Matt Simpson

Brent’s Corrective High Is Likely In

19 Jul 2019 @ 09:43
It’s not been a great couple of months for oil prices. And, currently on track for its worst week this year, we suspect there are further losses to come. News that the US had ‘destroyed’ an Iranian drone saw Brent rally 2% during the Asia session, yet we’re far convinced this will be enough to […]
 

Fed Slams The Dollar | AUD/USD, USD/JPY

19 Jul 2019 @ 09:41
Dovish comments from Fed officials has put a 50bps cut in July back onto the table for markets, and markets were quick to respond. Fed’s William’s said current estimates of the US neutral interest rates are around 0.5% and, if inflation gets stuck below goal, people’s expectations may push inflation lower, “reducing the Fed’s ability […]
 

FX Brief: Weaker Exports Weigh On Sentiment

18 Jul 2019 @ 09:05
Weaker Exports Weigh On Sentiment Weak export numbers from Japan weighed on sentiment, with manufacturing confidence hitting a 3-year low. Treasuries and equity markets are lower, although contained remains contained overall. Australian employment failed to light another match under rate-cut calls, supporting AUD during a slightly risk-off session. Unemployment remained steady at 5.2...
 

CHF/JPY Could Be Set For Another Break Lower

18 Jul 2019 @ 09:03
Since its bull-trap at the start of the month, a lower high appears to have formed and the cross is now testing a potential breakout level. Two weeks ago, we noted that CHF/JPY’s bull-trap and subsequent crash through key support had slammed it back onto our bearish watchlist. Sometimes it can take a little longer […]
 

ASX200: Bullish Outside Day Hints At A Swing Low | Equity Technical Scan

17 Jul 2019 @ 16:16
ASX200: Bullish Outside Day Hints At A Swing Low | Equity Technical Scan The index snapped a 3-day losing streak as bulls try to carve out a new low. Whilst the jury is still out for a rebound, we’ve filtered and ranked equities which have outperformed the sector for consideration. The ASX200 remain in a […]
 

GBP/USD Breaks Its 52-Week Low: Has That Provided An Edge In The Past?

17 Jul 2019 @ 09:00
GBP/USD Breaks Its 52-Week Low: Has That Provided An Edge In The Past? To be more precise, GBP/USD has actually closed to a 25-month low. But having recently tested how the S&P500 responded to its 52-week milestone, we extend our curiosity the cable. Brexit woes have continued to weigh on GBP, with reports of Boris […]
 

Netflix Turns lower Ahead Of Earnings

15 Jul 2019 @ 09:45
It’s earnings season for the US tech sector, with Netflix, Facebook, Microsoft, Amazon, Google and Apple all due to report over the coming days. Whilst Netflix has rallied 39.5% this year, the bulk of its gain came in January and has struggled to keep pace with Facebook. Furthermore, its found resistance around $386.80 and prices […]
 

Weekly COT Report: Traders Remain Wary Of King Dollar

15 Jul 2019 @ 09:39
Weekly COT Report: Traders Remain Wary Of King Dollar As of Tuesday 15th July 2019: Traders were net-long USD $12.38 billion ($16.95 against G10 currencies), up by $0.1 billion to snap a five-week streak of long reduction Large speculators have been net-long CAD for two consecutive weeks, and at their most bullish level since March […]
 

USD/CAD Braces Itself For Volatility Ahead Of Powell and BoC

10 Jul 2019 @ 09:34
With Fed minutes, Powell’s testimony and a BoC meeting, it should make for a lively session for traders, with USD/CAD finding itself caught in the crossfire. Starting with volatility (lower panel) we can see that 1-week historical volatility has dropped as markets await this key date. However, implied 1-week volatility has also risen to show […]
 

FX Brief: Kiwi Spikes Aside, It’s Calm Before The Powell Storm

10 Jul 2019 @ 09:32
Kiwi Spikes Aside, It’s Calm Before The Powell Storm Were it not for the sudden spike on NZD crosses then ranges would have been typically small, given market are keenly awaiting comments from Powell later. The lack of news and immediate price reversal suggests its liquidity driven. USD and NZD are currently the strongest majors, […]
 
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