Fevertree Drinks Share Discussion Threads

[castleford tiger] 27/1/2024 17:21

bigger balls than me.

sales are 25% of market cap.
EBITDA is £30m 1/40th of market value.

Sales falling in the uk in real terms.
Margin being given away to crack the usa.

Only possible growth is USA and maybe 2 years left then what?

Its tightly held with some 80% with big holders.

Far better out there. IN MY OPINION.

Tiger

[disc0dave46] 27/1/2024 13:27

Thanks, don't hold at the moment.Good luck

[apad] 27/1/2024 12:55

Couldn't agree more. Good post disc0.
apad

[disc0dave46] 27/1/2024 10:47

Some very large buys over the past few months.Held these years ago and did very well (lucky), never understood the high rating either but went with PEG, which I notice is below 1 again. Forecast eps for FY24 is on a par with 2017 during their significant growth phase, share price then went from £11 to £21......whilst UK growth isn't anywhere near going to be the same as then, the US looks very much like it could be!.Sometimes perceived value on PE alone misses the potential IMO. With revenues at all time highs and still growing despite the macros, getting back to profitability margins pre pandemic and the skys the limit!, just check out their op margins and ROCE pre 2020.

[gipps] 26/1/2024 17:43

Large buy today by a man in the know.

[edwardt] 25/1/2024 14:28

ha - some round trip today!

[castleford tiger] 25/1/2024 11:27

surprised its held up?

not at all

tiger

[apad] 17/1/2024 10:43

All blood-red this morning except Quartix and Equals.
apad

[philanderer] 17/1/2024 10:38

JPMorgan cuts Fevertree Drinks price target to 1,090 (1,150) pence - 'neutral'

[gipps] 17/1/2024 10:25

These were at £40 a while back so a long way to go to get back to those highs

[philanderer] 16/1/2024 14:14

Liberum upgrades Fevertree on recovery prospects


Liberum has upgraded premium mixer maker Fevertree (FEVR) as a trough in margins indicates a recovery in this year and next.

Analyst Anubhav Malhotra upgraded his recommendation from ‘hold’ to ‘buy’ and increased the target price from £12.00 to £13.00 on the stock, which was trading at £9.98 on Monday.

Malhotra said the company’s strategy ‘has been focused on market share gains against a backdrop of significant input cost inflation over the last two years’.

Margins have ‘troughed̵7; after a 20-percentage point gross margin decline over the last three-and-a-half years, making room for recovery.

‘We see scope for a greater recovery in 2024 and 2025 than consensus expects and therefore move to ‘buy’230; but we note that the top line is likely to remain subdued,’ Malhotra said.

‘Despite the [fact] that ‘bad news’ might not be over, the valuation at 17x 12 months forward consensus embedded value/Ebitda and 28x price/earnings – 40-50% below historic average – looks reasonable.’

Mahotra said that for investors ‘wanting to build a position, now is the time considering the low average daily volume of 265,000’.


citywire.com

[gipps] 16/1/2024 10:37

Hi Mike yes i am in Fevertree and Distil and hope that this year they both recover to where they were some ago,i really think that they are both on the recovery path.Distil has a couple of big names in this field invested in it and hope that their in put will seriously improve the share price in time.

[mikejoseph] 16/12/2023 14:23

Distil DIS.L Blackwoods Gin:

[

[mikejoseph] 16/12/2023 14:18

Anyone here also invested in Distil DIS.L
Some interesting brands to google:

RedLeg Rum
Blackwoods Gin
Blavod Vodka

Currently selling in Sainsburys, Tesco and Morrisons...
Market Cap is current only £6m; worth a look.

[


DYOR

[porsche1945] 11/11/2023 11:15

If this overvalued dogshxt is tipped as a buy in either the telegraph or the times then you know that you’re fxcked🤡̷0;…their other stellar tips….woodford patient capital and Aston Martin ( incidentally I earned an unexpected six figure return in AM puts from 17.80 to .54p in less than 18 months ) maybe I should short this too with some in the money July 24 puts…because it’s worth about 540 a share max. Just remember the U.K. indexes are for shorting and trading purposes only…not investing….this isn’t the Nasdaq 100. As for dividends….well the highest dividend payers have been the most capital destructive….think Vod/bt/Phnx/builders etc. so hardly the 8th wonder of the world in the U.K.

[aimingupward2] 05/11/2023 19:09

Fevertree is a ‘buy’ in the Sunday Times today.

[montyhedge] 30/10/2023 17:01

Trouble with one product companies, with high p.e, any bump in the road, they get hit harder, in my view.

[castleford tiger] 30/10/2023 08:53

Wow good CNN luck there. I suppose you have 40% to play with

[philanderer] 29/10/2023 21:11

Tipped in The Telegraph….

This iconic drinks brand is a worthy new addition to our IHT portfolio

[bones698] 28/10/2023 03:50

Watched from the sidelines for some time but now look a critical point unfortunately not for the better . Costa and wage increases are hurting low margin businesses .cost of living and inflation will also hit companies like this hard with people choosing cheaper options .

What you need to see are forward thinking changes to the business . Supply of own ingredients , security of co2 supply given what happened recently . Energy efficiency etc etc failure to adapt and plan will hurt companies like fevr unfortunately many are to bloated with managers who just plod along and cant adapt or are willing to change . A tough period lies ahead it will be interesting to see where this is In a year or two from here . Good luck

[bamboo2] 26/10/2023 12:02

This is a more recent list of Major shareholders

Lindsell Train L 15.09% 17,601,116 616 27/02/23
Capital Research 8.50% 9,919,569 136 27/02/23
Fundsmith LLP 7.63% 8,905,465 (3,785) 27/02/23
Nordflint Capita 5.08% 5,922,237 5,922,237 26/09/23
Rolls (Charles T 4.88% 5,688,308 2,380 27/02/23
Warrillow (Timot 4.78% 5,575,172 0 31/12/22
Baillie Gifford 3.89% 4,534,328 (60,051) 27/02/23
Ninety One UK Li 3.02% 3,519,237 (36,241) 31/12/22
Nuveen LLC 2.96% 3,454,161 (88,955) 9/5/2023
Invesco Advisers 1.74% 2,032,935 (1,117) 25/02/23
Walter Scott & P 1.49% 1,733,947 104,497 27/02/23
Manulife Investm 1.47% 1,720,330 180,080 28/02/23
BlackRock Instit 1.43% 1,666,841 358,265 14/07/23
Troy Asset Manag 1.36% 1,588,733 (485,228) 14/07/23
Epoch Investment 1.33% 1,548,204 341,794 23/02/23
M&G Investment M 0.84% 976,793 (24,587) 14/07/23

[castleford tiger] 25/10/2023 18:42

gipp

No i think it will fall much further this time.

I see no reason for the high p/e

much better value about in my opinion.

best tiger

[gipps] 25/10/2023 17:11

Tiger are you going to buy back in now as it is sub £10 as i seem to remeber you bought in the 9 s before and did very well.Gipps

[bulltradept] 19/10/2023 08:18

As an occasional shareholder I applaud you. ;-)

[castleford tiger] 19/10/2023 07:45

bull
please remain polite........you asked a question.

I dont get FEVR but i spend a million quid a year with them........

Tiger