Matt Simpson

We’d like to refer to an older article from June, where we outlined a bearish case for USD/CAD against the bullish trend. Using a change of market positioning and a bearish divergence with MACD, we argued a break of the bullish trendline was favoured and that it could be carving out a topping pattern. Indeed, […]

US Stirs Tensions With China With Pro-Democracy Bill | CNH, E-Mini, AUD The US House of Representatives passed a human rights bill which effectively provides support to pro-democracy protesters in Hong Kong. The bill includes an annual review over whether Hong Kong is sufficiently autonomous from Beijing. Moreover, the bill will allow the US to […]

S&P500: The Long And Short Of It | Cisco, Welltower, Applied Material Welltower Inc CFD/DFT: The stock remains in a strong uptrend and is now consolidating just beneath record highs. The 20-day eMA is holding as support and we’re now watching to see it can break out of compression to new highs. Given the strong trend […]

RBA Discussed Keeping Cuts For A Rainy Day | AUD/EUR, AUD/NZD As my colleague Joe Perry mentioned, it could be a busy week for AUD given the slew of data from China alongside AU employment data on Thursday. RBA just released the minutes from their October meeting, although the underlying message remains consistent; expect rates to remain […]

FTSE Pauses At Resistance | CWK, CTEC, IMB The FTSE 100 continues to ricochet between key levels, yet lacks the compelling trend structure required to easily decipher if it will break higher or roll over once more. Sure, it’s seen a nice bounce from the 7,000 lows yet it has taken 8 sessions to recoup […]

Weekly COT Report: Sterling Traders The Least Bearish In 3-Months As of Tuesday 8th October: Traders increased net-long exposure for a 4th consecutive week by $0.8 billion. The Euro saw the largest weekly change among FX majors, seeing net-short exposure increase by 9.4k contracts. Large speculators were their least bearish on the British pound in 3 […]

Oil spiked higher on reports that an Iranian oil tanker was hit by two missiles off the Saudi coast, according to an Iranian state television. The vessel is currently ablaze and leaking oil 60 miles off coast. Crude oil futures broke above $54 resistance and currently trade around $54.56. Whilst one may have expected a […]

1.10 remains a key level for EUR/USD traders as we head towards the weekend. Reports that trade talks are “going well” and the possibility of a partial trade deal could be agreed between US and China saw safe-haven demand for the dollar decline, sending the USD index to key support and EUR/USD above key resistance. […]

Trade Talk Sentiment Supports The Kiwi | NZD/USD Optimism surrounding trade talks and Brexit has weighed on the dollar, providing a reprieve for some arguably oversold commodity currencies. As noted by my colleague Fawad Razaqzada, AUD/USD is on the cusp of printing a bullish hammer on the weekly chart, helped by improved trade sentiment and less demand […]

The British pound has weakened across the board this week. And we see potential for further downside to come. GBP/NZD has depreciated around -1.4% since our prior video, having broken its bullish trendline and suggesting the high has been seen around 2.0. As for cable, it’s found support around 1.2183 yet 2-year yield differentials between […]