I bought MS International (LSE:MSI) in 2015 for my Modified cyclically adjusted price earnings ratio portfolio because:
- The ten-year cyclically adjusted price earnings ratio, CAPE, was 9.3, only two-thirds that of the typical share.
- Its Piotroski financial robustness tests give it a score of 5 out of 9, so financial distress was unlikely.
- The Petrol Station Superstructure building division is a market leader in Europe.
- The gun systems (sitting on the deck of naval ships) have little competition.
- Admittedly, the Forging (forks) division and the Petrol Station Branding division have yet to show their metal, but that could come.
- The managers are very experienced engineers and managers of this business, showing aptitude and decency
(See earlier Newsletters for background, dated 8th – 15th July 2015, 1st Dec 2015, 23rd – 24th June 2016, 19th July 2016).
When I bought I was not armed with a measure for return on net tangible assets, RONTA to allow me to estimate earnings power. This is the focus of this Newsletter (see the last two Newsletters for the rationale behind using this metric).
First we need the profit after tax attributable to shareholders and the capital used to generate that return – see table of data extracted from the company’s annual reports.
£’000s Year end April |
2017 |
2016 |
2015 |
||
INCOME STATEMENT | |||||
Profit after tax |
1,498 |
1,584 |
1,353 |
||
Amortisation charge this year for accounting goodwill following acquisitions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Exceptional items distorting profits (positive or negative) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Profit for shareholders |
1,498 |
1,584 |
1,353 |
||
CURRENT ASSETS AND LIABILITIES | |||||
Inventories |
10,145 |
7,043 |
8,464 |
||
Receivables |
11,393 |
8,996 |
9,454 |
||
Cash needed for operations (assumed) |
1,000 |
1,000 |
1,000 |
||
Other current assets |
1,142 |
902 |
630 |
||
Payables |
-25,464 |
-15,253 |
-18,994 |
||
Short-term debt |
-0 |
-0 |
-0 |
||
Other current liabilities |
-123 |
-154 |
-0 |
||
Working capital for operations |
-1907 |
2,534 |
554 |
||
Surplus cash (assumed) |
14,210 |
11,758 |
16,148 |
||
NON-CURRENT ASSETS AND LIABILITIES | |||||
Property, Plant and Equipment |
19,099 |
15,955 |
14,563 |
||
Goodwill in BS |
2,749 |
2,700 |
2,064 |
||
Previously written-off acquired goodwill – add back |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Other acquired intangible assets in BS |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Previously written-off other acquired intangibles – add back |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Long-term debt |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Other non-current liabilities |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Net non-current assets for operations |
21,848 |
18,655 |
16,627 |
||
OTHER ITEMS TO CONSIDER | |||||
Defined benefit pension deficit |
7,485 |
7,644 |
6,877 |
||
Internally generated intangible assets capitalised to BS |
2,552 |
2,971 |
1,754 |
||
Investments (in shares, bonds, etc.) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Operating lease non-cancellable commitments |
998 |
1,138 |
198 |
||
Preference share capital |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Minority interests in profit |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Minority interests in net assets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
£’000s Year end April |
2014 |
2013 | 2012 |
2011 |
|||
INCOME STATEMENT | |||||||
Profit after tax |
2,574 |
4,420 | 6,310 |
5,505 |
|||
Amortisation charge this year for accounting goodwill following acquisitions |
0 |
0 | 0 |
0 |
|||
Exceptional items distorting profits (positive or negative) |
0 |
0 | 0 |
0 |
|||
Profit for shareholders |
2,574 |
4,420 | 6,310 |
5,505 |
|||
CURRENT ASSETS AND LIABILITIES | |||||||
Inventories |
8,162 |
6,536 | 7,824 |
7,099 |
|||
Receivables |
8,260 |
13,065 |
12,208 |
12,482 |
|||
Cash needed for operations (assumed) |
1,000 |
1,000 | 1,000 |
1,000 |
|||
Other current assets |
498 |
520 | 604 |
1,887 |
|||
Payables |
-15,225 |
-16,143 | -14,995 |
-19,405 |
|||
Short-term debt |
-0 |
-0 | -0 |
-0 |
|||
Other current liabilities |
-0 |
-91 | -1217 |
-814 |
|||
Working capital for operations |
2,695 |
4,887 | 5424 |
2,249 |
|||
Surplus cash (assumed) |
13,286 |
12,447 | 9,037 |
8,877 |
|||
NON-CURRENT ASSETS AND LIABILITIES | |||||||
Property, Plant and Equipment |
15,127 |
13,755 | 13,818 |
12,514 |
|||
Goodwill in BS |
2,064 |
2,064 |
2,064 |
2,064 |
|||
Previously written-off acquired goodwill – add back |
0 |
0 | 0 |
0 |
|||
Other acquired intangible assets in BS |
0 |
0 | 0 |
0 |
|||
Previously written-off other acquired intangibles – add back |
0 |
0 | 0 |
0 |
|||
Long-term debt |
0 |
0 | 0 |
0 |
|||
Other non-current liabilities |
0 |
0 | 0 |
0 |
|||
Net non-current assets for operations |
17,181 |
15,819 | 15,882 |
14,578 |
|||
OTHER ITEMS TO CONSIDER | |||||||
Defined benefit pension deficit |
5,889 |
6,766 | 4,167 |
1,819 |
|||
Internally generated intangible assets capitalised to BS |
2,071 |
2,387 | 2,738 |
3,096 |
|||
Investments (in shares, bonds, etc.) |
0 |
0 | 0 |
0 |
|||
Operating lease non-cancellable commitments |
199 |
211 |
220 |
205 |
|||
Preference share capital |
0 |
0 | 0 |
0 |
|||
Minority interests in profit |
0 |
0 | 0 |
0 |
|||
Minority interests in net assets |
0 |
0 | 0 |
0 |
Return on net tangible assets, RONTA = Profit for shareholders ÷ Average net tangible assets over the year (beginning BS and end BS averaged).
Return on tangible assets, RONA = Profit for shareholders ÷ Average net assets over the year (includes internally generated intangible assets capitalised)
£’000s |
2017 |
2016 |
2015 |
2014 | 2013 |
2012 |
Profit for shareholders |
1,498 |
1,584 | 1,353 | 2,574 |
4,420 |
6,310 |
Working capital for operations – averaged |
314 |
1,544 | 1,625 | 3,791 |
5,156 |
3,837 |
Net non-current assets for operations – averaged |
20,252 |
17,641 | 16,904 | 16,500 | 15,851 |
15,230 |
Net tangible assets – averaged |
20,566 |
19,185 | 18,529 | 20,291 | 21,007 |
18,067 |
RONTA |
7.3% |
8.3% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 21% |
34.9% |
Internally generated intangible assets capitalised – averaged | ||||||
Net assets – averaged | ||||||
RONA |
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