Igor Kuchma

Debt Ceiling Disaster Avoided – But Only For Now

05 Jun 2023 @ 11:33
The U.S. government has managed to avoid disaster, but at the same time, it has moved even closer to it. As Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, rightly pointed out, freezing the debt ceiling will not solve the problems of the U.S. economy; it simply pushes them away. Yes, we could forget about it for […]

The Disaster That Never Comes

30 May 2023 @ 10:21
The debt ceiling is practically agreed upon, gold prices contract, and the bulls dominate the markets – will the long-awaited correction never come? Not so fast. Despite PacWest Bancorp’s stock recent rebound, the future of regional banks remains in question. The country’s economy is also starting to tempest on one foot… According to Robert Kaplan, […]

Key Events in the Week Ahead

22 May 2023 @ 14:52
The negotiations over the U.S. debt ceiling keep breaking sticks and stones… Today, Joe Biden will meet with McCarthy to discuss the issue and try to reach an agreement. Before leaving Japan after the G7 summit, Mr. President expressed his willingness to cut spending and make necessary fiscal adjustments. However, he rejected the latest offer […]

Corporate Earnings, Bank Breakthroughs and the Debt Ceiling

15 May 2023 @ 15:12
This week’s focus will be on US debt ceiling negotiations (the next meeting between President Joe Biden and congressional leaders is set for Tuesday), speeches by Fed members, regional bank “breakthroughs”, and corporate earnings. Starting from the end, the corporate sector beat analysts’ expectations again: S&P 500 earnings fell 3% year-over-year versus an expected...

Is The European Stock Market Peaking?

09 May 2023 @ 09:18
Despite rising debt servicing costs, an ongoing battle with inflation, and a bleak economic outlook, markets, especially in Europe, show no signs of falling. For instance, the STOXX Europe 600 Index has surged over 9.6%, and the German DAX by an astonishing 17% on the year to date basis. Is this another bubble? Better-than-expected earnings […]

Ready, Set, Wait…

24 Apr 2023 @ 13:46
Inflation is still a hot topic, and not only in the US. Despite numerous interest rate hikes by the Bank of England, the country is still far from price stability. To be fair, there is a tiny hint of progress, but it is the progress made in spirals. Even the fact that UK CPI moderated […]

Banks Surprise on the Upside

17 Apr 2023 @ 15:55
Sticks and stones may break my bones but there will always be something to upset the markets. First the coronavirus pandemic, then inflation, and now corporate results. Even though Friday’s reports came in better than many had feared, analysts still expect a 4.8% decline in S&P 500 earnings. The paradox is that stronger numbers will […]

Why Did The Market Drop?

11 Apr 2023 @ 09:19
“From a small seed a mighty trunk may grow”, also the saying may not be exactly about financial markets, but there is no better way to describe the short but intense last week. To begin with, for the first time in U.S. history, an ex-U.S. president was indicted on criminal charges. Precisely, for falsifying business […]

IMF Calls For Countries To Help Troubled Colleagues

04 Apr 2023 @ 10:25
Speaking at the forum in Boao, the Asian equivalent of the World Economic Forum in Davos, IMF chief Kristalina Georgieva called on countries with strong economies to help their “troubled” colleagues. Become Robin Hoods, so to speak. The only problem is the timing: the U.S. still hasn’t solved the structural problems in the banking sector […]

Blue Chips Up After Bank Failures

27 Mar 2023 @ 14:13
The global financial system turned out to be not so stable after all, with hedge fund managers anticipating a recession in the United States, and yet the indices are still green. To be more precise, S&P 500 grew in a week by 1.4%, NASDAQ by 1.7%, Dow Jones Industrial Average by 1.2%, whereas DXY lost […]
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