using chart patterns formed by trend-lines. These are forward looking. Indicators are backward looking, lagging price action, but are sometimes used to help confirm trades. I'd generally rather be buying FEVR when MACD and RSI are lower than higher, hence the increased interest. | bamboo2 | |
23/6/2017 06:04 | Ah, apologies, DD. I think bamboo trades on shorter time frames/scales so you will need to ask him. However, on a daily chart I have applied the MACD to my price view (I don't usually use MACD anymore) and can see that the MACD line is, today, just below zero. The "problem" with the FEVR share price chart is that it has been high momentum continuously for a while and so the last time the MACD line went "significantly" below the zero line was in November 2015. It has approached and dipped below zero in February and August 2016 (less than -10). So, relatively, it is fairly weak now, like Feb and August 2016. I say, relatively, because it is still not showing weak momentum in broad terms, -30 to -80, compared to other stocks. However, if bamboo is trading on 15 minute time scale intervals, for example, he will see a different picture. The MACD does not give an indication of "support". The zero line is neutral, neither excess strengthening momentum nor excess weakening. So concluding anything "imminent" would be incorrect imv. You would need to watch for it to develop, to at least around the -10 level imv in FEVR's case. Maybe that's why bamboo said it has become "interesting", on a relative basis for FEVR. Since November 2015 this has been, and continues to be, a very strong performer MACD momentum wise. There is only mild relative weakness starting now... since August 2016. It could easily turn around and head-up as well... and maybe it does on a shorter time scale. However, August last year is coincident so maybe there is summer and/or mid term (seasonal) weakness not fundamental weakness. However, there was a quick reversal last September on the MACD. The "sell in May" principle. But, as a contrarian, I usually do my accumulating during the summer and do my selling in December or March. Only my views. I'm an amateur and don't "trade" any more on a short term basis but use TA for entry & exit decisions. The critical issue to ask bamboo is what term he is trading on. But term view is the basic element you should ask anyone that is involved in a market. That said, if I were accumulating here I would be waiting for further weakness (as discussed on the Chart thread companion to this thread post 595). Ciao! Must head-off work-wise! | sogoesit | |
22/6/2017 23:55 | Thanks Sogoesit, Sorry but I know the theory but not too certain on their current interpretation - bamboo mentioned, on the other thread I think, that they (MACD and RSI) were looking interesting.I guessed and posted the following in the hope someone more expert would put me right (trying to learn a bit): The MACD appears to have found support around zero, although there has been downwards momentum it looks like a convergence is imminent - so hopefully a crossover and upwards momentum (just guessing really). RSI doesn't seem that interesting to the lay man (me)!.As you seem to know TA any views would be truly appreciated.ThanksDD | discodave4 | |
22/6/2017 21:31 | Thanks PI, that's what I thought but no TA expert. | discodave4 | |
22/6/2017 21:31 | DD, the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) is a plot of moving averages. One, the MACD, is the difference between two MAs, usually exponential MAs of different periods and the second line is another MA, of a different period MA. They give a measure of momentum (change in strength of the sp) and when the MACD converges with the signal line this indicates a change in momentum, weakening above the mid-line & strengthening below. MACD watchers are looking for the MACD line to cross-over the signal line, when below the mid-line, and rising indicating a low and return to bullishness. When the cross-over is above the mid-line, trending downwards, this indicates an overbought position trending downwards. The RSI just shows relative strength or weakness. Or overbought when high and oversold when low. It is a Ratio of closing high prices to closing low prices over a chosen period. (A long time ago I used to tabulate and plot these using an HP calculator. Until I got an IBM phosphorescent PC to program! Lol.) | sogoesit | |
22/6/2017 18:31 | If I'm correct MACD is around zero and the RSI about to go North of 50 on the daily chart - a good sign imho | panic investor | |
22/6/2017 17:54 | SogoesitMust agree, only the first point holds any merit in terms of risk IMO. The other two points are feeble at best.You seem to be a TA person, still curious as to what bamboo meant yesterday about the MACD and RSI looking interesting - can you shed any light?......always keen to learn.ThanksDD | discodave4 | |
22/6/2017 17:43 | Sometimes (usually?) i don't get this kind of (speculative) journalism. Example from Item 3: "... we've heard talk" that's hearsay that anyone can dream up. "... there are no plans at present." hearsay denied. Why speculate anymore? If a company considers going to the main market, at a future time, there will be a reason for it. Maybe something to do with size? Maybe owners selling-out? Maybe to raise capital? We don't know but we will have a good idea when it comes around. It's the Andrew Marr kind of journalism (where he says in interviews "I bumped into this man in the pub who said ...")!! | sogoesit | |
