Thierry Laduguie

Shares in Vodafone are Oversold and Ready to Rally

31 May 2019 @ 10:51
Markets are plunging this morning after Trump imposed tariffs on all goods from Mexico. At the same time China released some economic news, the Chinese manufacturing PMI came in lower than expected. So global growth is the main concern this morning, shares are falling and bonds are rallying. US yields are making new lows, which […]
 

Too Many Bullish Factors

11 Apr 2019 @ 15:11
Last night FOMC statement did not have a significant influence on the markets, investors were struggling to find anything bullish or bearish in the statement. Basically the Fed is not sure whether to raise rates, do nothing or cut rates. The committee is not concerned about a significant slowdown in economic growth. That would be […]
 

Excess Optimism is Negative for the Stock Market

14 Mar 2019 @ 11:53
Research shows that extreme optimism coincides with market tops. The question is, where are we now in the cycle? Has the mood reached extreme optimism? Possibly if we refer to some sentiment indicators. Let’s not forget the S&P 500 is up 19% since the December low, this surely can be described as an optimistic move. […]
 

The Increasing Threat of Deflation

10 Jan 2019 @ 12:27
The Fed has often said that inflation is low and many analysts are puzzled. Why is inflation so low after a massive money printing program by the Fed? The Fed has been worried by deflation since the last financial crisis, the purpose of QE was to create inflation, to boost asset prices and to create […]
 

Dead cat bounce in the S&P 500

29 Nov 2018 @ 11:27
An unexpected announcement from Fed chairman Jay Powell sent the S&P 500 sharply higher yesterday. Powell said U.S. interest rates are near neutral. What he meant is rates will not rise as much as investors had anticipated. At first the reaction in the stock market was positive, higher interest rates hurt the economy, so the […]
 

U.S. Economy Likely to Contract

16 Oct 2018 @ 10:43
The rally in the FTSE 100 is underway, the S&P 500 is struggling to break above 2775. This level has been tested four times in the last week, when a level is tested several times in general it will be broken. The S&P is struggling because technology stocks are slumping, the S&P is sensitive to […]
 

US Bond Yields are Going Higher, S&P 500 At Risk

26 Sep 2018 @ 10:10
The rally paused, the S&P 500 is pulling back. The reason for the pullback could be due to the high oil price and rising bond yields. Trump said he wants a lower oil price and he has a good reason, high oil prices fuel inflation. Recently we have seen rising inflation in emerging markets, could […]
 

FTSE 100: Mixed Signals

23 Aug 2018 @ 10:47
Sometimes the analysis is not strong enough to suggest the market will move up or down. We are in this situation with regard to the FTSE 100. There are two ways to interpret the Elliott wave pattern, either the FTSE is in the midst of a decline to 7400 or it is at the start […]
 

FTSE 100 Preparing For the Next Major Move

01 Aug 2018 @ 08:35
The best trading opportunities occur when both sentiment and the Elliott wave pattern point in the same direction. When sentiment is bullish there an increased probability the FTSE 100 will rally. Sentiment is bullish right now but the Elliott wave pattern points to a decline, so no high confidence in one outcome or the other. […]
 

FTSE 100: Bull or Bear Market?

17 May 2018 @ 11:40
Sometimes I get emails from people asking me if I am sure we are in a bear market. No one can be sure because a forecast is based on probabilities. If the probability of a bear market is 80%, there is 20% chance the FTSE 100 is in a bull market. If the FTSE rises […]
 
  • Jump to a different page:
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • ...
  • 13
 
Do you want to write for our Newspaper? Get in touch: newspaper@advfn.com

By accessing the services available at ADVFN you are agreeing to be bound by ADVFN's Terms & Conditions

P: V: D:20190618 13:30:56