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Applying Buffett’s return on net tangible assets method to MS International, Haynes and Dewhurst

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Yesterday’s Newsletter taught us that we need to use a measure of net profits as a percentage of net tangible assets to judge many value investments.

We also know that any observations of past returns on tangible assets are useful only in so far as they convey information about the future. To connect the future with the past we need a large dose of judgement based on qualitative reasoning.

There were a few other elements to pick up, e.g.

  • Add back the year’s amortisation of accounting goodwill to the profit number because this does not reduce economic profit;
  • Deduct tax from profit because we are interested in after tax return;
  • Accounts receivables to be included in the tangible assets figure because this is a use of shareholders’ money;
  • In evaluating managers’ efficiency in applying shareholders money to investment then what they paid for an acquisition, including all the accounting goodwill already deducted, should be included (added back);
  • Conservatively estimate earnings power (a much bigger concept than reported profit);
  • Estimate an adequate level of tangible assets to generate earnings power.

Unfortunately Buffett does not express the elements we are to take from the balance sheet to arrive at a suitable Net Tangible Assets, NTA.

But, now that we have a starting point for our thinking we can get to grips with the reality of modern company accounts.  We’ll learn by confronting each issue as we go.

The raw data – with a few twists

I set out in a common form the data presented in the annual accounts of our three companies and work from there (most recent year).  Balance sheet numbers are for the start of the year.

£’000s

MS International (April 2017)

  Haynes (May 2017)  

Dewhurst

(September 2016)

INCOME STATEMENT
Profit after tax

1,498

1,374

3,508

Amortisation charge this year for accounting goodwill following acquisitions

0

0

0

Exceptional items distorting profits (positive or negative)

0

50

0

Profit for shareholders

1,498

1,424

3,508

CURRENT ASSETS AND LIABILITIES
Inventories

7,043

4,614

4,751

Receivables

8,996

7,499

8,056

Cash needed for operations (assumed)

1,000

1,000

1,000

Other current assets

902

926

0

Payables

-15,253

-5,188

-4,502

Short-term debt

-0

-2,163

0

Other current liabilities

-154

0

-348

Working capital for operations

2,534

6,688

8,957

Surplus cash (assumed)

11,758

1,548

13,958

NON-CURRENT ASSETS AND LIABILITIES
Property, Plant and Equipment

15,955

8,434

8,581

Goodwill in BS

2,700

2,883

2,695

Previously written-off acquired goodwill – add back

0

0

6,328

Other acquired intangible assets in BS

0

3,683

83

Previously written-off other acquired intangibles – add back

0

3,411

657

Long-term debt

-0

0

0

Other non-current liabilities

-0

0

0

Net non-current assets for operations

18,655

18,411

18,344

OTHER ITEMS TO CONSIDER
Defined benefit pension deficit

7,644

15,101

12,197

Internally generated intangible assets capitalised to BS

2,971

15,815

88

Investments (in shares, bonds, etc.)

0

0

0

Operating lease non-cancellable commitments

1,138

572

480

Preference share capital

0

0

0

Minority interests in profit

0

0

55

Minority interests in net assets

0

0

534

There are a few things to think about with MS International

  1. Which NTA?

The net tangible asset amount used by the managers during the year might change considerably over the 365 days. In such circumstances, if we use the opening NTA in the denominator we’ll get a very different percentage return on NTA than if we use the closing NTA figure.

A possibility here is to use the average of the opening and closing NTA.

Keeping things simple for today, I use what the managers had at their disposal at the beginning of the year.    In future I’ll use the average between the two balance sheets.

  1. Tangible” here has a special definition.

Tangible here includes the intangible asset of goodwill created from buying another company – for MSI £2,700k.

However, in the same way as conventional NTA calculations, it excludes internally generated intangible items (For MSI £2,971k).

MSI has many items included as internally generated intangible assets in its BS:

Trade names £755k;

Design database £559k;………….

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