22/6/2017 17:07 | The article excerpt referred to in post 1013: "Fevertree (FEVR:AIM) £16.05 Current market status: LOVED Fevertree’s tonic water is increasingly the gin lover’s mixer of choice as it is considered a high quality product. The company has succeeded in getting its products stocked in a wide range of places, from supermarkets and restaurants to airlines and pubs. Fevertree has an asset-light, outsourced production model that means it is very cash generative and able to pay a progressive dividend. Its share price has risen 12-fold in value since joining the stock market in 2014. It has developed a reputation for providing conservative earnings guidance to analysts and subsequently over-delivering when financial numbers are reported. That has led to a continuous stream of earnings upgrades which have fuelled significant share price gains. FEVR - Comparison Line Chart (Rebased to first) WHAT ARE THE NEGATIVE POINTS FOR THE INVESTMENT CASE? 1. Could struggle to crack dark spirit market It is betting on a repeat of its tonic water success in the dark spirit mixers category. We think that’s a tall order. The market could punish the share price if the company cannot crack this market to same degree as it has done with light spirit mixers. Gin (a light spirit) and tonic is a refreshing drink where consumers clearly want high quality from both the spirit and the mixer, hence why Fevertree has done so well. However, dark spirits tend to be drunk neat, such as brandy, bourbon and whisky, so no need for fancy mixers. A mixer could cover up the true taste of whisky, for example, which defeats the object of enjoying that type of spirit. Water or ice would be acceptable mixers for whisky, but you don’t need a Fevertree-branded product. As for something like whisky and cola, surely that is the preferred drink of someone who is going after quantity over quality? Fevertree is now selling Madagascan Cola, which it claims to enhance ‘the complex flavours’ of the finest rums, whiskies and bourbons. Convincing shophisticated whisky drinkers to start adding cola to their favourite tipple will be a hard sell, in our opinion. 2. Is the business really worth £1.8bn? We note that Charles Rolls, one of the company’s founders and deputy chairman, last month sold £73.1m worth of shares. He cashed in £17.3m worth of shares when the company floated three years ago, plus earned £648,000 from Fevertree in pay and bonuses in 2016 alone – so hardly short of cash. Selling a large chunk now sends a negative signal to the market about the company’s future prospects. 3. Main Market plans We’ve heard talk that Fevertree is going to move to London’s Main Market. The company’s advisers say there are no plans at present, but we see this as a short-term risk to the share price if it does happen. The stock is a popular choice for investors wanting AIM shares that qualify for inheritance tax benefits. IHT portfolio managers would be forced to sell if Fevertree went to the Main Market as the shares would no longer qualify for the tax benefits." | sogoesit | |
22/6/2017 16:40 | "If I buy stocks on Smith’s tip I must sell those same stocks on Smith’s tip. I am depending on him. Suppose Smith is away on a holiday when the selling time comes around? A man must believe in himself and his judgement if he expects to make a living at this game. That is why I don’t believe in tips." Jesse Livermore | sogoesit | |
22/6/2017 16:04 | For any subscribers, Fever-Tree features in Shares magazine. New @sharesmag today looks at bear points for Vodafone, Fevertree & bull points for Carillion & Pets at Home + more The contrarian investor Why it can pay to take the opposite view from the market 22 June 2017 | martywidget | |
21/6/2017 21:43 | Diageo on the acquisition trail: | wetdream | |
21/6/2017 17:37 | ok marty , I looked at trades as my monitor down :).. bad call ccr . ;) | ccr1958 | |
21/6/2017 17:34 | Closing price: 1,668.00 -0.12% (Down -2.00) Fevertree could not have had a blue finish today, or else my harmonic [back test] system would have failed! Jesting, perhaps. Or perhaps not. | martywidget | |
21/6/2017 17:17 | Good call ccr , LOL!!! | ccr1958 | |
21/6/2017 16:12 | DD and bamboo , I know it was a reaction to price guessing , BLUE FINISH ..:)) | ccr1958 | |
21/6/2017 09:01 | Don't forget it's Royal Ascot-so a lot of the FEVR action will shift to Berkshire! ;-) | wetdream | |
20/6/2017 22:56 | Thanks for the comparison site bamboo. Yes, the triangle formation is still there and setting up well. Stochastics are basing but I think it a bit early yet; the share price has bounced off the 63d MA (I use this as a match on FEVR to the conventional 50d) which, coincidentally, appears to be support at 1600/1615. I say too early because the apex is still a few weeks off, near to 25 July, and I think the 1600/1615 support should be tested at least once again. So, waiting is the current order of the day amongst the summer doldrums. A bit short of cash and my long position here is about 10% but may be tempted with some long CFDs around 1615. Look forward to your views. PS Also thanks MartyW for the bottlers. Will check it out. | sogoesit |
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