End of the month today. maybe some window dressing by funds that have a stake |
Here come the shorts closing |
World Quant actually closed 0.02% last session. |
Yes, and on the way up those shorts will want to get out I expect. The below all increased the last 30 days totalling 1.6% increase C.30 day. Expect them to squeeze out in the coming weeks on any dip. HelikonQubeWorld quant |
The long-term business plan is in tact. Shorts were probably speculating on a new profit warning and / or equity raise. No sign of that. Probably it will claw its way back up to 150p |
Online you can now buy 400k at 112 -
Clearly a seller around at the moment - |
There does seem to be quite a lot of stock available online -
350k shares for around £400k - |
Painful morning for the shorts, expect them being squeezed out over the next 30 days. |
The code reads the news using vector AI I've coded, then this scores the news using good and bad vectors, once the news is scored, if it has a news score of over 1 or under 1, the code then used cohere LLM which is a bit like ChatGPT but more for raw coders, to summarise the news. This will be in the app I'm releasing soon, along with AI price targeting. |
No, I use raw pyhton and cohere. |
You mean chat gpt , your code ?? |
Upon reviewing the latest Q3 results, it is evident that they have outperformed market expectations considerably. Q3 2024 wholesale volumes of 1,641 increased by 14% (Q3 2023: 1,444).YTD 2024, gross profit of £377m increased by 2% |
 Here is an AI summary my code wrote:
AI Summary:
Here is a summary of the financial report for Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc for the third quarter of 2024: Performance: - Improved Q3 performance met revised expectations, with a 14% increase in volumes year-over-year. - Revenue decreased by 4% to £995 million, while gross profit increased by 2% to £377 million, resulting in a gross margin of 38%. - Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 14% to £113 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 11%. Outlook: - The company is on track to deliver its revised full-year 2024 guidance, which reflects adjustments to volumes due to supply chain disruptions and macroeconomic weakness in China. - Aston Martin expects sustainable growth with its reinvigorated range of new models, including the new Vantage, DBX707, and V12 flagship Vanquish. - The company remains focused on achieving its previously communicated targets for FY 2025. Key Metrics: - Wholesale volumes: 3,639 units YTD 2024, a 17% decrease year-over-year. - Revenue: £994.6 million YTD 2024, a 4% decrease year-over-year. - Gross profit: £376.9 million YTD 2024, a 2% increase year-over-year. - Adjusted EBITDA: £112.9 million YTD 2024, a 14% decrease year-over-year. - Net debt: £1,216.5 million as of Q3 2024, a 62% increase year-over-year.
Metric YTD 2024 YTD 2023 Q3 2024 Q3 2023
Total wholesale volumes 3,639 4,398 1,641 1,444
Revenue £994.6m £1,039.5m £391.6m £362.1m
Gross profit £376.9m £370.8m £144.0m £134.5m
Gross margin (%) 37.9% 35.7% 36.8% 37.1%
Adjusted EBITDA £112.9m £131.1m £50.7m £50.5m
Adjusted EBIT £(121.5)m £(135.1)m £(21.7)m £(48.4)m
Operating (loss)/profit £(132.8)m £(145.3)m £(26.7)m £(52.1)m
(Loss)/profit before tax £(228.9)m £(259.8)m £(12.2)m £(117.6)m
Net debt £(1,216.5)m £(749.9)m £(1,216.5)m £(749.9)m |
At first glance, things seem to be under control |
Improved Q3 2024 performance in line with revised expectations; on track to deliver revised FY 2024 guidance, as supply chain disruptions are proactively managed· Scheduled ramp up of new Vantage and DBX707 supported 14% increase in Q3 volumes YoY; sequential growth to continue in Q4, alongside new V12 flagship Vanquish and Valiant special· YTD 2024 total ASP increased 14% to £250k, supported by strong demand for Specials and 440bps increase in contribution to Core revenue from vehicle personalisation· Order book continues to extend; expected to strengthen further as new range of models become available in all marketshttps://www.londonstockexchange.com/news-article/AML/3rd-quarter-results/16738678 |
mYTD 2024YTD 2023% changeQ3 2024Q3 2023% changeTotal wholesale volumes13,6394,398(17%)1,6411,44414%Revenue994.61,039.5(4%)391.6362.18%Gross profit376.9370.82%144.0134.57%Gross margin (%)37.9%35.7%220 bps36.8%37.1%(30 bps)Adjusted EBITDA2112.9131.1(14%)50.750.50%Adjusted EBIT2(121.5)(135.1)10%(21.7)(48.4)55% Operating (loss)/profit(132.8)(145.3)9%(26.7)(52.1)49%(Loss)/profit before tax(228.9)(259.8)12%(12.2)(117.6)90% Net debt2(1,216.5)(749.9)(62%)(1,216.5)(749.9)(62%) |
He'll just change username, come back as someone else and spout the same muck, this time 10/20% lower. It's been happening for years.
Clueless and dangerous. |
Still holding spacedust, great forecast?
Dancing Piranha9 Oct '24 - 11:40 - 12287 of 12314 Edit
0 1 1
More likely to be 80p before 180p!
spacedust9 Oct '24 - 13:51 - 12288 of 12314
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Dream on its up 14% already since last week. It'll finish close to 120p next week. Then 130 following week. Love the share price here |
That's the difference, I am not here for followers. Followers are sheep who can't think for themselves. The people you prey on to make money.
How much cash do AML have left Albert?
Are suppliers now refusing to supply AML with parts because of non-payment?
Will they need to issue a second profit warning like most other car companies who raised prices in a slowing macro environment?
How are they going to pay the £60m debt interest payment in Q4 when they are running out of cash right now?
I look forward to your answers. |
Tony joined ADVFN in year 2000 and has 1 follower. That must mean something. I'm hear showing 2024 new alfos I coded myself. Will be very interesting to watch this and review later down the line. |
Well sometimes some of the forecast are up, some down, this code analyses the entire LSE at the moment; takes 5 simulations of where the price might go... What I do next, is find the ones where all the AI suggests it's going up on all 5 simulations, the RSI is at a specific level, in specific sector, where technicals like a MACD crossover exists, and also, the shorts have finished hedging. This one's ticks a box. Let's see where it goes, I think those hedged shorts are wrong, and I've beat them many time in my history of trading. So take this as me saying I think they're all wrong. And probably a very small percentage of the market code using the algos I do. I will rest my case here, and we shall see in 25 days where is the price. And you and you 1 follower can be happy if you get it right. |
304 ad hominem as argument. Well done. Your narrative is full of holes like swiss cheese. |
There you have it folks, someone honestly thinks shorts increasing are good for the share price.
What if they keep increasing, and then there's a cash raise? What does your code say then?
It gave 5 different outcomes a few days ago, ALL of them were the share price increasing quite substantially.
If investing was as easy as writing stupid code to get an outcome you want, then everyone would be billionaires.
Snake oil salesman, nothing else. |
I see it as good, because when they close their shorts, they buy stock and the price goes up, and those short positions are quant momentum algo hedged shorts. I have written code that digest all those shorts positions daily. You will see analysis at the end of my video regarding those positions. I think they will get squeezed like last time. |
Unfortunately this rise in short positions reflect differing market sentiments. Predicting another drift to 90. |
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